Spread: Germany (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f9269229cbf3215c56c3697c1392a6806197d0f0a6c730cc94af6ce3531e508

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Ecuadorof Germany, Ecuador
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $738,876
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $712,041

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $738,876 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Germany	13c	120,394$15,351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,350.69	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Germany	19c	46,869$8,985 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,985.48	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Germany	20c	27,820$5,449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,448.54	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Germany	20c	24,635$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	187	40.6%76 W · 111 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Germany	18c	22,194$3,986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,986.47	245	33.5%82 W · 163 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ecuador	75c	20,409$15,307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,102.04	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Germany	21c	19,037$3,936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,935.5	239	42.3%101 W · 138 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Germany	29c	15,572$4,572 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,572.02	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Germany	28c	15,189$4,307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,307.45	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Germany	30c	14,278$4,313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,313.5	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Germany	18c	13,102$2,303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,302.83	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13d0…593dbacked Germany	21c	9,530$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	123	29.3%36 W · 87 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Germany	17c	9,479$1,611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,611.45	208	44.7%93 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Germany	17c	8,894$1,512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,511.98	387	34.4%133 W · 254 L	-4.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Germany	16c	8,566$1,357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,357.09	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Germany	20c	8,010$1,632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,632.01	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Germany	16c	7,112$1,138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,137.77	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Germany	19c	7,000$1,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,360	105	18.1%19 W · 86 L	-7.3wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f03…ec6abacked Germany	15c	6,667$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	78	24.4%19 W · 59 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-28%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Germany	20c	5,555$1,111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,111	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Germany	20c	5,026$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$998.98	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Germany	19c	5,000$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950	380	26.6%101 W · 279 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Ecuador	70c	5,000$3,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,500	104	71.2%74 W · 30 L	+6.0wins	+0.06per pick	65cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Germany	24c	4,921$1,188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,187.51	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Ecuador	72c	4,919$3,528 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,391.42	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Germany	30c	4,900$1,469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,469.22	141	32.6%46 W · 95 L	-8.9wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Ecuador	75c	4,777$3,569 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,208.55	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Germany	17c	4,136$714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$713.57	432	30.1%130 W · 302 L	-17.6wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-41%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Ecuador	80c	4,000$3,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$800	116	57.8%67 W · 49 L	+6.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Germany	11c	3,635$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.81	657	37.4%246 W · 411 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee39…c0fbbacked Germany	19c	3,200$592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$592	42	21.4%9 W · 33 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbfc…e387backed Germany	27c	2,899$783 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$782.6	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.3wins	-0.25per pick	48cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Germany	18c	2,728$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.39	626	33.9%212 W · 414 L	-28.6wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcf2…1e5bbacked Germany	19c	2,632$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-23%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Germany	16c	2,202$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.96	281	33.1%93 W · 188 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40a0…829fbacked Germany	18c	1,667$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Germany	23c	1,646$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.97	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Germany	18c	1,611$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	193	17.1%33 W · 160 L	-7.0wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc6b…8115backed Germany	8c	1,531$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117	229	14%32 W · 197 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Germany	18c	1,488$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.18	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Germany	19c	1,346$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.42	3,213	47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L	-7.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc89e…6a30backed Germany	4c	1,300$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Germany	18c	1,056$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	196	44.9%88 W · 108 L	+9.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x541c…a7ecbacked Germany	11c	1,052$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.03	69	18.8%13 W · 56 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Ecuador	67c	1,032$693 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$339.27	589	42.6%251 W · 338 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Germany	19c	1,000$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.55	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Germany	18c	1,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	170	30%51 W · 119 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce37…a2d6backed Germany	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	26cpaid	+63.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e98…1583backed Germany	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	83	49.4%41 W · 42 L	+6.0wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e63…1cedbacked Germany	21c	1,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	69	20.3%14 W · 55 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb328…4447backed Germany	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Ecuador	68c	988.07$671 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$316.61	264	59.5%157 W · 107 L	+18.