Will Turkiye reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fcc5c57833b682902017f3257bbb0caa5b4cf184edb465ab62136f7aeff4849

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $31,437
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $29,936

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,437 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5452…d448backed No	48c	2,686$1,297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,389.2	464	64.9%301 W · 163 L	+26.6wins	+0.06per pick	59cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed No	53c	2,292$1,219 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,072.74	129	45%58 W · 71 L	+7.5wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x874a…9d2ebacked Yes	46c	2,185$1,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,003.1	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.12per pick	20cpaid	-88.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No	55c	2,035$1,110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$924.93	383	51.4%197 W · 186 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5159…d7aebacked No	54c	1,499$812 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$687.07	165	64.2%106 W · 59 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	60cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc67…f628backed Yes	50c	1,340$665 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$665.38	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x243c…2240backed Yes	42c	1,328$556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$556.28	74	29.7%22 W · 52 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No	52c	1,263$654 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$609.26	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked No	62c	1,209$746 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$462.76	252	44.8%113 W · 139 L	+11.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4205…128ebacked Yes	44c	1,000$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	41	22%9 W · 32 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Yes	20c	993.39$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.7	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	51c	897.31$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461.55	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No	80c	895.45$716 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.09	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes	42c	824.6$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.17	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ff1…98d7backed Yes	31c	779.34$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.34	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked No	52c	699.98$364 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$335.99	406	49.8%202 W · 204 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5184…1363backed Yes	47c	672.76$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.13	72	45.8%33 W · 39 L	+5.4wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No	55c	640$352 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$288	354	51.4%182 W · 172 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c81…8583backed Yes	47c	638.3$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No	55c	633.28$347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.39	341	51%174 W · 167 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8b0…cc4bbacked Yes	45c	559.99$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252	111	65.8%73 W · 38 L	+15.3wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	28c	511.26$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.29	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked No	50c	500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f07…0170backed No	55c	499.99$275 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed No	54c	485.7$264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$221.99	285	47.7%136 W · 149 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	58c	464.33$271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193.39	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31b4…1bddbacked Yes	47c	464.3$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.22	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.47per pick	47cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5441…b7d8backed Yes	47c	425.53$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+10%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked No	48c	421$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.32	171	38%65 W · 106 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2567…fc9dbacked Yes	48c	416.48$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	123	49.6%61 W · 62 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x47f7…0312backed Yes	45c	399.99$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181	83	48.2%40 W · 43 L	+5.8wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	-5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No	67c	394.97$266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.28	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x297d…8941backed Yes	44c	391.02$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172	66	48.5%32 W · 34 L	+6.9wins	+0.10per pick	38cpaid	+43.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x958a…df0ebacked Yes	52c	385.19$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes	17c	346.32$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.03	154	45.5%70 W · 84 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	22c	342.05$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.87	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf37…b1bcbacked Yes	45c	300$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	51	23.5%12 W · 39 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes	45c	300$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	153	32%49 W · 104 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed No	50c	290.75$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.38	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	+13.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x416c…a782backed Yes	48c	289.69$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.45	116	50.9%59 W · 57 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No	55c	283.97$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.79	374	52.1%195 W · 179 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed No	52c	275$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.65	82	40.2%33 W · 49 L	-4.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7612…0850backed Yes	50c	238.56$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.08	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfda7…66dbbacked Yes	45c	220.17$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	20c	215.38$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.79	1,067	49.1%524 W · 543 L	+7.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79fd…75b6backed Yes	45c	214.31$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.44	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x924e…3fe8backed Yes	47c	213$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.06	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6797…42fbbacked Yes	47c	211.81$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.47	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No	55c	202.07$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.93	188	48.9%92 W · 96 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	52c	200$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf2…7279backed Yes	46c	200$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92	40	20%8 W · 32 L	-6.0wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa220…4c66backed Yes	12c	200$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	+2.4wins	+0.10per pick	11cpaid	+394.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe67c…33f2backed No	54c	177.78$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.78	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No	54c	171.96$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.44	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes	24c	169$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.18	345	54.2%187 W · 158 L	+17.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7cc7…4572backed Yes	43c	159.99$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.8	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6593…445ebacked Yes	46c	156.57$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.5	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x64c6…a070backed Yes	46c	156$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.7	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	+1.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	21c	150$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.8	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes	19c	147$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.93	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes	28c	142.71$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.98	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked No	53c	138.98$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.32	513	15.6%80 W · 433 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae27…e786backed Yes	49c	136.41$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.84	35	22.9%8 W · 27 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-38.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x263c…87a0backed Yes	45c	110$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-2.4wins	-0.34per pick	62cpaid	-61.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd6f1…dd82backed Yes	47c	108.34$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	98	54.1%53 W · 45 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1536…7f40backed No	54c	102$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.92	75	53.3%40 W · 35 L	+2.8wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8371…5f47backed Yes	49c	101.6$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	76	50%38 W · 38 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc135…21b0backed Yes	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+1.5wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5838…6a3abacked No	52c	100$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	40	45%18 W · 22 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d77…fdbebacked Yes	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	-5.2wins	-0.13per pick	25cpaid	-82.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed No	54c	100$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	240	43.3%104 W · 136 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f0a…46a4backed Yes	45c	100$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	19	63.2%12 W · 7 L	+1.7wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	+32%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18d4…1d3abacked Yes	44c	99.99$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	69	21.7%15 W · 54 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No	55c	98.6$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.37	264	54.5%144 W · 120 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3088…2391backed No	55c	90$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.5	85	54.1%46 W · 39 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe13f…2d85backed Yes	48c	83.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.8wins	-0.31per pick	42cpaid	-75.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes	24c	81.31$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.51	181	39.8%72 W · 109 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed No	55c	80$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.3	234	53%124 W · 110 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda8a…2dbabacked Yes	45c	77.78$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	148	41.2%61 W · 87 L	-13.1wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x45e0…15cbbacked Yes	47c	75$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.25	25	24%6 W · 19 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	52c	72.28$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.27	218	37.2%81 W · 137 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xceab…dce7backed No	77c	71.41$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.71	544	50.6%275 W · 269 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6195…388abacked No	55c	62$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.9	177	54.8%97 W · 80 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No	44c	61.92$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.68	802	25.7%206 W · 596 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes	45c	59.19$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.83	148	39.2%58 W · 90 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x328c…6715backed Yes	52c	57.69$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	54	59.3%32 W · 22 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6bc…42c1backed No	55c	55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.75	81	55.6%45 W · 36 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30dd…e0bfbacked Yes	45c	54.27$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.42	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x741a…b692backed No	54c	53.7$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.7	103	56.3%58 W · 45 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x945e…353dbacked Yes	28c	52.78$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	85	54.1%46 W · 39 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a36…2450backed No	53c	50.71$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.83	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…e7f8backed Yes	45c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+37.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6eec…c524backed No	52c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	59	49.2%29 W · 30 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7434…eeacbacked Yes	46c	50$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	96	29.2%28 W · 68 L	-3.6wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5afc…2995backed Yes	23c	48.33$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.06	79	35.4%28 W · 51 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a96…b382backed No	52c	47$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.39	142	57.7%82 W · 60 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	28c	47$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.96	779	9.6%75 W · 704 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed No	56c	44.83$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.73	103	51.5%53 W · 50 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c20…a6d7backed Yes	45c	44.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc99c…62aebacked Yes	46c	43.48$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	279	40.5%113 W · 166 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Turkiye reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event