Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 5.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf29a0b1963077209946829f7270b4fd77d7e5040a2fbc873a1c91e0569f4d625

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $303,370
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $295,824

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $303,370 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x58b3…653cbacked Over	9c	18,000$1,620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,620	86	17.4%15 W · 71 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over	9c	17,847$1,606 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,606.19	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	9c	12,679$1,136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,135.86	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over	13c	12,360$1,642 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,642.42	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fa…aeecbacked Over	6c	9,854$614 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$614.28	40	27.5%11 W · 29 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over	8c	9,526$801 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800.59	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	14c	5,326$749 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$748.6	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Over	2c	5,001$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.63	383	33.9%130 W · 253 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	5c	3,589$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.05	108	36.1%39 W · 69 L	+8.7wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over	2c	3,001$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.77	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	1c	2,880$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.34	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Over	7c	2,160$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.2	44	25%11 W · 33 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under	72c	2,158$1,555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$602.94	71	63.4%45 W · 26 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Over	9c	2,150$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.5	605	11.4%69 W · 536 L	-16.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x426d…6885backed Over	9c	2,134$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	78	44.9%35 W · 43 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	13c	2,074$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.53	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	6c	2,053$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.52	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Over	19c	2,000$380 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380	98	21.4%21 W · 77 L	-8.6wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-26%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over	8c	1,888$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.03	159	20.1%32 W · 127 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under	79c	1,818$1,442 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$376.74	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	10c	1,780$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.17	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08cc…67babacked Over	10c	1,780$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178	52	9.6%5 W · 47 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Over	8c	1,562$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.35	57	31.6%18 W · 39 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over	10c	1,532$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.16	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over	17c	1,529$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.99	855	50.6%433 W · 422 L	+54.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Over	7c	1,387$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.93	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddfc…cd9ebacked Over	5c	1,250$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.99	60	43.3%26 W · 34 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Over	6c	1,148$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.4	589	26.8%158 W · 431 L	-30.5wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9865…57acbacked Over	10c	1,100$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	109	11%12 W · 97 L	-9.4wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-66%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over	7c	1,049$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.39	384	37%142 W · 242 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	13c	944.17$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.81	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x963f…b421backed Over	9c	900$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	32	12.5%4 W · 28 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Over	6c	854.4$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.46	74	31.1%23 W · 51 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x97a1…d1eebacked Under	78c	846.15$660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.15	121	54.5%66 W · 55 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0c3…dde1backed Over	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	47	25.5%12 W · 35 L	-3.9wins	-0.08per pick	34cpaid	-46%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed0d…bc18backed Under	74c	675.95$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.95	82	31.7%26 W · 56 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b0…5672backed Over	9c	621.44$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.93	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe821…3128backed Under	80c	614.26$491 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.85	56	58.9%33 W · 23 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed Over	8c	613.42$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.46	37	27%10 W · 27 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Over	9c	605.78$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.52	774	33.1%256 W · 518 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe893…afaebacked Over	10c	578.09$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.81	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0367…e7fbbacked Over	9c	555.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	73	19.2%14 W · 59 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over	8c	530$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.4	308	36%111 W · 197 L	-17.3wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	451	20.6%93 W · 358 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over	9c	460.23$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.95	1,669	41.6%694 W · 975 L	+15.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Over	13c	407.49$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.96	788	35.3%278 W · 510 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14cb…482dbacked Under	78c	404.14$315 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.91	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	67cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Over	3c	379.16$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.39	782	34.3%268 W · 514 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc30f…b556backed Under	76c	366.49$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.96	35	65.7%23 W · 12 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	59cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over	24c	363.42$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.72	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf04f…4da0backed Over	29c	344.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	57	52.6%30 W · 27 L	+7.3wins	+0.13per pick	40cpaid	+39.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	9c	343.39$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.8	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over	9c	333.33$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	522	17.4%91 W · 431 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked Over	19c	324$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.16	226	23.5%53 W · 173 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over	32c	316.4$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	282	58.2%164 W · 118 L	+10.0wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7989…2a37backed Over	8c	312.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.14per pick	44cpaid	+28%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over	10c	310$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	438	19.2%84 W · 354 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over	8c	300$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	1,421	47.8%679 W · 742 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	20c	276.69$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.4	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Over	5c	260$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	1,045	29.3%306 W · 739 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc20…8ed3backed Under	77c	255.84$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.84	96	59.4%57 W · 39 L	-4.6wins	-0.05per pick	64cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over	9c	255.56$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	146	12.3%18 W · 128 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x059c…f863backed Over	7c	246.15$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.23	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+3.4wins	+0.31per pick	24cpaid	+121.2%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over	14c	234.51$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.69	1,795	44.2%794 W · 1,001 L	-12.9wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d8…9fdabacked Over	9c	233$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.97	257	41.6%107 W · 150 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-24%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49e1…a8bdbacked Over	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	125	17.6%22 W · 103 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe059…daaebacked Over	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	117	20.5%24 W · 93 L	+4.5wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e79…9076backed Over	15c	218.57$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.2	413	39%161 W · 252 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5308…caf6backed Over	24c	208.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bb1…daf7backed Over	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	188	21.8%41 W · 147 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Over	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	323	17.6%57 W · 266 L	-43.8wins	-0.14per pick	31cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd91e…a433backed Under	76c	195.72$149 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.97	167	39.5%66 W · 101 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	18c	195.7$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.5	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e0c…827abacked Over	8c	187.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d2a…2d72backed Over	7c	185.71$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-3.3wins	-0.25per pick	41cpaid	-70.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb69d…7678backed Over	27c	185.19$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	121	38.8%47 W · 74 L	+9.2wins	+0.08per pick	31cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over	21c	178.54$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.68	237	36.3%86 W · 151 L	-8.5wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-27%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Over	29c	176$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.04	658	35%230 W · 428 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa23f…7f29backed Over	11c	168$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.48	157	45.9%72 W · 85 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd35d…59acbacked Over	6c	162.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18fc…b534backed Over	16c	137.96$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.07	142	58.5%83 W · 59 L	-7.5wins	-0.05per pick	64cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Over	16c	127.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.82	432	30.1%130 W · 302 L	-17.6wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-41%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over	18c	123.5$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.89	233	45.1%105 W · 128 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Over	25c	114.8$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.22	635	44.4%282 W · 353 L	-18.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5276…800dbacked Over	9c	113.08$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.18	120	46.7%56 W · 64 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa45a…02e5backed Under	74c	108.11$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.11	111	49.5%55 W · 56 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa085…7fccbacked Over	19c	105.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	50	50%25 W · 25 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf69…4fa2backed Over	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc86b…6e26backed Over	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	150	40.7%61 W · 89 L	-7.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-19%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ac2…ca2ebacked Under	70c	99.99$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	4	100%4 W · 0 L	+1.8wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+93.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Over	17c	96.1$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.57	626	33.9%212 W · 414 L	-28.6wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over	14c	95$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.3	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	29c	76$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.04	876	51.1%448 W · 428 L	+25.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6635…ecb4backed Over	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	60	38.3%23 W · 37 L	-9.5wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Over	29c	35.83$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.44	984	39.2%386 W · 598 L	+8.7wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Under	79c	28.54$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.99	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 5.5this page
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 1.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 1.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 2.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 0.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 1.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5Over won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 4.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 6.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 7.5Under won
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 8.5Under won
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Germany won
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Germany won
Spread: Ecuador (-4.5)Germany won
Spread: Ecuador (-5.5)Germany won
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Germany (-3.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Germany (-4.5)Ecuador won
Spread: Germany (-5.5)Ecuador won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 5.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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