Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb43b304591b00faf0e200416780d73c316bf5869b8ec3b7ea8422463170bba5

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $394,098
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $457,915

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $394,098 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 231 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xda3a…381fbacked No	20c	27,597$5,483 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,482.62	108	33.3%36 W · 72 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Yes	78c	14,565$11,331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,234.53	177	33.9%60 W · 117 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9941…0b8dbacked No	8c	12,127$965 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$964.77	79	41.8%33 W · 46 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No	6c	12,006$735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$735.47	326	29.1%95 W · 231 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	9c	11,207$1,023 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,022.82	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No	4c	11,111$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$444.44	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked No	4c	8,058$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.01	52	19.2%10 W · 42 L	+3.5wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed No	28c	8,000$2,240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,239.99	73	37%27 W · 46 L	-7.6wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	18c	7,994$1,455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,454.72	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No	7c	7,663$531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530.59	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68d2…d067backed Yes	72c	7,481$5,386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,094.56	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No	7c	7,339$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.54	2,411	53%1,278 W · 1,133 L	+75.2wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2320…4869backed Yes	69c	7,250$5,003 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,247.5	18	83.3%15 W · 3 L	+2.7wins	+0.15per pick	68cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x270b…2bafbacked No	1c	7,083$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.93	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed No	15c	6,465$966 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$965.76	357	19.6%70 W · 287 L	-13.8wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No	7c	5,748$392 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$392.08	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b9a…12a5backed Yes	76c	5,481$4,178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,302.13	75	58.7%44 W · 31 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+76.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No	6c	5,392$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335.09	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f8e…21b7backed No	7c	5,096$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.54	123	52.8%65 W · 58 L	+11.3wins	+0.09per pick	44cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c01…797dbacked No	9c	4,585$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$412.63	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	-3.9wins	-0.18per pick	22cpaid	-88%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb82b…fc60backed No	14c	3,500$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485	76	43.4%33 W · 43 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No	26c	3,211$845 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$844.71	218	37.2%81 W · 137 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No	17c	2,960$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	67	61.2%41 W · 26 L	+6.0wins	+0.09per pick	52cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	12c	2,520$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304.84	185	45.9%85 W · 100 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No	18c	2,483$448 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.17	436	35.8%156 W · 280 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No	20c	2,372$485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.42	472	35%165 W · 307 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ad8…41b6backed No	15c	1,999$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.81	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	18cpaid	-76.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa21d…f351backed Yes	70c	1,800$1,269 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$530.99	72	59.7%43 W · 29 L	+5.3wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No	7c	1,696$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.96	2,327	18.1%422 W · 1,905 L	-363.0wins	-0.16per pick	34cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No	20c	1,680$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.27	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x563c…3455backed Yes	70c	1,402$981 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$420.58	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed Yes	71c	1,340$952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$388.65	191	48.2%92 W · 99 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed No	30c	1,256$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.79	350	33.7%118 W · 232 L	-6.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc219…02ecbacked No	8c	1,250$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.5	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4805…6c7bbacked No	13c	1,207$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.91	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+2.7wins	+0.15per pick	29cpaid	+68.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41ce…6509backed No	8c	1,205$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	111	62.2%69 W · 42 L	+16.7wins	+0.15per pick	47cpaid	+27%equal weight	64+0.12 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed No	30c	1,201$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360.43	129	45%58 W · 71 L	+7.5wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x59e5…7a2bbacked No	6c	1,110$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.6	82	58.5%48 W · 34 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc853…9d37backed No	21c	1,093$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.21	47	38.3%18 W · 29 L	-7.6wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No	10c	1,064$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.95	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x29b7…4108backed No	30c	1,050$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.07	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	+2.6wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x264c…bacabacked Yes	70c	1,000$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	17	58.8%10 W · 7 L	+1.6wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+29.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf33…b5f8backed No	8c	1,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	200	17%34 W · 166 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe574…22f9backed Yes	70c	950$665 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb82…ef9bbacked Yes	69c	875.33$605 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270.33	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked No	27c	867.72$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.61	157	40.8%64 W · 93 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x29ce…5c88backed No	6c	847.63$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.11per pick	28cpaid	-78.