Fifa International · resolved market
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x786b2ce53f68cdfa2684bcbaaa61e60c47fb1ecf58216a206fb699c03d13d1d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad7e…a7a9backed Under | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Under | 4c | 8,526$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.03 | 207 | 24.6%51 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9e…5b1bbacked Under | 6c | 3,200$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 5c | 3,166$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.44 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 6c | 3,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 306 | 26.5%81 W · 225 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…2b3abacked Under | 5c | 3,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 5c | 2,703$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.14 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Under | 5c | 2,500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 341 | 25.8%88 W · 253 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 6c | 2,168$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.78 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ed…3363backed Under | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb5…3f64backed Under | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77fc…0eacbacked Under | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 18.1%19 W · 86 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 6c | 1,677$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.36 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Under | 5c | 1,657$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.86 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 9c | 1,646$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.85 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 5c | 1,501$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.05 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d8…a490backed Under | 5c | 1,418$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.9 | 205 | 39%80 W · 125 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c5…22f7backed Under | 8c | 1,066$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.25 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee6…9bb0backed Under | 6c | 1,017$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…a2bcbacked Under | 4c | 599.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 117 | 21.4%25 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Under | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…1cd2backed Under | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 74 | 18.9%14 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Under | 5c | 499.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 6c | 493.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287b…3cadbacked Under | 5c | 441.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Under | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 248 | 25.8%64 W · 184 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…237cbacked Under | 7c | 357.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed Under | 6c | 349.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 181 | 18.2%33 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23e6…7bbfbacked Under | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 177 | 27.1%48 W · 129 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 5c | 239.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Under | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 120 | 13.3%16 W · 104 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…4464backed Under | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e90…4a0dbacked Under | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…04f7backed Under | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 156 | 21.8%34 W · 122 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 0.5this page
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5Over won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5Over won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 4.5Under won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5Under won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 2.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 6.5Under won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 7.5Under won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 8.5Under won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 0.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 1.5Under won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5)Qatar won
- Spread: Bosnia-Herzegovina (-3.5)Qatar won
- Spread: Bosnia-Herzegovina (-4.5)Qatar won
- Spread: Qatar (-1.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- Spread: Qatar (-2.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.