Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fortuna Sittard vs. AZ end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeec8d94d813327d737a9d16df51ee2d5e107f13643bfb23c9420a74cb5fe4a84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 6,015$3,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,561.1 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 37c | 5,145$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.79 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 24c | 3,191$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.83 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 1,322$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.85 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,117$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.59 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 9c | 960$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +12.8wins | +0.16per pick | 16cpaid | +246%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 929.35$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.38 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 76c | 590$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.64 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 16c | 518.15$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 68c | 440.88$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.08 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 75c | 341$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.44 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 24c | 339.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.26 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Yes | 66c | 303.91$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.2 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 32c | 250.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 29c | 248.28$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed Yes | 33c | 219.44$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.42 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde77…8cd3backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Yes | 66c | 151.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cd…453cbacked Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…24f0backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 72c | 95.35$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.69 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked Yes | 23c | 85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 24c | 83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…f1c5backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed No | 39c | 64.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 25c | 62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 78c | 59.49$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee75…f23abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 27cpaid | +144.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed No | 57c | 49.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b71…ca50backed Yes | 36c | 48.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…2b64backed Yes | 24c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Yes | 30c | 43.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 78c | 41.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 35c | 37.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 67c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…f545backed No | 71c | 30.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 54c | 27.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 75c | 19.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 63c | 18.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 176 | 61.4%108 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fortuna Sittard vs. AZ end in a draw?this page
- Will AZ win on 2025-12-21?No won
- Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-12-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.