TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,141,296
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,196,616

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,141,296 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 719 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe9a6…627bbacked Over60c167,925$100,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,924.5511645.7%53 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed Over57c165,000$94,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,95022348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under42c100,000$42,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,999.9574752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under53c77,075$40,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,799.9764446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Under43c55,555$23,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,888.6311647.4%55 W · 61 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Under43c53,000$22,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,79017949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under41c48,989$19,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,923.954,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99a7…fc82backed Under43c44,444$19,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,110.833661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Over58c42,241$24,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,741.3819644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9106…afcbbacked Under43c40,000$17,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,2008660.5%52 W · 34 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over45c37,334$16,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,422.8477152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x987b…df43backed Over60c30,958$18,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,383.062360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under47c23,024$10,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,830.312,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Under42c20,000$8,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,40040%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Under38c20,000$7,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,599.9520044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over62c18,979$11,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,212.021,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24f0…7ad4backed Under43c18,837$8,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,1005442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb43f…ec95backed Under38c14,925$5,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,671.321478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+60.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over52c14,150$7,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,858.443,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over62c12,001$7,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,510.761,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under38c12,000$4,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,559.9529646.3%137 W · 159 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over52c11,979$6,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,723.281,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under38c10,000$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,799.9138026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Under34c8,824$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.999525.3%24 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8013…2a30backed Over61c8,795$5,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,429.91070%7 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x119b…ac3ebacked Over57c8,766$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,766.428944.9%40 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3dc…eaa8backed Under50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0002040%8 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over59c8,000$4,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,262.191,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91b9…3ab4backed Over61c6,000$3,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3409645.8%44 W · 52 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x660b…7191backed Under38c5,789$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.78785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick62cpaid+34.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x917d…d28dbacked Over61c5,271$3,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,055.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+38.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcfb…efc0backed Over57c5,263$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,263.167129.6%21 W · 50 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa608…1b35backed Over51c5,196$2,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,546.083336.4%12 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf29a…3122backed Under39c5,128$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00016637.3%62 W · 104 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20021849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1509839.8%39 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under39c4,864$1,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,896.892,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x108d…b85dbacked Over52c4,582$2,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,215.49771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over58c4,525$2,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,900.51,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under39c4,256$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.861,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe77…8fe4backed Under42c4,125$1,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,732.684540%18 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under38c4,000$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,52029250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Over62c3,800$2,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4449846.9%46 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over60c3,500$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.9847643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Under52c3,482$1,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,810.427345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Over62c3,226$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.8120547.3%97 W · 108 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under40c3,147$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.5147442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under6c3,104$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.22,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9da7…8d0fbacked Over61c3,047$1,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.47450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Over61c3,000$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1705841.4%24 W · 34 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under41c3,000$1,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.7147144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over61c3,000$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.9622342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Under52c2,836$1,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.713554.3%19 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Over59c2,770$1,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.992038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed Over62c2,708$1,679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,029.0633544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under41c2,698$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.042,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb470…aa7bbacked Over61c2,515$1,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.88520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-67.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4579…9352backed Over58c2,500$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0502850%14 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under39c2,499$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.6130626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under47c2,493$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.3669534.8%242 W · 453 L-48.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5425…d3e8backed Under38c2,422$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.3215127.8%42 W · 109 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e54…2ed4backed Under43c2,324$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.74447.7%21 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under44c2,260$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.3829232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Over60c2,245$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.9152744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under39c2,233$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87128025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Over57c2,120$1,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.4751032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.9931851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab1c…aaddbacked Under38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.975628.6%16 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under38c1,898$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.9325942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c1,895$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.191,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c8…7cc8backed Under39c1,882$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73412241%50 W · 72 L-8.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Over62c1,785$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.0712657.1%72 W · 54 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.3989443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd325…fd1bbacked Over57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.399630.2%29 W · 67 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under41c1,750$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.563,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over59c1,715$1,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.998,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over57c1,700$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73141429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Under42c1,689$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.560752.4%318 W · 289 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under14c1,676$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.9336235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over62c1,619$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.651,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcf2…1e5bbacked Over62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.94327.9%12 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over56c1,607$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701.892,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over58c1,555$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.026043.3%26 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41a8…ff67backed Over62c1,532$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.087448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over64c1,531$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.1923857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x118c…3fffbacked Over62c1,433$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.671656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Under43c1,360$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.819850.5%100 W · 98 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d8…100dbacked Over59c1,357$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.0632739.1%128 W · 199 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9967447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a1…8e53backed Over49c1,292$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.663756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7e7…48d5backed Under39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010151.5%52 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over50c1,266$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.872,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under26c1,262$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.8443737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9396…ca77backed Over62c1,210$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.681855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2248…cad0backed Under43c1,163$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007746.8%36 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under40c1,157$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.848441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf32f…ef80backed Over62c1,129$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.0311641.4%48 W · 68 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under42c1,100$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.1711558.3%67 W · 48 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under48c1,098$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.9442541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under24c1,093$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.133740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.