Fifa International · resolved market
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score in First Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80fff300a5f0710be68b036c63cd60c560dfea71ebf1969a65908f17e930b6de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,191
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 67c | 1,201$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.5 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 1c | 1,088$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…7d84backed No | 10c | 809.33$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.93 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…4a74backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 173 | 22.5%39 W · 134 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a2…3e89backed Yes | 21c | 435.76$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.3 | 112 | 19.6%22 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 385.61$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.97 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Yes | 9c | 334.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.44 | 409 | 12%49 W · 360 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9e…d362backed Yes | 22c | 332.05$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.05 | 114 | 36.8%42 W · 72 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 79c | 293.89$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.17 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed No | 80c | 176.46$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.17 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…cfdabacked Yes | 20c | 170$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.41 | 79 | 11.4%9 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.5 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked No | 78c | 126.86$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x978a…202ebacked Yes | 15c | 125.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.85 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 25c | 122$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 80c | 119.84$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.37 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b20…2f94backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 207 | 29%60 W · 147 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked No | 79c | 84$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.36 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 79c | 62.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…a42abacked Yes | 19c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 66 | 18.2%12 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefd1…63f0backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…653abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 25c | 49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 79c | 47.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 68c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 258 | 65.9%170 W · 88 L | +40.1wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 58c | 20.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 80c | 13.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d5…11fcbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2815…7f0cbacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score in First Halfthis page
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 0.5Over won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5Over won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5Over won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 4.5Under won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5Under won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 2.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 6.5Under won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 7.5Under won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 8.5Under won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 0.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 1.5Under won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5)Qatar won
- Spread: Bosnia-Herzegovina (-3.5)Qatar won
- Spread: Bosnia-Herzegovina (-4.5)Qatar won
- Spread: Qatar (-1.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- Spread: Qatar (-2.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.