Fifa International · resolved market
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce83acc358e6d3483a54db00db64d7b536200fa406370d28e66dd4c9c7b47f09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Under | 35c | 2,280$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 38c | 1,388$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.58 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…4f5bbacked Over | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 161 | 39.8%64 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x319f…500bbacked Under | 51c | 700$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 65c | 684.62$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.62 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 64c | 632.44$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.68 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Over | 63c | 388.29$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.67 | 364 | 48.6%177 W · 187 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 36c | 349.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 49c | 312.12$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.18 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 65c | 311.71$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.1 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…b55cbacked Over | 57c | 262.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.98 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 35c | 250$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Over | 65c | 230.77$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.77 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Over | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 66c | 162.01$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19a5…40abbacked Over | 51c | 154.16$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.54 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.14 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…55ccbacked Over | 65c | 85.95$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b57…263ebacked Over | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Under | 36c | 75.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 35c | 73.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 65c | 53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 34c | 33.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 63c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2763…abe6backed Under | 37c | 28.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Under | 52c | 19.73$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 0.5Over won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5Over won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5Over won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 4.5Under won
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5Under won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 2.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 6.5Under won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 7.5Under won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 8.5Under won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 0.5Over won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 1.5Under won
- Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5)Qatar won
- Spread: Bosnia-Herzegovina (-3.5)Qatar won
- Spread: Bosnia-Herzegovina (-4.5)Qatar won
- Spread: Qatar (-1.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
- Spread: Qatar (-2.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.