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf366…15adbacked No	12c	824.28$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.28	139	43.2%60 W · 79 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd060…ce4fbacked Yes	70c	749.44$521 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228.44	158	36.7%58 W · 100 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafce…db52backed Yes	74c	746.1$550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.1	125	38.4%48 W · 77 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9c7…147abacked No	7c	744$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.08	147	46.3%68 W · 79 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c65…3a9cbacked No	7c	714.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No	28c	696.25$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.01	222	42.8%95 W · 127 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked No	18c	596.21$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	88	44.3%39 W · 49 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34cf…7188backed No	17c	568.97$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.73	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed No	33c	500$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.95	283	37.1%105 W · 178 L	-9.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x92fa…4461backed Yes	70c	500$350 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Yes	72c	490$353 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.1	109	40.4%44 W · 65 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1851…7016backed Yes	70c	485.71$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.71	42	69%29 W · 13 L	+7.5wins	+0.18per pick	51cpaid	+27.2%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0056…ee7abacked No	24c	482$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.88	81	24.7%20 W · 61 L	-3.1wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf155…15a1backed No	7c	479.29$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd896…9815backed No	10c	434.89$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.09	40	40%16 W · 24 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-31%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No	28c	408.39$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.35	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86e0…c394backed No	6c	400$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	63	28.6%18 W · 45 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e7b…8767backed Yes	50c	400$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	+13.1wins	+0.12per pick	46cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3b83…008bbacked No	7c	400$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.2	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe809…a6a5backed Yes	72c	394.5$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110.46	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f7…0f92backed No	9c	387.45$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	73	26%19 W · 54 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	22cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb00…7fe9backed No	7c	355.72$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.9	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+17%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8333…eb93backed No	13c	352.63$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.84	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+3.1wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x370f…57e8backed No	5c	341.5$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	41	17.1%7 W · 34 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8251…879dbacked No	31c	326.65$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	97	23.7%23 W · 74 L	-4.4wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32d0…6070backed No	21c	318.3$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.84	67	44.8%30 W · 37 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No	30c	311.99$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.6	374	52.1%195 W · 179 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x11f8…1c4ebacked No	20c	309.1$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.7	171	38%65 W · 106 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cd5…f2cfbacked Yes	67c	300$202 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb97…eee8backed No	32c	300$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	184	60.9%112 W · 72 L	+13.9wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdf37…b1bcbacked Yes	70c	300$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.5	51	23.5%12 W · 39 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f00…7addbacked Yes	77c	300$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9163…82aebacked No	6c	300$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	73	19.2%14 W · 59 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3096…58a3backed No	8c	300$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…fd2dbacked Yes	69c	299.99$207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.9wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6797…42fbbacked Yes	71c	282$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.78	25	52%13 W · 12 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ce3…2317backed Yes	72c	278.47$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.47	83	34.9%29 W · 54 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked No	16c	275.83$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.04	100	35%35 W · 65 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a9a…72e7backed No	21c	270.36$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.39	46	28.3%13 W · 33 L	-3.4wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d72…d17fbacked Yes	77c	259.89$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.89	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-35%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	71c	259$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.72	228	34.6%79 W · 149 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52af…331ebacked No	8c	253.75$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.3	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc429…1c89backed Yes	79c	253.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.16	156	51.9%81 W · 75 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked No	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd33c…a724backed No	14c	248$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.8	63	28.6%18 W · 45 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf70c…4e63backed No	14c	245.58$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.29	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b3…a1f8backed No	4c	238.37$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-2.6wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf609…e68bbacked No	18c	238.36$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.11	206	52.9%109 W · 97 L	+14.1wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No	14c	237$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.28	154	45.5%70 W · 84 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39a5…87f2backed No	28c	236.44$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.66	88	42%37 W · 51 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No	22c	225.94$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.38	167	41.9%70 W · 97 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59c6…8332backed Yes	70c	214.29$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.29	46	47.8%22 W · 24 L	-3.5wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x623b…b1f8backed Yes	70c	200$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60	107	57%61 W · 46 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 48 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event