TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$157,985
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,915

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $157,985 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over7c46,084$3,183 inLost-$3,183.234,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over5c15,112$756 inLost-$755.623,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over3c7,323$191 inLost-$190.784,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Over5c4,000$200 inLost-$20042710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over9c2,580$236 inLost-$235.651,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over5c1,834$91 inLost-$90.863,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over5c1,750$87 inLost-$87.53,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over8c1,143$96 inLost-$96.491,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over8c850.83$70 inLost-$69.752,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over5c795$42 inLost-$41.82,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over9c674.76$61 inLost-$60.665737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over6c570.2$32 inLost-$31.659453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over5c526.2$26 inLost-$26.312,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Over17c500$85 inLost-$8537237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over5c499.97$25 inLost-$2595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf31a…bfbabacked Over14c367.67$50 inLost-$5024616.3%40 W · 206 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe7c…406cbacked Over6c327.27$20 inLost-$19.641136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over5c300$15 inLost-$1546525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5dc…7d65backed Over7c270.03$20 inLost-$201533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Over11c124.99$14 inLost-$14.1978234.3%268 W · 514 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.