Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Vejle BK win on 2025-12-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30a1d7928da11c482230d68040828368512ece795240369d3733e22a5296fbf3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 49c | 4,999$2,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,443.43 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 3,723$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.36 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed No | 38c | 1,500$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 43c | 1,243$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.87 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 23c | 1,144$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.39 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 54c | 538.34$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 55c | 436.39$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.4 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 20c | 412.76$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.21 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 26c | 289.12$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.95 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 37c | 286.68$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.86 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 80c | 225.19$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…2f7dbacked No | 68c | 220.48$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 60c | 206.36$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.09 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…6dc6backed No | 74c | 202.05$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.75 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7615…d605backed No | 14c | 146.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de2…3adbbacked Yes | 25c | 132$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0d…0018backed No | 77c | 130$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed No | 76c | 125$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 37c | 76.81$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.32 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 80c | 75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Yes | 20c | 71.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b8…e420backed No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…1871backed No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…4532backed No | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 54c | 44.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…5903backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Yes | 62c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 43c | 30.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd58…1801backed Yes | 71c | 28.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6da8…d660backed Yes | 66c | 25.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77cc…fdccbacked No | 80c | 24.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b00…2e48backed Yes | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 77c | 20.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8868…3b1bbacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb2…951bbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…c729backed No | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08de…a0fdbacked No | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed No | 78c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e0…beecbacked No | 80c | 14.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vejle BK win on 2025-12-08?this page
- Will Brøndby IF win on 2025-12-08?No won
- Will Vejle BK vs. Brøndby IF end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.