TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$262,740
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$240,284

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,740 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 192 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x85b8…6b6abacked No79c27,592$21,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,663.2211547%54 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes10c22,000$2,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,193.8212523.2%29 W · 96 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf6aa…4e0ebacked Yes33c21,917$7,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,143.6830%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes13c15,824$2,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,003.03812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-61.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d4…c5ffbacked Yes3c14,000$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.561020%2 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+82.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes10c8,468$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.66728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-63.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes12c8,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001520%3 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+171.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde45…8597backed Yes13c7,692$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No59c7,622$4,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,128.5111250%56 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Yes8c7,191$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6001618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-54.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f9d…ab79backed Yes19c7,024$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,325812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-81%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes17c6,361$1,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.076235.5%22 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes28c4,459$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,258.775418.5%10 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3f2…e1c1backed Yes27c4,351$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,174.86333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-40.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No67c4,055$2,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.65757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No73c3,750$2,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.4814356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes3c3,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid-35.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x332c…ae23backed Yes37c3,319$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,230.121225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes4c3,125$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.885317%9 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-53.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x075d…58c1backed Yes13c3,077$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes21c3,039$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.198127.2%22 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd29d…b038backed Yes22c2,234$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.7410020%20 W · 80 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4388…5050backed Yes15c2,080$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.6310142.6%43 W · 58 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9edd…6fe3backed Yes19c2,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3801936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x588d…099abacked No78c1,940$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.763167.7%21 W · 10 L+4.4wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3ada…62f7backed Yes32c1,838$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.49728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-45.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc7e7…40b4backed Yes16c1,711$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.281030%3 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Yes19c1,700$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+13.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No80c1,568$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.263467.6%23 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0459…437fbacked Yes14c1,438$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002528%7 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-50%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ce9…0cf5backed No73c1,431$1,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.7311836.4%43 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Yes8c1,332$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.565334%18 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cff…45acbacked Yes34c1,327$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.171850%9 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+58.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe06…d5d5backed No76c1,289$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.711758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefe8…e0f2backed No61c1,258$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73c2…3a29backed Yes12c1,227$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-28%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a55…1d25backed Yes13c1,154$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Yes11c1,147$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.344136.6%15 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9e3…706fbacked Yes14c1,071$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503652.8%19 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5587…5737backed Yes9c1,060$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ce…ddd7backed Yes12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120560%3 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick29cpaid+66.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9186…9220backed No61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3902864.3%18 W · 10 L+5.6wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+28.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed No71c961.37$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.37560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2837…e9fabacked Yes4c900$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35f1…1475backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10080%0 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x168a…da29backed No74c827.8$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.2214458.3%84 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6a…b380backed Yes39c800$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3122222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcf…c342backed Yes12c791.67$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No79c749.91$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.094852.1%25 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x31a1…1227backed Yes27c740.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3613…59c6backed Yes11c738.55$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.011118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-63.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x975b…149bbacked No61c692.21$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.961070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+41%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcee9…68fbbacked Yes27c603.73$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x819f…f3e7backed Yes27c591.98$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.965635.7%20 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2375…b9c9backed Yes12c558.33$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6770%0 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3a8…d7b7backed Yes27c555.56$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502524%6 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b1…8c9dbacked Yes9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e8a…9b9abacked Yes12c543.67$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No69c539.61$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.913271.9%23 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes16c516.09$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.635619.6%11 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-21.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xccd4…5383backed Yes14c505.36$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Yes38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4454…f6bfbacked Yes12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x64a7…2133backed Yes13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652718.5%5 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-60.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed No69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15512246.7%57 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes15c494.79$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6910837%40 W · 68 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc85f…15f8backed Yes12c449.04$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.471414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-75.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe9fd…4f20backed Yes4c447.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No73c445.81$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.479223.9%22 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-48.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes21c441.57$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.149333.3%31 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a8…b1f7backed Yes10c433.33$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422927.6%8 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+39.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes18c430.01$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3610128.7%29 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff06…2f60backed Yes26c420$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes27c416.65$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2324720.6%51 W · 196 L-0.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cac…10b3backed Yes10c414.91$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.521040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb491…4400backed Yes3c390.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.66100%0 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Yes7c385.71$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271376.9%10 W · 3 L+4.2wins+0.33per pick44cpaid+86.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc2f2…0ff7backed Yes5c381.44$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.07633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick12cpaid+150%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes6c378$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.351942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick30cpaid-25.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b2f…318bbacked Yes3c373.79$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+67.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85a7…2072backed No75c372.12$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2bf…04d7backed No74c360.53$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.746100%6 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+57.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No64c351.11$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.984266.7%28 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4489backed No62c349.02$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca0…52fdbacked Yes5c347.07$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2267…3355backed No61c336.57$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.26757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9278…9a1bbacked Yes31c320.8$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8eac…a9f2backed Yes10c291.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x98af…cf81backed Yes27c273$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf787…1b63backed Yes14c272.66$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.45633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-49.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes12c269.58$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.358330.1%25 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes10c267.61$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.243636.1%13 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7d5…0789backed No73c263.84$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.44850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd2b…4090backed Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67c9…1ef1backed Yes8c250$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+41.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x570a…e1f0backed Yes6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Yes13c220$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf2…2ce6backed Yes14c208$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.12825%2 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+69.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes15c205$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.757545.3%34 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No74c200.78$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3811266.1%74 W · 38 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.