Fifa International · resolved market
Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb48be20317b77cbe8d900e1835da95b731c51c21cce21c8fbb5a1586de0dd6e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $345,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $397,977
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $345,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 422 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9243…658ebacked No | 44c | 100,000$44,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,999.81 | 152 | 49.3%75 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Yes | 56c | 80,199$44,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,287.42 | 93 | 23.7%22 W · 71 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 44c | 24,819$10,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,804.01 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed No | 45c | 19,999$8,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,899.72 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 56c | 13,659$7,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,033.32 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3a…55babacked Yes | 67c | 11,918$8,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,889.78 | 150 | 44%66 W · 84 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…b85cbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 57c | 9,262$5,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,960.92 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 44c | 9,000$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,960 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 44c | 6,321$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800.23 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Yes | 56c | 5,778$3,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,542.44 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…fff9backed Yes | 55c | 5,436$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,446.36 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa04c…9e3fbacked Yes | 56c | 5,357$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.14 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…8438backed Yes | 56c | 5,357$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.14 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 66c | 5,212$3,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.98 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.97 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.96 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1d…4162backed Yes | 56c | 4,663$2,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…9391backed Yes | 54c | 4,507$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,073.1 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e45…5b61backed Yes | 56c | 4,471$2,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.43 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked No | 35c | 4,078$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.41 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 44c | 4,000$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x694d…9aadbacked No | 41c | 3,645$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Yes | 61c | 3,601$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,416.31 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…002abacked No | 33c | 3,000$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -48%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 66c | 2,898$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.35 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked No | 35c | 2,709$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.18 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 66c | 2,691$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.5 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3f…6deebacked Yes | 56c | 2,561$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.83 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…121cbacked Yes | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e6…d471backed Yes | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Yes | 56c | 2,380$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.36 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9caf…94dcbacked Yes | 56c | 2,321$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.43 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…8016backed Yes | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.98 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.94 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09dd…7e13backed No | 40c | 1,990$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.99 | 379 | 44.1%167 W · 212 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9187…11c2backed Yes | 56c | 1,829$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.57 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502e…5442backed Yes | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 167 | 46.7%78 W · 89 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Yes | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 252 | 28.2%71 W · 181 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Yes | 55c | 1,627$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.08 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7349…cc3abacked Yes | 64c | 1,535$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.73 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…7953backed Yes | 55c | 1,515$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.54 | 301 | 42.5%128 W · 173 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Yes | 57c | 1,476$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.82 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked No | 44c | 1,470$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.8 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3221…166abacked Yes | 56c | 1,440$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.7 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 56c | 1,429$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.57 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 55c | 1,418$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.1 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 45c | 1,339$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.42 | 589 | 42.6%251 W · 338 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Yes | 57c | 1,336$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.74 | 142 | 34.5%49 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 56c | 1,310$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.46 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 57c | 1,281$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.86 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 45c | 1,265$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.21 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…64c9backed No | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 232 | 24.1%56 W · 176 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 6c | 1,082$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed No | 36c | 1,020$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.05 | 246 | 35.8%88 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 45c | 1,000$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.01 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed No | 45c | 999.99$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445 | 237 | 29.1%69 W · 168 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Yes | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…fb43backed Yes | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 44c | 985.53$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.63 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 32c | 958.22$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Yes | 55c | 918.18$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.18 | 237 | 36.3%86 W · 151 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeff…e9abbacked Yes | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb297…426fbacked Yes | 56c | 901.82$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae19…9d13backed No | 34c | 899.99$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 56c | 895.2$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.89 | 140 | 61.4%86 W · 54 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe00…e985backed Yes | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b60…85e0backed Yes | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98f2…65dcbacked Yes | 57c | 869.25$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.78 | 276 | 55.1%152 W · 124 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4e…9903backed No | 45c | 869$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.05 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed Yes | 54c | 856.19$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.25 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 45c | 789.25$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.86 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Yes | 55c | 783.17$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.26 | 527 | 44.4%234 W · 293 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked No | 45c | 749.99$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.5 | 124 | 32.3%40 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Yes | 56c | 700$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 44c | 691.15$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.11 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 46c | 671.87$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.61 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 44c | 663.9$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa896…4819backed Yes | 56c | 655$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…a304backed Yes | 56c | 638.12$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked No | 44c | 599.95$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.98 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -15.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yes | 67c | 597.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.01 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Yes | 56c | 594$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.36 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…5685backed No | 44c | 534.66$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…bbcdbacked Yes | 56c | 533.93$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.93 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cb…a366backed No | 44c | 528.43$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.51 | 133 | 37.6%50 W · 83 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes | 55c | 527.27$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.27 | 181 | 28.2%51 W · 130 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x897c…cb6cbacked Yes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed No | 45c | 508.38$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.77 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 45c | 501.33$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.41 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…8f3fbacked No | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed No | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 331 | 54.4%180 W · 151 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83d…3324backed No | 45c | 499.99$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed No | 44c | 499.95$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.98 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf998…13f5backed Yes | 56c | 464.29$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.29 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Yes | 56c | 450$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 67c | 450$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 56c | 446.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.61 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 1.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Ecuador O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 1.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 2.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 0.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 1.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5Over won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 3.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 4.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 5.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 6.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 7.5Under won
- Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Germany won
- Spread: Ecuador (-2.5)Germany won
- Spread: Ecuador (-4.5)Germany won
- Spread: Ecuador (-5.5)Germany won
- Spread: Germany (-1.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Germany (-2.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Germany (-3.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Germany (-4.5)Ecuador won
- Spread: Germany (-5.5)Ecuador won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.