Tennis · resolved market
Cagliari: Aleksandar Vukic vs Marcos Giron
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8a6f433ffa5aecf63c3a79d85c36ccfbc22974bdae036e64fa3eb65b1e36851e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marcos Gironof Aleksandar Vukic, Marcos Giron
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,004
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aleksandar Vukic | 9c | 2,011$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.74 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Aleksandar Vukic | 33c | 1,992$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.41 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Aleksandar Vukic | 36c | 1,962$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Marcos Giron | 65c | 1,827$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.81 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Marcos Giron | 73c | 1,491$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.5 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac83…239cbacked Marcos Giron | 63c | 1,186$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aleksandar Vukic | 25c | 1,120$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.54 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffb…b2f8backed Marcos Giron | 67c | 1,100$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…9326backed Marcos Giron | 64c | 1,077$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.9 | 277 | 39%108 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0437…30f4backed Aleksandar Vukic | 37c | 1,045$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Aleksandar Vukic | 32c | 1,005$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.7 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Aleksandar Vukic | 37c | 918.07$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.69 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked Aleksandar Vukic | 32c | 892.68$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.18 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Marcos Giron | 64c | 873.05$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.61 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Aleksandar Vukic | 33c | 812.63$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.17 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Aleksandar Vukic | 29c | 723.73$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.9 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Marcos Giron | 70c | 643.58$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.29 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…c76fbacked Aleksandar Vukic | 18c | 552.44$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Aleksandar Vukic | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Aleksandar Vukic | 31c | 479.3$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.58 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…b202backed Aleksandar Vukic | 30c | 360.75$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.23 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Aleksandar Vukic | 43c | 347.56$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.45 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Aleksandar Vukic | 27c | 325$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.75 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Aleksandar Vukic | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Aleksandar Vukic | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Aleksandar Vukic | 32c | 284.29$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.97 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Aleksandar Vukic | 15c | 232.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Aleksandar Vukic | 33c | 202.73$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.32 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…969abacked Marcos Giron | 64c | 183.45$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.04 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Marcos Giron | 67c | 175.56$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 267 | 59.6%159 W · 108 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Aleksandar Vukic | 41c | 164.69$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.52 | 211 | 49.8%105 W · 106 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…8181backed Aleksandar Vukic | 31c | 153$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 812 | 56.2%456 W · 356 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Aleksandar Vukic | 32c | 142.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.48 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Marcos Giron | 70c | 140.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 1,026 | 50%513 W · 513 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Marcos Giron | 64c | 132.78$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.18 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Aleksandar Vukic | 36c | 109.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Aleksandar Vukic | 31c | 109.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.05 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Marcos Giron | 64c | 107.01$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb740…2ec1backed Marcos Giron | 64c | 107.01$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.52 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Marcos Giron | 65c | 104.75$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…9b4bbacked Marcos Giron | 64c | 100.9$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Aleksandar Vukic | 34c | 96.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Marcos Giron | 65c | 95.67$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c13…ef2ebacked Aleksandar Vukic | 42c | 91.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Marcos Giron | 64c | 78.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…07aabacked Marcos Giron | 64c | 76.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 167 | 62.9%105 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85db…d0e7backed Marcos Giron | 64c | 76.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed Marcos Giron | 55c | 76.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Marcos Giron | 67c | 75.59$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Marcos Giron | 67c | 63.64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 401 | 61.1%245 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…4fb3backed Aleksandar Vukic | 31c | 61.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Aleksandar Vukic | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Marcos Giron | 64c | 54.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Marcos Giron | 61c | 52.56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.51 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Marcos Giron | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Marcos Giron | 62c | 47.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Marcos Giron | 68c | 44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…5e53backed Marcos Giron | 67c | 43.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Marcos Giron | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Aleksandar Vukic | 37c | 34.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…af5ebacked Marcos Giron | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…8a14backed Aleksandar Vukic | 35c | 30.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Marcos Giron | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 474 | 47.9%227 W · 247 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eac…fabebacked Marcos Giron | 70c | 28.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7a…bc49backed Marcos Giron | 70c | 27.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Aleksandar Vukic | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe36a…ae58backed Marcos Giron | 64c | 22.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4f…ac4bbacked Marcos Giron | 67c | 21.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Marcos Giron | 63c | 18.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.