TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$345,300
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$397,977

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $345,300 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 422 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9243…658ebacked No44c100,000$44,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,999.8115249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed Yes56c80,199$44,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,287.429323.7%22 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No44c24,819$10,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,804.014,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed No45c19,999$8,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,899.7238026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes56c13,659$7,626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,033.328,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e3a…55babacked Yes67c11,918$8,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,889.7815044%66 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x63c5…b85cbacked No0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes57c9,262$5,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,960.921,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No44c9,000$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,96029646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No44c6,321$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,800.232,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Yes56c5,778$3,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,542.4416546.1%76 W · 89 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dae…fff9backed Yes55c5,436$2,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,446.366631.8%21 W · 45 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa04c…9e3fbacked Yes56c5,357$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,357.144136.6%15 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b46…8438backed Yes56c5,357$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,357.149454.3%51 W · 43 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes66c5,212$3,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,771.981,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed No43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.9720044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes55c5,000$2,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,249.9670648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c1d…4162backed Yes56c4,663$2,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,051.51643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Yes54c4,507$2,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,073.18847.7%42 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e45…5b61backed Yes56c4,471$2,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,967.436154.1%33 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked No35c4,078$1,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,427.4120448%98 W · 106 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No44c4,000$1,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,76029250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x694d…9aadbacked No41c3,645$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004650%23 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Yes61c3,601$2,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,416.3166846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1104…002abacked No33c3,000$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9954320.9%9 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-48%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes66c2,898$1,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.353,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked No35c2,709$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.1862633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes66c2,691$1,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.53,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3f…6deebacked Yes56c2,561$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,126.833754.1%20 W · 17 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+44.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Yes56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10017944.1%79 W · 100 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed Yes56c2,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1004456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes56c2,380$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.367972.2%57 W · 22 L+10.3wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes56c2,321$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.439440.4%38 W · 56 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x725b…8016backed Yes55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.983345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No44c2,000$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.9431851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed No40c1,990$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.9937944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9187…11c2backed Yes56c1,829$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.574422.7%10 W · 34 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x502e…5442backed Yes56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.7116746.7%78 W · 89 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Yes57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.3925228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Yes55c1,627$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.0822752.4%119 W · 108 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Yes64c1,535$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.7320646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Yes55c1,515$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.5430142.5%128 W · 173 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Yes57c1,476$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.829150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked No44c1,470$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.86031.7%19 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3221…166abacked Yes56c1,440$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.71844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes56c1,429$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.5789443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes55c1,418$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.170244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No45c1,339$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.4258942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Yes57c1,336$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.7414234.5%49 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes56c1,310$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.462,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes57c1,281$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$550.862,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No45c1,265$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.213,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90f8…64c9backed No46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023224.1%56 W · 176 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked No6c1,082$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.987837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed No36c1,020$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.0524635.8%88 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No45c1,000$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.013,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44016647.6%79 W · 87 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed No45c999.99$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44523729.1%69 W · 168 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Yes55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45037754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x839f…fb43backed Yes56c999.99$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4409149.5%45 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No44c985.53$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.632,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No32c958.22$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3102,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Yes55c918.18$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.1823736.3%86 W · 151 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbeff…e9abbacked Yes55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.095747.4%27 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb297…426fbacked Yes56c901.82$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.8714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick36cpaid-74.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae19…9d13backed No34c899.99$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3066445.3%29 W · 35 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes56c895.2$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.8914061.4%86 W · 54 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe00…e985backed Yes56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.8617950.3%90 W · 89 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b60…85e0backed Yes56c892.86$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.868341%34 W · 49 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98f2…65dcbacked Yes57c869.25$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.7827655.1%152 W · 124 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe4e…9903backed No45c869$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.051637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Yes54c856.19$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.2526447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed No45c789.25$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.861,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Yes55c783.17$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.2652744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x040d…1a5ebacked No45c749.99$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.512432.3%40 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Yes56c700$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3088948.3%43 W · 46 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No44c691.15$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.111,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No46c671.87$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.612,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No44c663.9$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2914,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa896…4819backed Yes56c655$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.21163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick41cpaid+43.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xefab…a304backed Yes56c638.12$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.772100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7984…638abacked No44c599.95$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.9817042.4%72 W · 98 L-15.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Yes67c597.01$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.0179149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Yes56c594$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.364841.7%20 W · 28 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f39…5685backed No44c534.66$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.3820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…bbcdbacked Yes56c533.93$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.9312249.2%60 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4cb…a366backed No44c528.43$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.5113337.6%50 W · 83 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes55c527.27$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.2718128.2%51 W · 130 L+0.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x897c…cb6cbacked Yes57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.323470.6%24 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe6f…b760backed No45c508.38$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.773441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No45c501.33$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.413,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb11…8f3fbacked No42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2105846.6%27 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed No45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22533154.4%180 W · 151 L+25.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe83d…3324backed No45c499.99$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22511246.4%52 W · 60 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed No44c499.95$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9819750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf998…13f5backed Yes56c464.29$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2927454%148 W · 126 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Yes56c450$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1984729.8%14 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Yes67c450$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.563544.4%282 W · 353 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes56c446.84$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.612839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.