Fifa International · resolved market
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score in First Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16773faa070f74c49dc0758bd24f81a0d79cdf5c0e7edb588fbebd977066ab6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1104…002abacked No | 66c | 2,634$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.46 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed No | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 33c | 1,875$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,249.88 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 1,137$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.53 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Yes | 22c | 1,004$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.15 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 78c | 768.83$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.68 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 33c | 707.57$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.46 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 78c | 657$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.46 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 78c | 567.88$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.95 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 77c | 461.62$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.44 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 30c | 453$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.52 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 58c | 406$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.4 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 66c | 386.52$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.01 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…33e1backed No | 12c | 340.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +12.6wins | +0.25per pick | 14cpaid | +138.3%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 78c | 324.14$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.83 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 79c | 297$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.59 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 66c | 295.88$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 21c | 290$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 21c | 255.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.61 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b3…3d44backed No | 11c | 248.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 138 | 13%18 W · 120 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 36c | 247.8$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.65 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd8…f260backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 379 | 19.5%74 W · 305 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaae0…3616backed Yes | 36c | 172.08$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.13 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 66c | 150$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 64c | 147.56$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.88 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 78c | 135.8$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.92 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 78c | 132.42$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.04 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 366 | 31.1%114 W · 252 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc44…fa40backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2952…f50dbacked Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6343…943bbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f08…f01dbacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…4e3fbacked No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf4…f4c3backed No | 78c | 61.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 151 | 25.2%38 W · 113 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a20…bda6backed Yes | 22c | 59.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.48 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…3773backed Yes | 23c | 56.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd3…04b9backed Yes | 23c | 55.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…a42abacked Yes | 21c | 54.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb55…602dbacked Yes | 34c | 36.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x978a…202ebacked Yes | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e49…7186backed No | 78c | 24.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Yes | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | +20.5wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 161 | 57.8%93 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58c…56e3backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 78c | 14.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 78c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score in First Halfthis page
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 1.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 6.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 7.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Germany won
- Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Germany won
- Spread: Ecuador (-4.5)Germany won
- Spread: Ecuador (-5.5)Germany won
- Spread: Germany (-1.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Germany (-2.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Germany (-3.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Germany (-4.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Germany (-5.5)Ecuador won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.