Will Czechia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1af5908b4aae93cc55ee14e9e41f4c09804cc153f48bb2e8a19d608f15a887fe

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,944
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,986

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,944 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes	8c	307.68$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.95	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes	14c	152.84$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.09	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes	14c	86.37$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.12	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	13c	78.75$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.15	438	35.8%157 W · 281 L	-10.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-16.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f07…0170backed No	71c	70.06$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.32	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1671…2f6dbacked Yes	20c	50.99$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.12	49	36.7%18 W · 31 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57cd…82acbacked No	72c	34.22$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.66	60	31.7%19 W · 41 L	-6.5wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5956…07cbbacked No	72c	32.29$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.04	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No	69c	32.26$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	222	42.8%95 W · 127 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2cf…464bbacked No	79c	30$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.37	61	60.7%37 W · 24 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eec…c524backed No	78c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.6	59	49.2%29 W · 30 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a68…6679backed No	77c	24.54$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.64	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	-6.3wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e73…9150backed No	76c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.8	83	60.2%50 W · 33 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed No	68c	15.63$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	+13.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Czechia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event