Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe821c4eeb243d0c8533e63b605e49f906f096944cb79fee04d87120e56ccf0d0

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Qatarof Bosnia and Herzegovina, Qatar
Resolved: Jun 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $443,862
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $433,784

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $443,862 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 226 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Qatar	72c	67,424$48,720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,703.85	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	24c	51,405$12,093 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,092.85	196	44.9%88 W · 108 L	+9.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	32c	36,329$11,653 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,653	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	52c	21,364$11,037 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,037.2	771	52.8%407 W · 364 L	+17.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Qatar	76c	18,793$14,314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,478.85	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Qatar	77c	14,369$11,064 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,304.84	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Qatar	76c	10,823$8,226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,597.64	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Qatar	68c	10,457$7,103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,353.68	108	36.1%39 W · 69 L	+8.7wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+32.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	32c	10,277$3,288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,287.91	494	41.5%205 W · 289 L	+27.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	28c	10,000$2,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,800	98	23.5%23 W · 75 L	-5.0wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Qatar	74c	8,608$6,388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,220.26	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Qatar	74c	7,092$5,248 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,843.92	1,044	43.7%456 W · 588 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Qatar	46c	5,555$2,555 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,999.7	320	29.4%94 W · 226 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	23c	5,470$1,258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,257.99	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	52c	5,000$2,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,600	188	37.2%70 W · 118 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	24c	4,952$1,188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,188.48	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Qatar	77c	4,341$3,342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$999.68	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Qatar	79c	4,071$3,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$871.44	659	48.6%320 W · 339 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	17c	3,809$631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$631.04	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	4c	3,792$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.44	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	19c	3,560$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$679.8	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd8…7749backed Qatar	58c	3,444$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,443.66	160	41.3%66 W · 94 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	25c	3,338$849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$849.21	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	56c	3,111$1,750 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,750	274	33.9%93 W · 181 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	23c	2,173$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.79	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	23c	2,173$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.79	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	29c	2,137$609 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$609.39	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	25c	2,047$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$521.73	527	44.4%234 W · 293 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	48c	2,024$974 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$974.01	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	25c	1,834$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460.38	920	38.5%354 W · 566 L	-21.8wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-10%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	32c	1,823$583 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$583.47	419	68.3%286 W · 133 L	+65.4wins	+0.16per pick	53cpaid	+43.6%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	24c	1,758$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.99	2,805	55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L	+70.4wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	51c	1,591$805 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$805.12	270	34.4%93 W · 177 L	+14.4wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d19…2410backed Qatar	43c	1,569$675 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$894.32	65	38.5%25 W · 40 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Qatar	53c	1,526$813 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$712.29	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Qatar	68c	1,460$992 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$467.62	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	22c	1,429$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.63	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Qatar	75c	1,316$987 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$328.9	589	42.6%251 W · 338 L	-5.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	51c	1,234$633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$632.71	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Qatar	78c	1,212$949 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$263.44	695	34.8%242 W · 453 L	-48.8wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	53c	1,200$636 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$636	25	48%12 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	45c	1,166$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520.2	180	56.1%101 W · 79 L	+14.8wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Qatar	77c	1,108$848 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$259.75	223	55.6%124 W · 99 L	+6.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	55c	1,091$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	107	57%61 W · 46 L	+5.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	25c	1,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	92	66.3%61 W · 31 L	+13.3wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	63+0.11 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	27c	999.75$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.09	122	27.9%34 W · 88 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	23c	911.9$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.45	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	28c	858.46$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.37	235	29.8%70 W · 165 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f66…849bbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	23c	841.7$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.59	46	26.1%12 W · 34 L	+3.9wins	+0.08per pick	18cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	50c	783.91$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.09	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	33c	757.57$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	226	33.6%76 W · 150 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+27.