TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,836
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,475

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,836 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over55c10,793$5,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,897.554,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under43c6,000$2,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,58074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Over59c3,500$2,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,43516357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x43e3…43f7backed Under43c2,093$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90023230.2%70 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under43c1,859$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.3725857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b9f…2087backed Under10c1,200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205318.9%10 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick9cpaid+115.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5eeb…cf79backed Under10c1,200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205119.6%10 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick10cpaid+170.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12a9…af78backed Under10c1,200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203514.3%5 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35ec…becbbacked Under10c1,200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203713.5%5 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick13cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7575…10dabacked Under10c1,200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201127.3%3 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick14cpaid+61.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under41c1,126$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.733,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over57c999.99$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.9964443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over48c980.23$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.844,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed Over59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.4614351.7%74 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over56c766$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.042,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf31a…bfbabacked Over57c688.12$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.8924616.3%40 W · 206 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under44c630.86$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.5861750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over57c601.87$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.083,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4b2…33e1backed Under6c534.79$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.095139.2%20 W · 31 L+12.6wins+0.25per pick14cpaid+138.3%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Under43c511.63$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22019750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Under53c499.99$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.9914856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked Over54c499.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23012934.1%44 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03bc…ad27backed Under42c476.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015227%41 W · 111 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under43c450$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.53,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under44c400$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17645038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under5c385.52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.281,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Over57c374.42$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.2592038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under43c364.21$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.572,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6577…fdaebacked Under43c348.84$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503823.7%9 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under41c309.76$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.431,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15067354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under43c299.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.21,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under11c291.11$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.672,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under42c263.48$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.6670648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over56c244.28$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.092,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…0b46backed Under43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003132.3%10 W · 21 L-6.2wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-39.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdb72…2d66backed Under43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefee…5c77backed Under44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006035%21 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over57c205$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.1510562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa991…0935backed Over60c205$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829168.1%62 W · 29 L+13.8wins+0.15per pick53cpaid+44.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over56c203.44$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.172,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Over57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8611445.6%52 W · 62 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Under43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8616656.6%94 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4518…1cacbacked Under44c200$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8717757.1%101 W · 76 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Under43c200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8631156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.691,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x372e…4453backed Over57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8614829.1%43 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ea…105dbacked Under45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9017735%62 W · 115 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016753.9%90 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeeda…623fbacked Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54b4…14c0backed Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010133.7%34 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over57c176.77$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.93,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5949…534bbacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.414548.9%22 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under57c150$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.51,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Under57c150$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4787237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under43c144$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.923,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e5…7d91backed Under44c113.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over57c101.33$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.611,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9454…14e5backed Over56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443145.2%14 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4348147.8%230 W · 251 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Over56c99.97$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.991,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over57c99.18$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.651,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53a8…d497backed Under42c97.33$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.88771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0195…1e21backed Over58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2144144%194 W · 247 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Over56c86$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5187837.2%327 W · 551 L-41.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under43c75.07$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.462,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5284…3b0bbacked Over58c72.41$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.412763%17 W · 10 L+6.7wins+0.25per pick38cpaid+43.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5a61…e6d8backed Under45c70$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.510548.6%51 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcb2…71a2backed Over56c69.64$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.647243.1%31 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb2…951bbacked Over56c62.5$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.57255.6%40 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Over57c61.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.437323.1%86 W · 287 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under44c58.32$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.662,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6123…8b33backed Under44c56.82$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256235.5%22 W · 40 L-6.8wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-29.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Under57c55.67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.571,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50ab…15a0backed Over45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.563537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over51c55.48$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0369744.9%313 W · 384 L+18.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.332,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under43c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.51,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c29…87edbacked Under42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205040%20 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb276…6514backed Over57c43.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8610539%41 W · 64 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd104…7c02backed Under45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1811640.5%47 W · 69 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd56d…4928backed Under54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209848%47 W · 51 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd2d…c4adbacked Under44c35.27$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.527646.1%35 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa03e…727abacked Under44c34.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2823145.9%106 W · 125 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e0f…2deebacked Under44c33.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.63951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc03c…c427backed Over56c30.4$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.382437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.91,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69fa…53f9backed Under55c29.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.492437.5%9 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-45.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Under42c29.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.39266.3%61 W · 31 L+13.3wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x00c7…6758backed Under42c26.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over57c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1888852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.841,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c76…7409backed Under47c24.72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6211655.2%64 W · 52 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over58c23.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.011,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over53c20.73$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7448328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c34…266dbacked Over56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.825655.1%141 W · 115 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.