TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$75,758
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,572

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,758 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224f…514abacked Under80c5,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Under64c3,837$2,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.2216953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked Under55c3,601$1,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,609.852763%17 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+27.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe23b…7c42backed Under56c3,549$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,548.655860.3%35 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over15c3,465$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.9159453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over33c3,241$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,062.392,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over26c2,999$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.44,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over39c2,967$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.444,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over32c2,486$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.152,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25067447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over44c1,196$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.323,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe4e…d0c6backed Over48c1,181$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.811035.5%39 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a8…140fbacked Over34c999.97$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.993855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under80c871$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.23,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbd9…de31backed Under60c833.42$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.425360.4%32 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over37c717$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.2965737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over37c700$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2594,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77ac…5750backed Over76c654.74$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4954772.3%34 W · 13 L+10.7wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+50.8%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over20c550.78$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.161,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaae5…2341backed Under12c519.92$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.535724.6%14 W · 43 L+6.6wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+88%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Under53c499.98$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.9914856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f75…ce35backed Under78c375.89$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1821439.7%85 W · 129 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over38c358.25$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.651,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over31c357.41$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.422,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf31a…bfbabacked Over15c330$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.524616.3%40 W · 206 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under79c315.99$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.362,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Over21c311.23$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3648937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over37c306.72$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.011,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa782…cbafbacked Under12c300$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2649631.3%30 W · 66 L+12.4wins+0.13per pick18cpaid+93.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over76c300$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.381,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6faf…de48backed Over35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020224.8%50 W · 152 L-15.8wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over14c226.11$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.52,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Under63c218.48$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.0231156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under50c216.58$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.681,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under64c211$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.011,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under77c200.39$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0969534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Under60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0529558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5522…c807backed Under80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4016056.3%90 W · 70 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-14.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe459…0e18backed Over26c191.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over46c188.85$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.141,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over35c163.94$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.058,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed Under67c148.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.2547049.4%232 W · 238 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over35c148.2$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.711,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f6…4892backed Over45c133.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012639.7%50 W · 76 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b9f…2087backed Under10c116.19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.575318.9%10 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick9cpaid+115.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under80c112$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.42,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over19c108.46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.612,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Over47c104.26$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4916737.7%63 W · 104 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd569…48c1backed Under56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4411650%58 W · 58 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcbe…8ac8backed Under57c87.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.894856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over21c87.89$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.842,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over23c87.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9848328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over19c86.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3670648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under56c86$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8477051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over20c85$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Under54c83.84$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5773234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Under75c73.8$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.541444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over52c69.45$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3987237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Over19c64$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.166264.5%40 W · 22 L+8.2wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+33.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x232b…bb2dbacked Under80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-68.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6941…5f0bbacked Over37c62.16$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231030%3 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Over19c59.46$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.338026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x978a…202ebacked Over41c58.42$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa8f…faf6backed Over48c58.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286747.8%32 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over21c55.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.711,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Under56c53.66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6645548.6%221 W · 234 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207122.5%16 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf6a…1ddbbacked Over20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-70.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over21c49.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.452,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e40…1945backed Under78c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.83357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ab3…d47cbacked Under66c35.97$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.231957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+35.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b6b…a9b2backed Over48c31.25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-40.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under47c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.960752.4%318 W · 289 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under79c28.57$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under76c24.23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.851,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b4c…4040backed Under62c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.192653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa067…4b35backed Under74c23.52$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2315959.1%94 W · 65 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over56c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.321,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ada…5c6cbacked Under78c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.313976.3%106 W · 33 L+9.3wins+0.07per pick70cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.