Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AZ win on 2025-12-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x330a2aaa4eedfc3d4242a1ab8ffa6ed74fa9827fa3d3da63eab7f3252b16fcfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,623
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 10,245$7,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,868.7 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 59c | 9,100$5,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,369 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 42c | 6,466$2,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,747.22 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 14c | 5,369$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.96 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 61c | 2,262$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.22 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 19c | 1,271$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.47 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a99…8302backed Yes | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 48c | 900$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 53c | 855.96$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.83 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b5…cf5fbacked Yes | 60c | 833.95$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2e…bfa2backed Yes | 63c | 831.54$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +95.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked No | 42c | 692.86$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.86 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed No | 79c | 682.49$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.28 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 41c | 647.1$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.79 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +5.4wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 51c | 640$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.8 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked No | 49c | 554$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.54 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…3175backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 59c | 317$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.03 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 78c | 285$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 56c | 257$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.28 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 45c | 255.73$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.91 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…7db9backed Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 39c | 231$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.6 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed Yes | 48c | 218.84$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.04 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 60c | 215$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 38c | 210$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…af75backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 15c | 190.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaddb…51adbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 13c | 170$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 240 | 30.4%73 W · 167 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 40c | 142.86$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb2…951bbacked Yes | 42c | 123.64$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 42c | 106$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 30c | 99.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed No | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 18c | 92.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 108 | 17.6%19 W · 89 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Yes | 13c | 88.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4d4cbacked No | 41c | 87.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 41c | 87$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…102fbacked Yes | 20c | 81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed No | 49c | 78.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 57cpaid | +50%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Yes | 52c | 74.58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.67 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29fd…de15backed Yes | 49c | 60.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d19fbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…7d04backed Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…c49fbacked Yes | 50c | 52.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a2…1096backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0b…8299backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 59cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 52c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 43c | 48.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97eb…b91cbacked Yes | 56c | 46.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x289d…3641backed Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Yes | 38c | 44.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 46c | 44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…a38dbacked Yes | 60c | 41.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 61c | 41.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…22c4backed Yes | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94dd…92f9backed Yes | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…7910backed Yes | 28c | 39.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…07f5backed Yes | 50c | 34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…cc1bbacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2722…697abacked No | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 144 | 35.4%51 W · 93 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 74c | 27.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.13 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd47…8277backed Yes | 49c | 26.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ce…024abacked Yes | 75c | 20.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 70c | 20.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -8.0wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2412…b5a1backed Yes | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AZ win on 2025-12-21?this page
- Will Fortuna Sittard vs. AZ end in a draw?No won
- Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-12-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.