Fifa International · resolved market
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14c1dec2aa6468ac8000615248ecb0d86c17b2d84a458f85d751c412e0084301
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 11,433$8,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,759.38 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 30c | 7,720$2,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,427.18 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e2…ec79backed Over | 17c | 5,882$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,882.35 | 87 | 23%20 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 10c | 2,330$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.39 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…7d84backed Under | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 14c | 1,466$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.28 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…9adabacked Under | 69c | 1,434$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…609fbacked Under | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | +7.6wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +183.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…cf79backed Under | 10c | 1,200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | +170.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 16c | 1,021$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.86 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…33e1backed Under | 13c | 684.83$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.48 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +12.6wins | +0.25per pick | 14cpaid | +138.3%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 36c | 634.98$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.33 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 24c | 586.84$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.21 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 68c | 569.69$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.71 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Over | 25c | 525.12$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.96 | 259 | 42.1%109 W · 150 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 36c | 512.4$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.97 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa681…8b89backed Over | 24c | 500$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.5 | 270 | 28.9%78 W · 192 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…132fbacked Over | 12c | 434.33$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.21 | 221 | 35.3%78 W · 143 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6334…6fa3backed Over | 7c | 392.62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.14 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x384f…58adbacked Under | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 29c | 376.89$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.21 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 15c | 357$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.26 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb06f…884cbacked Under | 71c | 333.83$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.91 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 23c | 321.67$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.97 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Under | 68c | 220.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.83 | 349 | 24.4%85 W · 264 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 32c | 210.76$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.16 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Over | 29c | 205.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.91 | 203 | 37.9%77 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 15c | 198.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.8 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…959fbacked Over | 29c | 169.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.49 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…c4fcbacked Over | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.67 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 78c | 164.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.16 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Over | 8c | 164.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.95 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +34.7wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +61%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa782…cbafbacked Under | 14c | 146.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…4d49backed Over | 25c | 142.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over | 30c | 135.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.14 | 242 | 42.6%103 W · 139 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd19…3fb8backed Under | 10c | 119.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 69 | 10.1%7 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…b86cbacked Under | 70c | 112.03$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.42 | 376 | 50.8%191 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2126…aeebbacked Over | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.77 | 414 | 44.9%186 W · 228 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 32c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…bc33backed Over | 24c | 70.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.4 | 226 | 26.5%60 W · 166 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under | 67c | 61.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Under | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 214 | 39.7%85 W · 129 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80b6…58b6backed Over | 35c | 49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 42cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e8…a56cbacked Under | 73c | 47.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 74c | 44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 73c | 44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.12 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 80c | 41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 69c | 40.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 70c | 34.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 234 | 40.2%94 W · 140 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe329…982ebacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 35c | 31.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.11 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f4…12dabacked Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 2.5this page
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 0.5Over won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5Over won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5Over won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 4.5Under won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5Under won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 2.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 6.5Under won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 7.5Under won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 8.5Under won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 0.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 1.5Under won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5)Qatar won
- Spread: Bosnia-Herzegovina (-3.5)Qatar won
- Spread: Bosnia-Herzegovina (-4.5)Qatar won
- Spread: Qatar (-1.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- Spread: Qatar (-2.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.