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9865…57acbacked Germany	21c	952.38$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	109	11%12 W · 97 L	-9.4wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-66%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xff53…f5ecbacked Germany	29c	944.93$274 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.53	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Ecuador	79c	904.68$716 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.14	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Germany	28c	876.95$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.71	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Germany	18c	799.99$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	414	29%120 W · 294 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc14c…f8afbacked Germany	19c	789.47$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	46	23.9%11 W · 35 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d8…9fdabacked Germany	20c	769.49$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.07	257	41.6%107 W · 150 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-24%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Germany	17c	757.09$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.83	735	36.3%267 W · 468 L	-32.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Germany	14c	750$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.5	226	23.5%53 W · 173 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Germany	18c	740.44$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.28	783	17.4%136 W · 647 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Ecuador	80c	737.5$587 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.07	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf763…a0aabacked Ecuador	71c	722.74$515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$207.37	187	65.2%122 W · 65 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Germany	15c	719.87$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.98	302	20.2%61 W · 241 L	-15.6wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf639…4a74backed Germany	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	173	22.5%39 W · 134 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Germany	25c	643.8$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.78	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Ecuador	59c	643$379 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$263.63	130	59.2%77 W · 53 L	+31.0wins	+0.24per pick	35cpaid	+118.1%equal weight	72+0.20 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Germany	20c	638.16$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	608	21.9%133 W · 475 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc73a…1a1abacked Germany	16c	611.48$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	127	27.6%35 W · 92 L	-5.4wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9b7…0699backed Germany	25c	518.02$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.37	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aa9…8c7bbacked Germany	31c	512.66$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.32	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3066…693abacked Germany	20c	500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	79	46.8%37 W · 42 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f3…ec52backed Germany	21c	500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	76	44.7%34 W · 42 L	+8.6wins	+0.11per pick	33cpaid	+38.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Germany	19c	500$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	372	37.4%139 W · 233 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Germany	19c	499.98$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82f2…27d4backed Germany	17c	485.54$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.92	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-23%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Germany	13c	484.86$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.03	431	39%168 W · 263 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Germany	22c	484.7$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.82	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Germany	28c	477.99$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.58	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Germany	19c	477.3$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.23	722	47.2%341 W · 381 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b61…230ebacked Germany	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	159	36.5%58 W · 101 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd404…b4ebbacked Germany	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	68	23.5%16 W · 52 L	-2.7wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dac…dcd9backed Germany	21c	476.19$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	82	23.2%19 W · 63 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Ecuador	73c	475.45$347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.91	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9c2…9389backed Germany	19c	472.26$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.73	58	19%11 W · 47 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Germany	7c	457$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.76	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Germany	19c	447.92$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.33	879	38.6%339 W · 540 L	+8.3wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27b9…90d0backed Ecuador	76c	414$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.08	163	36.2%59 W · 104 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Germany	29c	413.79$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Germany	14c	408$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.12	186	33.3%62 W · 124 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x38c5…22d8backed Ecuador	80c	400$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	59	67.8%40 W · 19 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f41…e6aebacked Ecuador	80c	400$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80	88	53.4%47 W · 41 L	+7.1wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+31.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe40b…9ab4backed Germany	13c	384.61$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	199	39.2%78 W · 121 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f84…be62backed Germany	17c	376.41$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.99	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6590…cf07backed Germany	17c	358.36$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Germany	19c	345.74$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.22	878	37.2%327 W · 551 L	-41.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Ecuador	79c	344.83$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.35	167	58.7%98 W · 69 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Germany	19c	317.2$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.69	1,421	47.8%679 W · 742 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Germany	18c	310$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.8	206	46.1%95 W · 111 L	+12.9wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Germany (-2.5)this page
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 1.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 1.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 4.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 5.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 6.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 7.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Germany won
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Germany won
Spread: Ecuador (-4.5)Germany won
Spread: Ecuador (-5.5)Germany won
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Germany (-3.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Germany (-4.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Germany (-5.5)Ecuador won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Germany (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event