Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x211cc9763666374780fb2878ee245a1cb4e27f867ab6caeed579747a5ebacf1f

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Bosnia and Herzegovinaof Bosnia and Herzegovina, Qatar
Resolved: Jun 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $4,529,863
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $4,815,614

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,529,863 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 971 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x38f0…2768backed Qatar	54c	564,044$304,584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304,583.67	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	45c	450,000$203,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247,000	155	52.3%81 W · 74 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Qatar	54c	395,045$212,665 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212,664.9	84	40.5%34 W · 50 L	-6.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	46c	360,100$166,888 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$193,211.44	208	44.7%93 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked Qatar	53c	328,700$173,928 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173,928.12	154	56.5%87 W · 67 L	+5.6wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc430…1ebfbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	49c	300,000$147,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152,999.81	89	32.6%29 W · 60 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97cb…e4d0backed Qatar	53c	287,297$152,467 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152,466.74	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+3.4wins	+0.26per pick	51cpaid	+54.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Qatar	53c	186,920$99,885 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99,885.26	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	45c	166,667$75,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91,666.67	196	44.9%88 W · 108 L	+9.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x198a…6762backed Qatar	56c	151,041$84,583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84,582.86	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	47c	150,000$70,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79,499.9	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	50c	126,825$63,462 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63,362.81	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Qatar	54c	112,520$60,761 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60,760.79	53	34%18 W · 35 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4064…f741backed Qatar	55c	110,073$60,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60,540.18	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	45c	100,000$45,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$55,000	223	48.4%108 W · 115 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb61b…8a06backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	46c	100,000$46,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54,000	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+6.9wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x580d…eb6dbacked Qatar	52c	100,000$51,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51,500	80	63.8%51 W · 29 L	+8.8wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+17%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x15c8…d2d0backed Qatar	58c	97,000$55,790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55,790	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	49c	86,859$42,164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44,695.28	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	47c	78,436$36,865 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41,571.03	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked Qatar	51c	74,999$38,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38,249.65	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+2.7wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	44c	72,464$31,974 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40,489.54	147	27.2%40 W · 107 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Qatar	52c	69,087$35,860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35,859.51	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	47c	57,017$26,575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,442.25	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Qatar	54c	51,755$27,811 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27,811.39	178	52.2%93 W · 85 L	+6.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	47c	50,000$23,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26,499.94	76	30.3%23 W · 53 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Qatar	55c	44,305$24,492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24,492.35	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	49c	40,816$20,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,816.33	187	40.6%76 W · 111 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	49c	35,000$17,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,850	270	39.6%107 W · 163 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Qatar	51c	32,045$16,343 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,342.95	93	45.2%42 W · 51 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Qatar	51c	29,412$15,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,000	140	55.7%78 W · 62 L	+15.5wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	42c	28,435$11,979 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16,456.15	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	47c	26,745$12,469 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,275.82	105	56.2%59 W · 46 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Qatar	56c	22,772$12,752 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,752.32	281	62.6%176 W · 105 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	61cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1509…ca95backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	48c	22,656$10,876 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,779.83	122	55.7%68 W · 54 L	+8.2wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Qatar	47c	22,442$10,591 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,591.18	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	47c	21,864$10,276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,587.75	82	51.2%42 W · 40 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Qatar	51c	20,000$10,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,199.99	148	29.7%44 W · 104 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Qatar	51c	19,662$10,025 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,025	69	47.8%33 W · 36 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	47c	19,431$9,133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,298.4	580	49.1%285 W · 295 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88f3…f18ebacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	46c	19,197$8,865 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,331.65	15	66.7%10 W · 5 L	+1.9wins	+0.13per pick	54cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	49c	17,729$8,687 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,041.84	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	48c	17,643$8,446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,197.58	77	57.1%44 W · 33 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	48c	16,631$7,927 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,704.43	227	52.4%119 W · 108 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Qatar	51c	15,000$7,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,649.93	192	52.1%100 W · 92 L	+10.7wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Qatar	51c	13,094$6,678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,677.75	99	48.5%48 W · 51 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Qatar	53c	12,382$6,562 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,562.32	273	45.8%125 W · 148 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	44c	10,984$4,833 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,150.77	362	50%181 W · 181 L	+7.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	65c	10,262$6,619 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,642.28	494	41.5%205 W · 289 L	+27.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf298…ada5backed Qatar	57c	10,000$5,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,650	69	43.5%30 W · 39 L	-4.