TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-12-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$298,946
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$370,646

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $298,946 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No48c30,000$14,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,40011445.6%52 W · 62 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No13c11,261$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,462.982,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92d8…9762backed Yes33c9,031$3,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,022.714447.7%21 W · 23 L+7.0wins+0.16per pick32cpaid+260.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes57c8,001$4,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,440.3910445.2%47 W · 57 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No47c7,656$3,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,617.4853645.9%246 W · 290 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08be…5b1fbacked Yes53c7,311$3,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,442.611546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No65c7,056$4,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,554.3828241.5%117 W · 165 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes61c6,989$4,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,755.983,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Yes52c6,840$3,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,282.969455.3%52 W · 42 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes52c4,194$2,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,013.2969851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x447e…9710backed Yes52c3,325$1,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,596.062240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes61c2,744$1,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.1675142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes52c2,671$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,270.5414157.4%81 W · 60 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes48c2,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.983357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes45c2,199$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.5815847.5%75 W · 83 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No43c2,088$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$897.7323046.5%107 W · 123 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b19…decbbacked No43c2,081$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+74.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d76…5b76backed Yes57c1,832$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.76250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed No63c1,750$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.451136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No47c1,715$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.265052%26 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x466d…bd6cbacked No43c1,708$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No44c1,700$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.6956547.8%270 W · 295 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Yes53c1,698$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.1118759.4%111 W · 76 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes56c1,576$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.2933945.7%155 W · 184 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Yes61c1,534$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.919544.6%87 W · 108 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No46c1,495$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.712651.6%65 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x283d…0dadbacked Yes34c1,471$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.59771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+57.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x704d…3999backed Yes57c1,450$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick66cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x652e…8f11backed Yes57c1,446$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes54c1,391$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.6738055.8%212 W · 168 L-0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcd0…32d6backed No43c1,350$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6850…4aa9backed No43c1,193$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96ee…0e2fbacked Yes57c1,189$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.192100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+57.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes47c1,176$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.024963.3%31 W · 18 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x88b7…57fcbacked Yes57c1,171$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+71.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf26f…5724backed Yes57c1,167$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes54c1,164$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.5315134.4%52 W · 99 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No43c1,136$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.4844749.4%221 W · 226 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x733f…4db3backed No43c1,111$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3ac…c6f3backed Yes57c1,085$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+101.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No41c1,061$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.0651136.8%188 W · 323 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa874…8f6ebacked No43c1,036$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.48425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-65.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe930…b44dbacked Yes49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.413537.1%13 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No44c1,001$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.64252.4%22 W · 20 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4902748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed No47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4703050%15 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x237b…1fa4backed No43c985$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes55c974.32$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43710057%57 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0db3…0617backed No43c973$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed No43c952.5$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.5811644.8%52 W · 64 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No65c887.32$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.7323842.9%102 W · 136 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b6…7906backed Yes57c885$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick42cpaid+180%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No48c881.57$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.157447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No38c876.32$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.8522332.3%72 W · 151 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes54c843.52$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.0434342%144 W · 199 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7640…ece8backed No43c842$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b79…6023backed Yes57c798$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.14520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-64.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7be0…b619backed Yes57c795$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.853100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+133%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x19c5…3ceebacked No43c789$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d7…ce85backed Yes57c770$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.1250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a06…ecc5backed Yes57c765$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4f8a…720fbacked Yes57c762$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc21…af3ebacked Yes57c754$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No48c700$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33616850%84 W · 84 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c9b…7511backed Yes57c692$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid-12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0bc…b74cbacked Yes57c675$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+57.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f79…5917backed No43c662$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes54c659$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.146154.1%33 W · 28 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x114f…3c61backed No43c620$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb83b…0cc9backed No43c618$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.74333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0a6…fa77backed Yes49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.24837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Yes52c580$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.41346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes55c579.9$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.3419347.2%91 W · 102 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c29…1478backed Yes48c569$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.882050%10 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6668…ad96backed Yes53c560$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.23100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+132.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x42e2…ae1fbacked No43c550$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4cf…d1dcbacked Yes57c547$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.21366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30c1…1cefbacked Yes57c539$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2a2…e016backed No43c525.99$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No42c525.24$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.62661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24022747.1%107 W · 120 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ba8…ab96backed Yes54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2301070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe49b…2943backed Yes46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2de1…c2c4backed No43c494$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab19…f7fabacked Yes57c489$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.272100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+57.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29d9…8058backed Yes57c476$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick66cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed No46c472.15$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.79451.1%48 W · 46 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.552832.1%9 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Yes53c452.83$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.834161%25 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d8d…d04fbacked Yes57c436$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.482100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+57.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3124…9285backed No43c427$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed Yes36c421.85$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.981662.5%10 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+54.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc605…6d50backed Yes57c404$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddc8…d895backed No43c389.37$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2933…3cdfbacked No43c387$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.41540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Yes52c385$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.82850%14 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x835a…688ebacked Yes57c379$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.972100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.59per pick42cpaid+180%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46f0…ff95backed No43c379$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7c…1b16backed Yes57c349$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.07425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No44c338.53$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.342326.1%6 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.