Fifa International · resolved market
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb811e47814afe7e851371c4cbb53fce0e2e94b048e5ba5b7e76905511eabbde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $183,706
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $220,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,706 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Under | 21c | 25,053$5,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,197.04 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 19c | 23,412$4,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,355.93 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 6,981$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.25 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 79c | 6,916$5,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475.47 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860b…65f0backed Over | 79c | 6,329$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 20c | 6,315$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.95 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 80c | 6,250$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…ab37backed Over | 80c | 6,250$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 11c | 5,353$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.01 | 326 | 56.1%183 W · 143 L | +29.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed Under | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 98 | 23.5%23 W · 75 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…1b70backed Over | 80c | 3,988$3,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.62 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 79c | 3,823$3,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.82 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 20c | 3,458$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.24 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 79c | 3,381$2,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.09 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 80c | 3,360$2,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.96 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Over | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b0…13a3backed Under | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Under | 15c | 2,500$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.37 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…1139backed Over | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Under | 18c | 2,405$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 163 | 25.8%42 W · 121 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e2…1327backed Under | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 20c | 1,850$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.91 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 80c | 1,739$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.74 | 282 | 58.2%164 W · 118 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c11…bd90backed Over | 79c | 1,700$1,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51af…8720backed Under | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 20c | 1,354$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.27 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 80c | 1,301$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.25 | 335 | 44.5%149 W · 186 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9b…a0ecbacked Over | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2adc…7e50backed Over | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Under | 3c | 1,061$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Under | 21c | 1,050$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.5 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 79c | 1,041$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.42 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fa…140bbacked Over | 79c | 1,013$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.66 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b1…8962backed Over | 79c | 1,003$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.53 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Under | 21c | 999.7$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.94 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…371bbacked Over | 79c | 941.65$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.75 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Over | 79c | 883.06$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.44 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Over | 79c | 764.4$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.52 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 80c | 750$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d76…11aebacked Over | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8963…de64backed Under | 6c | 564.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad9…c300backed Over | 80c | 533.04$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 72c | 513.38$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.75 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 631 | 52.9%334 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe995…5255backed Under | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 160 | 30.6%49 W · 111 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Under | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9762…73fbbacked Over | 80c | 494.83$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.97 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…eab5backed Under | 17c | 480$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 241 | 36.9%89 W · 152 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe03b…e801backed Under | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…8fe0backed Under | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c99…5351backed Under | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x673b…7a24backed Under | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5376…f48abacked Under | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02eb…a47abacked Under | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…740cbacked Under | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…4b1ebacked Under | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26a7…be9bbacked Under | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x042f…30ebbacked Under | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0274…5a2ebacked Under | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Over | 74c | 425.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.76 | 406 | 49.8%202 W · 204 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea1…c38ebacked Under | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c78…c49fbacked Over | 79c | 377.08$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.19 | 107 | 54.2%58 W · 49 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…352fbacked Over | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 164 | 41.5%68 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea96…693abacked Over | 80c | 369.09$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.82 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 16c | 341.53$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 79c | 337.72$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.58 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf97…6106backed Over | 79c | 320.51$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.31 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cea…181dbacked Over | 79c | 316.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 21c | 298$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.58 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 21c | 291.68$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee5…5e7dbacked Over | 80c | 259.43$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.89 | 163 | 66.3%108 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb078…289ebacked Over | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 72 | 72.2%52 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Under | 21c | 250$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Under | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 303 | 21.5%65 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed Under | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 457 | 40.3%184 W · 273 L | -28.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Under | 20c | 240.38$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 320 | 46.6%149 W · 171 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…dd99backed Under | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -5.9wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -52%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadcb…c2bebacked Under | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 32.6%31 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 21c | 223.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Over | 79c | 221.98$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x004c…ab0cbacked Over | 79c | 221.39$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 111 | 70.3%78 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Over | 79c | 216.93$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 527 | 44.4%234 W · 293 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1840…6798backed Under | 21c | 214.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a21…e859backed Over | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 78c | 192.07$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f67…4869backed Under | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…5165backed Over | 79c | 188.56$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8a…b9f8backed Over | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…b478backed Over | 80c | 187.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 91 | 63.7%58 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…eb76backed Under | 22c | 181.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 12c | 173.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a03ebacked Over | 74c | 170$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Under | 19c | 158.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Under | 25c | 155.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39a…abedbacked Over | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 18c | 147.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 1.5this page
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 1.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 6.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 7.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Germany won
- Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Germany won
- Spread: Ecuador (-4.5)Germany won
- Spread: Ecuador (-5.5)Germany won
- Spread: Germany (-1.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Germany (-2.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Germany (-3.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Germany (-4.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Germany (-5.5)Ecuador won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.