TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6eb2…951b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
109
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: La Liga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT7255.6%40 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+102.9%+$14.34
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$13.94
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.29
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+169.5%+$29.67
Norway vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$11.33
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.22
Exact Score: Japan 2 - 1 Sweden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.45
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.25
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$6.85
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$63.04
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.91
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$27.5
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$16.55
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.86
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$47.22
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$4.92
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Panama vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+100.6%+$11.77
England vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
England vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$41.23
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+232.2%+$103.83
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.38
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+25%+$4.7
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+38.9%+$4.99
Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+188.9%+$31.34
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+91%+$20.02
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Hertha BSC win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick55cpaid+86.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+37.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-45%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+92.3%+$36.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.