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Qatar	68c	729.51$496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.44	44	25%11 W · 33 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed Qatar	68c	728.96$496 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.27	57	31.6%18 W · 39 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Qatar	74c	727$538 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.02	681	41.1%280 W · 401 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	51c	717.42$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.5	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	22c	695.55$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.48	383	33.9%130 W · 253 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c23…418bbacked Qatar	77c	667.32$514 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.48	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe40b…9ab4backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	29c	659.19$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.79	199	39.2%78 W · 121 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	28c	614$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.92	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x848d…9867backed Qatar	79c	600$472 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128	193	51.8%100 W · 93 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	43c	596.88$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.43	290	30.7%89 W · 201 L	+6.3wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	24c	583.33$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	339	15.9%54 W · 285 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Qatar	72c	574.56$416 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.84	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	55c	545.45$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	22c	533.58$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.21	264	59.5%157 W · 107 L	+18.0wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7e8…7953backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	54c	462.96$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	301	42.5%128 W · 173 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Qatar	47c	428.14$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$228	831	53.3%443 W · 388 L	+15.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Qatar	77c	403.92$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.87	465	62.2%289 W · 176 L	+42.0wins	+0.09per pick	53cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Qatar	75c	401.31$303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.48	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82b3…0c0ebacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	25c	400$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	135	31.9%43 W · 92 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb1c…bd78backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	25c	400$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	142	35.2%50 W · 92 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	51c	399.99$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.56	2,524	42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Qatar	46c	399.99$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.08	908	40.9%371 W · 537 L	-64.0wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	24c	388.7$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95	608	21.9%133 W · 475 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Qatar	73c	388.16$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.45	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8693…cc0dbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	26c	384.62$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	56	28.6%16 W · 40 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	32c	370$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.6	220	52.3%115 W · 105 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	55c	363.64$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	125	58.4%73 W · 52 L	+9.5wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Qatar	75c	353.33$266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.58	1,390	46.3%644 W · 746 L	+20.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	25c	345.91$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.43	1,421	47.8%679 W · 742 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf763…a0aabacked Qatar	50c	344.5$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.06	187	65.2%122 W · 65 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	55c	327.27$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	242	42.6%103 W · 139 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Qatar	77c	324.66$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.67	126	57.1%72 W · 54 L	+4.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	32c	321.51$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.26	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	25c	303.64$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.91	431	39%168 W · 263 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked Qatar	72c	300$216 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84	320	46.6%149 W · 171 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	49c	300$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	455	36.9%168 W · 287 L	-26.9wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1147…da78backed Qatar	74c	300$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78	245	42.9%105 W · 140 L	-7.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Qatar	43c	295.55$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.47	981	34.8%341 W · 640 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Qatar	79c	292.58$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.34	855	50.6%433 W · 422 L	+54.8wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Qatar	76c	287.15$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.54	888	52.7%468 W · 420 L	+13.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Qatar	77c	282.23$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.94	719	39.1%281 W · 438 L	-4.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-33%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	16c	280.25$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.84	697	44.9%313 W · 384 L	+18.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2982…2d3dbacked Qatar	74c	270.27$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.27	67	59.7%40 W · 27 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54da…1facbacked Qatar	56c	266.02$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.76	153	41.8%64 W · 89 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x545f…bedebacked Qatar	76c	263.16$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$63.16	114	30.7%35 W · 79 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x04ed…0adfbacked Qatar	68c	262$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.25	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.10per pick	51cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina	43c	258.42$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.77	2,793	46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L	-10.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5221…3304backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	28c	250$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	89	38.2%34 W · 55 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Bosnia and Herzegovina	15c	250$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	317	28.1%89 W · 228 L	+8.9wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5)this page
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 0.5Over won
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 1.5Over won
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5Over won
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5Over won
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 4.5Under won
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5Under won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5Over won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5Over won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 2.5Over won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 6.5Under won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 7.5Under won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 8.5Under won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 0.5Over won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 1.5Under won
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 2.5Under won
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
Spread: Bosnia-Herzegovina (-3.5)Qatar won
Spread: Bosnia-Herzegovina (-4.5)Qatar won
Spread: Qatar (-1.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won
Spread: Qatar (-2.5)Bosnia and Herzegovina won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event