AI · resolved market
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a263488a101c6f260b31e821685516e776b9b5b3403e883c4ba235b2bf79146
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $608,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $324,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $608,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 391 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 25,090$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.79 | 149 | 1.3%2 W · 147 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 1c | 20,073$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.97 | 81 | 1.2%1 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 2c | 19,584$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.62 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -58%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 17,644$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.22 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 2c | 13,401$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.9 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb6…8711backed Yes | 23c | 12,950$2,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,978.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddef…d52bbacked Yes | 5c | 9,877$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ef…9f6abacked Yes | 2c | 9,245$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea4f…f77ebacked Yes | 4c | 8,230$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 7,939$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.99 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4377…1764backed Yes | 1c | 7,817$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 2c | 7,204$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.13 | 193 | 37.3%72 W · 121 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04e9…3dcfbacked Yes | 4c | 7,108$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 2c | 6,673$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.75 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x381b…e2d3backed Yes | 0c | 6,385$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 30c | 5,462$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed Yes | 8c | 5,100$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.37 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbafb…2468backed Yes | 2c | 5,082$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe86…404bbacked Yes | 5c | 4,983$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989b…14c3backed Yes | 2c | 4,761$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…f3bbbacked Yes | 21c | 4,506$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff03…aedbbacked Yes | 2c | 4,497$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c69…f45abacked Yes | 45c | 4,414$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x244a…4d4dbacked Yes | 4c | 4,034$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x822e…5febbacked Yes | 2c | 3,629$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1473…9917backed No | 77c | 3,550$2,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…eac6backed No | 77c | 3,500$2,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa172…b716backed Yes | 10c | 3,434$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.23 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 3,266$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 416 | 7.5%31 W · 385 L | -25.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 13c | 3,231$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.71 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa986…e827backed No | 77c | 3,200$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa292…42edbacked Yes | 5c | 3,125$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 4c | 3,035$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.72 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -81%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 2c | 3,006$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 175 | 4%7 W · 168 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d02…0734backed Yes | 33c | 2,833$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 2,785$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.71 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaecf…7061backed Yes | 7c | 2,763$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4823…96d8backed Yes | 4c | 2,743$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf626…69f0backed No | 77c | 2,700$2,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d6…58f0backed Yes | 2c | 2,653$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 2c | 2,645$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.95 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b7…b4dcbacked Yes | 44c | 2,516$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,503$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.3 | 183 | 11.5%21 W · 162 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefd4…f622backed Yes | 5c | 2,379$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd848…7498backed Yes | 5c | 2,290$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…341ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,287$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 2c | 2,215$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.66 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 3c | 2,213$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.05 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc8…cbb7backed Yes | 31c | 2,159$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…8db2backed Yes | 5c | 2,108$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe85c…ed6bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,089$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d0…ea2cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,080$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf81c…4540backed Yes | 6c | 2,033$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821a…c2b8backed Yes | 2c | 2,022$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9c…33bcbacked No | 61c | 1,984$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…7159backed Yes | 2c | 1,898$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfd…57bcbacked Yes | 43c | 1,840$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4e…0876backed Yes | 2c | 1,653$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…7833backed Yes | 5c | 1,615$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45c…1d10backed Yes | 32c | 1,604$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.72 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e0…8412backed Yes | 4c | 1,593$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa660…f81abacked Yes | 22c | 1,586$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac1…0e83backed Yes | 6c | 1,514$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b24…c4bebacked Yes | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde63…46c2backed No | 67c | 1,465$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 7c | 1,415$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.05 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab1e…bb2ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,408$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…8ee4backed Yes | 2c | 1,398$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34d…b5c3backed Yes | 1c | 1,398$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d6…6179backed Yes | 26c | 1,330$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9926…5d2cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,299$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1887…4114backed Yes | 4c | 1,283$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78cd…a8b3backed Yes | 2c | 1,239$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc61…eeb0backed Yes | 8c | 1,177$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5d…54e1backed Yes | 9c | 1,163$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e59…6e4ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,143$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8a…5da8backed Yes | 4c | 1,139$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309e…cd72backed Yes | 18c | 1,133$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 76 | 7.9%6 W · 70 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1f…d43cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,113$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 6c | 1,090$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a6…dde3backed Yes | 14c | 1,079$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e66…41e7backed Yes | 1c | 1,078$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 42 | 0%0 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 2c | 1,075$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 186 | 7%13 W · 173 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d00…7327backed Yes | 11c | 1,075$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44aa…d1d5backed Yes | 5c | 1,071$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed Yes | 1c | 1,038$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 73 | 1.4%1 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b52…49b2backed Yes | 2c | 1,034$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1566…86afbacked Yes | 2c | 999.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb809…631abacked Yes | 2c | 999.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa099…d81fbacked Yes | 10c | 989$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +5.1wins | +0.15per pick | 26cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d50…b166backed Yes | 5c | 961.87$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 11c | 937.7$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 204 | 18.6%38 W · 166 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…adcabacked Yes | 19c | 927.66$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.2 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7945…6c31backed Yes | 4c | 919.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked Yes | 33c | 888.24$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…edacbacked Yes | 8c | 862.83$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b6…a683backed Yes | 6c | 814.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee5d…9c22backed Yes | 5c | 800$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?this page
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.