Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-12-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x034f7f4d97e562c31c459f1d41de61854343c57aaf3612025aab53dcade236af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 44c | 4,784$2,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,107.05 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Yes | 23c | 3,191$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,457.04 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 2,917$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.2 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 1,690$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.47 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 65c | 1,445$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.43 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 77c | 1,057$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.89 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 22c | 795.6$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.74 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 19c | 618$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.58 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf828…fca3backed Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 63c | 460.66$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.8 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 46c | 316.43$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.87 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 19c | 258.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.77 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 19c | 202$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.62 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed No | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 33c | 178.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.94 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 34c | 170.09$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 21c | 150$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.63 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked No | 77c | 139.78$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.63 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a09…db1cbacked No | 49c | 139.71$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.68 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 33c | 134.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.72 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0968…ee21backed Yes | 20c | 118$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +221%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 76c | 103.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.02 | 250 | 46.8%117 W · 133 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b5…316bbacked Yes | 60c | 101$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x566e…1340backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…1685backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 23c | 87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.99 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 61c | 78.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 19c | 54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 21c | 48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked No | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 66c | 40.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.62 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 51c | 38.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed No | 49c | 37.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed No | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Yes | 43c | 31.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked No | 55c | 22.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 76c | 19.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2025-12-21?this page
- Will AZ win on 2025-12-21?No won
- Will Fortuna Sittard vs. AZ end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.