TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombia O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$490,526
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$488,061

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $490,526 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 318 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c179,575$100,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,681.774,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Over54c100,000$54,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,999.9721343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over32c40,295$12,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,822.272,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under61c37,400$22,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,478.454,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21df…7078backed Under46c22,160$10,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,966.35837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over54c20,600$11,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,163.9723942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over32c18,381$5,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,855.2214542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked Under46c17,100$7,866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,2347757.1%44 W · 33 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over26c16,805$4,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,446.611,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under45c14,000$6,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,669.9374447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,399.9938026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under46c8,658$4,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,633.611,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b90…5fb9backed Over54c8,067$4,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,355.942343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over54c8,003$4,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,319.032,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over39c7,972$3,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,106.722,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecd5…755ebacked Over45c7,622$3,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,431.765662.5%35 W · 21 L+7.4wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+75.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x45dd…7181backed Over54c7,407$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0004040%16 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over54c6,507$3,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,542.664,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over51c6,277$3,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,195.428,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over53c5,725$3,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,045.1430465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under46c5,705$2,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,055.442,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa358…1b02backed Over53c5,657$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Over54c5,556$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Over25c5,546$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,406.0217544%77 W · 98 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cfc…57e7backed Over54c5,545$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over77c4,750$3,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,649.4359453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under46c4,567$2,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,466.281,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over33c4,256$1,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.232,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Over54c3,704$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over48c3,121$1,512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,512.191,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under48c3,006$1,438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,568.523,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5f…1695backed Over33c2,994$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00037223.9%89 W · 283 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over52c2,500$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30035424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over46c2,468$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.821,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over38c2,380$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.425244.8%113 W · 139 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over41c2,285$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$937.141,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00040343.7%176 W · 227 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06064443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67a5…3516backed Over53c1,886$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.5822441.5%93 W · 131 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under67c1,882$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.352,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x12a2…0e71backed Over54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00019158.1%111 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under46c1,798$827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.9119038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over48c1,608$777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.51,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over56c1,584$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.133,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over44c1,511$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.8887237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb54…8c93backed Over58c1,506$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.295545.5%25 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-24.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.8613155%72 W · 59 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeadf…26efbacked Over54c1,481$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80012854.7%70 W · 58 L+5.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda89…6a2dbacked Over69c1,449$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under50c1,384$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.412,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed Over41c1,344$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54717948%86 W · 93 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eeb…cf79backed Under10c1,232$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.365119.6%10 W · 41 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick10cpaid+170.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaae5…2341backed Under14c1,200$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0265724.6%14 W · 43 L+6.6wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+88%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x750b…609fbacked Under10c1,200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.994524.4%11 W · 34 L+7.6wins+0.17per pick8cpaid+183.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under47c1,200$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.9970648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over56c1,193$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.731,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4b2…33e1backed Under11c1,175$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,051.255139.2%20 W · 31 L+12.6wins+0.25per pick14cpaid+138.3%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under45c1,084$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.3986452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over50c1,071$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.862,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ef2…3c33backed Under47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.8318247.8%87 W · 95 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.8167447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under46c1,036$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.341,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under46c1,032$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.871,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e85…b7b2backed Over40c1,012$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002520%5 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-58.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4809357%53 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e61…19bdbacked Under49c999.99$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51015149.7%75 W · 76 L+13.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over55c999.99$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.9935446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under46c977.05$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.6129232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Over53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022622.1%50 W · 176 L-1.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dbb…352fbacked Over55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016441.5%68 W · 96 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcae8…63e6backed Under10c899.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8101833.3%6 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+106.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd220…fc0bbacked Over33c893.94$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29510432.7%34 W · 70 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over33c879.58$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.2617938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over23c878$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9465737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over26c833.65$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.072,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under46c783.14$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.071,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…ff77backed Under46c764.77$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.972250%11 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c48…c943backed Over57c739.14$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.31757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick69cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1b8…437cbacked Over54c738.84$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.972958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under35c716.52$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.692,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29d3…ccf6backed Over50c702.06$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.0317145%77 W · 94 L+11.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed Over54c687.21$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.1117241.3%71 W · 101 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd176…78bbbacked Over50c679.65$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.513847.4%18 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over37c671.9$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.141,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed Over69c666.81$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.0310273.5%75 W · 27 L+15.0wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+40.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over53c642$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.28520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-66.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x806e…2e52backed Under47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.39254.3%50 W · 42 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x271e…f001backed Under47c618$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.5412344.7%55 W · 68 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked Under46c610$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.47448.6%36 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Under46c600$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32445038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Over43c583.05$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25022846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over53c563.4$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021747.9%104 W · 113 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed Under46c557.59$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.17346.6%34 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47e1…da31backed Over54c555.87$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005944.1%26 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01ee…6ab0backed Over55c550.13$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012763.8%81 W · 46 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over53c533.83$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.3422643.4%98 W · 128 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under46c518.03$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.953,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7a…9e24backed Under69c500.37$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.1113234.1%45 W · 87 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26028337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a7f…3797backed Under45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2754060%24 W · 16 L+4.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.