TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$183,706
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$220,112

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,706 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked Under21c25,053$5,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,197.0433538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under19c23,412$4,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,355.934,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under20c6,981$1,384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,384.251,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over79c6,916$5,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,475.472,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x860b…65f0backed Over79c6,329$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.11250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under20c6,315$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.9570244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over80c6,250$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2508672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over80c6,250$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25016947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under11c5,353$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.0132656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Under21c5,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0509823.5%23 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5be2…1b70backed Over80c3,988$3,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.623060%18 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over79c3,823$3,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.828,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under20c3,458$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.242,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over79c3,381$2,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.092,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over80c3,360$2,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.961,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Over80c3,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60033235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23b0…13a3backed Under23c3,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69015128.5%43 W · 108 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Under15c2,500$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.3714433.3%48 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0079…1139backed Over80c2,500$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003855.3%21 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Under18c2,405$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42516325.8%42 W · 121 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e2…1327backed Under21c2,381$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004820.8%10 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under20c1,850$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.911,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…307dbacked Over80c1,739$1,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.7428258.2%164 W · 118 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c11…bd90backed Over79c1,700$1,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3578053.8%43 W · 37 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51af…8720backed Under20c1,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001915.8%3 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under20c1,354$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.272,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over80c1,301$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.2533544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e9b…a0ecbacked Over79c1,266$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.823754.1%20 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-21.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2adc…7e50backed Over80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Under3c1,061$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5362633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Under21c1,050$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.560511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over79c1,041$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.422,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x23fa…140bbacked Over79c1,013$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.6616750.3%84 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35b1…8962backed Over79c1,003$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.535543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2103,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Under21c999.7$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.9413548.9%66 W · 69 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cea…371bbacked Over79c941.65$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.756851.5%35 W · 33 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Over79c883.06$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.446965.2%45 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Over79c764.4$604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.523557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over80c750$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15010261.8%63 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d76…11aebacked Over79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.918252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8963…de64backed Under6c564.67$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.888838.6%34 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdad9…c300backed Over80c533.04$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.61771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over72c513.38$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.7569534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Over80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10063152.9%334 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe995…5255backed Under20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016030.6%49 W · 111 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under21c500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9762…73fbbacked Over80c494.83$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.973171%22 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick71cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe270…eab5backed Under17c480$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.224136.9%89 W · 152 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe03b…e801backed Under21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004623.9%11 W · 35 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cc1…8fe0backed Under21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004621.7%10 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-33.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c99…5351backed Under21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005320.8%11 W · 42 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-34%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x673b…7a24backed Under21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005320.8%11 W · 42 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-34%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5376…f48abacked Under21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004725.5%12 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02eb…a47abacked Under21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x22cc…740cbacked Under21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009033.3%30 W · 60 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aba…4b1ebacked Under21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004723.4%11 W · 36 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26a7…be9bbacked Under21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004626.1%12 W · 34 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x042f…30ebbacked Under21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0274…5a2ebacked Under21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Over74c425.99$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7640649.8%202 W · 204 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ea1…c38ebacked Under24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009435.1%33 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c78…c49fbacked Over79c377.08$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.1910754.2%58 W · 49 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dbb…352fbacked Over80c375$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7516441.5%68 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea96…693abacked Over80c369.09$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8214940.3%60 W · 89 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under16c341.53$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.181,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over79c337.72$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.583,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf97…6106backed Over79c320.51$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.311540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cea…181dbacked Over79c316.46$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.466468.8%44 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6067354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under21c298$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5859752.1%311 W · 286 L-2.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under21c291.68$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.953,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ee5…5e7dbacked Over80c259.43$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.8916366.3%108 W · 55 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb078…289ebacked Over79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1620756%116 W · 91 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5630…6ca8backed Over80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507272.2%52 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Under21c250$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.52441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+39.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Under20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030321.5%65 W · 238 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a1e…5bb5backed Under7c250$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.545740.3%184 W · 273 L-28.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked Under20c240.38$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0832046.6%149 W · 171 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4b…dd99backed Under21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503721.6%8 W · 29 L-5.9wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-52%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xadcb…c2bebacked Under21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509532.6%31 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under21c223.97$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.821,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf0…fdbebacked Over79c221.98$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6214257.7%82 W · 60 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x004c…ab0cbacked Over79c221.39$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4911170.3%78 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick69cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Over79c216.93$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5652744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1840…6798backed Under21c214.52$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0513130.5%40 W · 91 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a21…e859backed Over80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4025735%90 W · 167 L-1.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over78c192.07$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2574447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f67…4869backed Under21c190.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-27.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd60f…5165backed Over79c188.56$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.67659.2%45 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8a…b9f8backed Over80c187.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.53461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b9c…b478backed Over80c187.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.59163.7%58 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe29…eb76backed Under22c181.81$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012152.1%63 W · 58 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under12c173.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.21,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc278…a03ebacked Over74c170$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.23661.1%22 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Under19c158.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.071,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Under25c155.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb39a…abedbacked Over78c150$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336648.5%32 W · 34 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under18c147.5$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.554,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.