Premier League · resolved market
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-12-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1b6e041f979beb7bab89b37abfd4652947abcc902bbf23caf3a00729cb7dcf2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed No | 43c | 14,559$6,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,354.35 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 8,744$3,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,152.69 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Yes | 63c | 8,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,040 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 57c | 5,830$3,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,323.1 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 61c | 4,073$2,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,464.71 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 58c | 3,076$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.29 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 37c | 2,397$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.86 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Yes | 64c | 2,345$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 62c | 2,155$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.98 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 38c | 1,974$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.68 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 58c | 1,319$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.22 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 48c | 1,231$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.61 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 36c | 1,008$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.11 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 41c | 1,005$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.14 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7104…afefbacked Yes | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3f…5e3abacked Yes | 46c | 800$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 38c | 713.99$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.67 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a4e…3309backed Yes | 51c | 686.37$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb89…3fadbacked Yes | 63c | 570$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes | 60c | 500$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 440 | 36.8%162 W · 278 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653c…506cbacked Yes | 62c | 481.54$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaba…e07dbacked Yes | 63c | 480$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e2…4693backed Yes | 64c | 459$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 41c | 443.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.96 | 215 | 48.8%105 W · 110 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 42c | 405.33$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.77 | 401 | 50.1%201 W · 200 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 60c | 339.99$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.99 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 319.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.46 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 37c | 319$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.97 | 457 | 51.2%234 W · 223 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9948…3208backed Yes | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 34c | 283.45$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 59c | 280$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.2 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf75…26abbacked Yes | 58c | 230$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85b…37bebacked No | 42c | 230$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 63c | 223$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.49 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc82…2fc0backed No | 42c | 220$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…eff8backed Yes | 58c | 220$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed No | 38c | 218$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.16 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…3e6cbacked No | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 47c | 176.95$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.41 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 28c | 175.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcc…bb85backed Yes | 63c | 156$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked No | 57c | 147.75$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.92 | 219 | 65.3%143 W · 76 L | +20.8wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 63c | 146$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.81 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 46c | 140.26$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…c8c2backed Yes | 63c | 127.46$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Yes | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 59c | 101.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Yes | 63c | 91$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.33 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd25…e395backed No | 44c | 90$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked No | 39c | 88.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.33 | 139 | 41%57 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…5480backed Yes | 62c | 86.76$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 60c | 85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…fa33backed Yes | 63c | 79.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed Yes | 63c | 73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Yes | 62c | 69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -15.5wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…6ea7backed Yes | 60c | 48.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 60c | 47.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 307 | 39.4%121 W · 186 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed No | 41c | 44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.96 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 62c | 41.52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 401 | 57.6%231 W · 170 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked No | 39c | 41.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 265 | 54.7%145 W · 120 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa305…73c9backed Yes | 59c | 33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Yes | 61c | 32.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x097f…df92backed Yes | 59c | 30.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Yes | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked No | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 40c | 28.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…b413backed Yes | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b2c…c7a7backed No | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b36bbacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 61c | 24.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa741…bd1fbacked Yes | 59c | 23.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b5…a762backed Yes | 60c | 23.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb2…951bbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…4323backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 139 | 44.6%62 W · 77 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8f…3186backed Yes | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2025-12-09?this page
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2025-12-09?No won
- Will Sheffield United FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.