TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$445,923
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$492,236

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $445,923 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Yes70c72,768$50,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,843.0111848.3%57 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No30c68,304$20,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,491.086437.5%24 W · 40 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked No31c57,116$17,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,705.885738.6%22 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked No31c45,499$13,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,994.19850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes69c39,467$27,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,234.7193252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No31c21,327$6,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,611.486429.7%19 W · 45 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No31c15,805$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,899.534247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes77c11,965$9,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,757.2596942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Yes70c8,000$5,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4405052%26 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes69c7,567$5,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,345.7748144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa661…af49backed No30c7,390$2,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,217520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-67.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes69c7,243$4,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,245.2445547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9665…e721backed No30c5,872$1,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,761.511822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked No31c5,425$1,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,681.75425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes70c5,338$3,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.8127737.2%103 W · 174 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e16…9719backed Yes70c5,002$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,501.73955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked No35c5,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.991844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Yes69c4,928$3,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.7619549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes69c4,348$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.8812950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes73c4,332$3,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.612,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa4…dbc5backed Yes73c4,113$3,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.54955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed Yes74c4,055$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.853964.1%25 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes77c3,387$2,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.421,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No31c3,072$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.465641.1%23 W · 33 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+48.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No2c3,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60565.4%3 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick5cpaid+97.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No31c2,870$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.71346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes70c2,500$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7507560%45 W · 30 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes69c2,371$1,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.0168750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No31c2,158$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.5122947.6%109 W · 120 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6005158.8%30 W · 21 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006323.8%15 W · 48 L-7.3wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-34.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9714249.3%70 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No30c1,633$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.3511832.2%38 W · 80 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No31c1,590$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.893839.5%15 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+31.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No15c1,505$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.7211153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9e…ee7ebacked Yes70c1,503$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.88757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed No30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4506142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b3c…0de9backed Yes70c1,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4504136.6%15 W · 26 L-6.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No31c1,217$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.2714142.6%60 W · 81 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes73c1,092$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.778744.8%39 W · 48 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed No16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8da…cad3backed Yes70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003366.7%22 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3106851.5%35 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No34c999.97$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.9924939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes67c885$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.8144753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Yes70c802.58$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.626253.2%33 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ec0…497bbacked Yes69c783.54$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.92100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47e6…fd61backed Yes70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.29616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.31per pick47cpaid-76.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8887…c607backed Yes71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc40f…1950backed Yes71c700.81$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.815251.9%27 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes69c688.01$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.7241943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes70c687.43$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.3913155%72 W · 59 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x53b0…4daabacked No31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No31c625$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.7513639.7%54 W · 82 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No30c624.7$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.412941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed No31c599.99$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18613040%52 W · 78 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1c3…7d73backed Yes69c579.71$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.715764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes69c550.68$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.7138744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55ea…9bedbacked No15c505$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcaa0…833bbacked Yes70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12c6…0691backed No32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-40.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes70c492.86$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.8613658.8%80 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5baf…3904backed Yes69c486.96$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.961070%7 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes69c481.03$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.126050%30 W · 30 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes70c431.14$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.825563.6%35 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4138…6a24backed Yes70c430$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1293167.7%21 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.574050%20 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeebb…deffbacked Yes69c400$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1225170.6%36 W · 15 L+5.8wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+20%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Yes70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9f2…d776backed No9c400$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364429.5%13 W · 31 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-18.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8c22…70a0backed No28c393.67$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.081735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc909…1ab1backed Yes69c380$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes68c373.96$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.678463.1%53 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes70c360$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1084367.4%29 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd038…7627backed Yes70c357.14$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.142070%14 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb0f…a7e4backed Yes70c357.14$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.143268.8%22 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x64fd…f7aebacked Yes72c347.22$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.224070%28 W · 12 L-0.2wins0.00per pick70cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe92d…bffcbacked Yes70c342.86$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.86425%1 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.46per pick71cpaid-64.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed No32c340.04$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2520841.8%87 W · 121 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked No31c338.78$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0226046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed No15c334.7$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.792657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa40d…f4d0backed Yes70c326.2$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.865742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes70c309$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.7418858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9e03…7f54backed Yes70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick59cpaid+40.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9312540%50 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes70c294.29$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.2913553.3%72 W · 63 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3ca…5ed4backed Yes70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.712774.1%20 W · 7 L+5.7wins+0.21per pick53cpaid+38.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xde77…8cd3backed Yes71c281.91$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.911650%8 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No15c274.01$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4159240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked No31c256.47$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.519037.8%34 W · 56 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4e2…f97fbacked Yes70c255.53$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.532050%10 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x38f8…95c0backed Yes71c254.48$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.982661.5%16 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…625dbacked Yes64c250$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903250%16 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked No21c250$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.673324.2%8 W · 25 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick40cpaid-52%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb8ac…e7d7backed Yes70c240.7$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.211376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked No31c236.71$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.2421445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x901f…b8b0backed Yes70c231.43$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.431764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes70c228.57$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.577656.6%43 W · 33 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa06b…d793backed Yes69c217.39$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.392065%13 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+32.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes71c216.9$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.911547.8%55 W · 60 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.