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Qatar	47c	9,867$4,667 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,667.45	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	46c	9,500$4,345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,154.99	471	44.8%211 W · 260 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb748…dbddbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	38c	9,211$3,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,710.53	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	45c	9,080$4,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,980.36	218	49.5%108 W · 110 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Qatar	53c	9,072$4,792 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,792.3	335	49%164 W · 171 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Qatar	52c	9,001$4,641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,640.52	355	14.4%51 W · 304 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	45c	9,000$4,064 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,935.79	484	41.9%203 W · 281 L	-16.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	46c	9,000$4,105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,895	476	43.3%206 W · 270 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	45c	9,000$4,028 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,972.49	502	43.4%218 W · 284 L	-9.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x119b…ac3ebacked Qatar	56c	8,929$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Qatar	53c	8,507$4,492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,492.09	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	49c	8,462$4,146 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,315.44	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-2.6wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb84…5fb5backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	47c	8,373$3,935 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,437.69	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	46c	8,097$3,704 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,392.64	1,262	47.5%600 W · 662 L	-15.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…a96fbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	47c	8,000$3,760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,239.98	43	44.2%19 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	43c	7,777$3,344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,432.88	190	38.9%74 W · 116 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Qatar	52c	7,665$3,960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,960.17	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	47c	7,660$3,575 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,084.85	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcaef…c642backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	49c	7,109$3,484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,625.76	68	13.2%9 W · 59 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	55c	7,079$3,922 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,156.81	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf78…ae9ebacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	48c	7,000$3,360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,640	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	46c	6,400$2,916 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,484	441	44%194 W · 247 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa526…c9f9backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	47c	6,383$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,382.98	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+3.1wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fd8…7749backed Qatar	40c	6,353$2,533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,532.51	160	41.3%66 W · 94 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Qatar	34c	6,093$2,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,100	108	36.1%39 W · 69 L	+8.7wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	45c	6,000$2,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,300	224	51.3%115 W · 109 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	44c	6,000$2,640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,360	162	58.6%95 W · 67 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	50c	6,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000	98	23.5%23 W · 75 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	47c	5,461$2,558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,902.24	527	44.4%234 W · 293 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9227…7348backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	45c	5,382$2,422 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,960.1	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+41.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Qatar	52c	5,248$2,729 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,728.83	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde05…c96abacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	46c	5,217$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,817.39	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.54per pick	46cpaid	+117.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	73c	5,128$3,743 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,385.83	315	45.4%143 W · 172 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	49c	5,000$2,450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,550	151	50.3%76 W · 75 L	+7.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	44c	5,000$2,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,800	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9786…4c55backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,500	95	49.5%47 W · 48 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	48c	5,000$2,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,600	200	44.5%89 W · 111 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked Qatar	51c	5,000$2,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,550	100	59%59 W · 41 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	46c	4,800$2,192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,608	474	42.8%203 W · 271 L	-14.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x684e…2d3abacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	35c	4,800$1,680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,119.99	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+36.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	43c	4,500$1,935 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,564.99	223	42.6%95 W · 128 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	44c	4,354$1,928 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,426.31	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	47c	4,255$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,255.32	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde45…8597backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	47c	4,255$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,255.32	95	38.9%37 W · 58 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Qatar	54c	4,209$2,291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,290.82	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Qatar	54c	4,168$2,269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,268.72	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	45c	4,084$1,817 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,266.08	143	42.7%61 W · 82 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…100dbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	50c	4,000$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,000	327	39.1%128 W · 199 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	45c	4,000$1,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,200	125	36.8%46 W · 79 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	46c	4,000$1,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,159.99	116	57.8%67 W · 49 L	+6.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)this page
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 0.5Over won
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5Over won
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5Over won
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5Over won
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 4.5Under won
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5Under won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5Over won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5Over won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 2.5Over won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 6.5Under won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 7.5Under won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 8.5Under won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 0.5Over won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 1.5Under won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5)Qatar won
Spread: Bosnia-Herzegovina (-3.5)Qatar won
Spread: Bosnia-Herzegovina (-4.5)Qatar won
Spread: Qatar (-1.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
Spread: Qatar (-2.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event