AI · resolved market
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d8880457a80d5216bc5359f7de1e99a83adff0f0e39616cfa57dec28033a077
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $956,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $774,932
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $956,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 453 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41b9…5c5cbacked Yes | 23c | 76,700$17,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,794.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7744…999ebacked No | 66c | 35,070$23,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,867.5 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 30,972$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.78 | 81 | 1.2%1 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 22,004$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.54 | 149 | 1.3%2 W · 147 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaded…2fe3backed Yes | 34c | 21,220$7,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,120.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc88d…5ae4backed No | 77c | 20,900$16,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,848.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…0901backed No | 77c | 20,400$15,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,732.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 19,968$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.92 | 256 | 0%0 W · 256 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8d…1c19backed No | 77c | 19,900$15,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,616.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0c…f852backed No | 77c | 15,500$11,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,596 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes | 0c | 13,667$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.53 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…f192backed Yes | 25c | 13,050$3,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,249.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc484…8b5dbacked Yes | 1c | 12,486$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58f5…be7bbacked Yes | 34c | 12,395$4,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,234.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…9f9fbacked Yes | 0c | 10,454$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb794…3befbacked Yes | 26c | 10,350$2,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf779…f699backed Yes | 29c | 9,730$2,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,853.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…d9dbbacked Yes | 25c | 9,600$2,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf8…e3a2backed Yes | 5c | 7,584$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30aa…2bddbacked Yes | 34c | 7,501$2,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,527 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed No | 71c | 7,452$5,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa715…5b32backed Yes | 1c | 7,005$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcff4…9a75backed Yes | 0c | 6,720$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb4…f4c6backed Yes | 6c | 6,395$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.94 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da0…5fe0backed Yes | 2c | 5,796$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 4,496$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.6 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05db…3130backed Yes | 10c | 4,274$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 69c | 3,992$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ccc…585fbacked Yes | 15c | 3,981$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf039…3818backed No | 75c | 3,950$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f56…4647backed No | 75c | 3,800$2,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…7159backed Yes | 1c | 3,724$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…a1c2backed No | 75c | 3,700$2,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 16c | 3,672$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.88 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4af…ddcabacked Yes | 3c | 3,630$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4d…55edbacked No | 71c | 3,600$2,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4e…0876backed Yes | 0c | 3,573$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…c5e6backed No | 74c | 3,530$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3352…46d2backed No | 75c | 3,500$2,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9507…7b04backed No | 77c | 3,467$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a719backed No | 71c | 3,200$2,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed No | 70c | 3,100$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x989b…14c3backed Yes | 3c | 3,011$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f4…cf83backed No | 75c | 3,000$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc9…553abacked No | 74c | 2,998$2,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 7c | 2,940$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.87 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090c…9bb8backed No | 71c | 2,930$2,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fc…f18abacked No | 75c | 2,900$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…28adbacked No | 75c | 2,850$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd0…3cfbbacked Yes | 3c | 2,804$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ba…e89abacked Yes | 22c | 2,784$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd7…834cbacked No | 75c | 2,750$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce4…2abbbacked Yes | 3c | 2,646$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…a972backed Yes | 2c | 2,641$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 20c | 2,602$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.72 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb84…9f89backed Yes | 3c | 2,561$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5b…85e1backed Yes | 4c | 2,557$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f85…b41fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,505$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3d…c0fdbacked Yes | 7c | 2,495$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 3c | 2,436$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.29 | 83 | 6%5 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c21…adafbacked Yes | 1c | 2,435$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd64d…8bc9backed Yes | 3c | 2,425$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d2…3ce6backed Yes | 3c | 2,376$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,370$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x478b…ae56backed Yes | 3c | 2,344$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed Yes | 2c | 2,329$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 7c | 2,313$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.39 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -81%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…6c0dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,258$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 10c | 2,203$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.5 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0282…9bd2backed Yes | 7c | 2,114$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1741…11d9backed Yes | 3c | 2,092$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2b…51debacked Yes | 1c | 2,022$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked No | 65c | 2,013$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.98 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked Yes | 28c | 2,000$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5462…358fbacked Yes | 30c | 1,999$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 1,964$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 175 | 4%7 W · 168 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01fc…0b96backed Yes | 2c | 1,942$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…ca2bbacked No | 71c | 1,893$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…886ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,890$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 3c | 1,862$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 1,760$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.29 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…1338backed No | 70c | 1,720$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ac…c7b0backed Yes | 29c | 1,700$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 19c | 1,696$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.93 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…6514backed Yes | 3c | 1,686$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa2…0379backed Yes | 30c | 1,661$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a7…db79backed Yes | 3c | 1,661$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…edafbacked Yes | 35c | 1,653$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…1dc4backed Yes | 3c | 1,645$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9920…52c7backed Yes | 5c | 1,636$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aae…5717backed Yes | 30c | 1,626$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2a…5d4abacked Yes | 21c | 1,609$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9acd…40ffbacked Yes | 2c | 1,598$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e7…bb8cbacked Yes | 39c | 1,589$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d5a…beeebacked Yes | 3c | 1,574$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe2…0a1dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,538$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a75…5271backed No | 70c | 1,500$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce2…5f90backed Yes | 24c | 1,499$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.05 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…c353backed No | 76c | 1,433$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…b4c7backed Yes | 2c | 1,407$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?this page
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $MARS?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?No won
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.