TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Colombia (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
DR Congoof Colombia, DR Congo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$419,969
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$439,385

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $419,969 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7c1e…bab3backed Colombia17c160,000$27,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,199.9822348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Colombia15c56,275$8,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,555.122,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Colombia17c15,811$2,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,687.942,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Colombia6c9,604$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.13,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed DR Congo80c8,802$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802.425753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Colombia17c8,044$1,367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,367.4838734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Colombia16c5,909$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.3938333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Colombia17c4,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68025019.6%49 W · 201 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Colombia8c2,944$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.82,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed Colombia17c2,765$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47018626.3%49 W · 137 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd053…3c01backed Colombia16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320238.7%2 W · 21 L-4.3wins-0.19per pick28cpaid-84.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Colombia4c1,848$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.320646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b97…8d88backed Colombia17c1,765$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f66…849bbacked Colombia17c1,705$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.884626.1%12 W · 34 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick18cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Colombia8c1,654$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.791,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colombia12c1,566$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.42,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Colombia1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1575335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Colombia5c1,299$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9827034.4%93 W · 177 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Colombia23c1,282$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.791,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Colombia5c1,189$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.742,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Colombia20c1,131$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.0336234%123 W · 239 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Colombia15c1,105$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.7835424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Colombia19c1,006$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.914,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Colombia23c939.57$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.559453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Colombia8c900$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7245038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Colombia16c900$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14752744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Colombia22c748.73$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.3187237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Colombia8c746.19$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.741968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x0ae5…6aa2backed Colombia16c664.31$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.296725.4%17 W · 50 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x45d3…9364backed Colombia17c658.82$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11211934.5%41 W · 78 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Colombia17c626.18$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4545120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf01…859ebacked Colombia16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007842.3%33 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd753…6053backed Colombia16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030219.9%60 W · 242 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Colombia16c620$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.234247.7%163 W · 179 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4372…6a96backed Colombia17c618$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0626921.6%58 W · 211 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked Colombia17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026716.1%43 W · 224 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c86…6a80backed Colombia17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014839.9%59 W · 89 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Colombia17c529.41$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9060821.9%133 W · 475 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x341c…5aeabacked Colombia10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-66.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed Colombia17c499.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$858939.3%35 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Colombia17c499.99$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8513641.9%57 W · 79 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Colombia24c481.41$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.761,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd6d…96ddbacked Colombia16c468.75$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752010%2 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-79.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Colombia16c409.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.23,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Colombia13c396.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022846.1%105 W · 123 L-0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa14d…45d1backed Colombia16c382.83$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2512724.4%31 W · 96 L-10.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-44.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Colombia21c345$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.41,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c11…9b33backed Colombia20c337.87$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.575435.2%19 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9330…b993backed Colombia17c304.29$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.737138%27 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8390…09f1backed Colombia14c299.97$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4214235.9%51 W · 91 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b42…dc6dbacked Colombia17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011233.9%38 W · 74 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62be…aac9backed Colombia17c282.18$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9730%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd29…d827backed Colombia20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Colombia5c232.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0578234.3%268 W · 514 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x533b…0a9ebacked Colombia8c230$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.423227.6%64 W · 168 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Colombia21c211.84$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.042,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e56…cfdabacked Colombia17c207$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.197911.4%9 W · 70 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1ff…01d0backed Colombia20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409139.6%36 W · 55 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4df…e515backed Colombia18c200$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.97447.3%35 W · 39 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed85…be20backed Colombia17c199.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348833%29 W · 59 L+10.7wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+31.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xaa3c…5607backed Colombia21c191.3$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.178543.5%37 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x826a…b27cbacked Colombia16c181.25$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2912147.1%57 W · 64 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e88…0c70backed Colombia16c168.75$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2712532.8%41 W · 84 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc64f…6436backed Colombia16c162.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-66.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb66e…47c5backed Colombia7c158.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4313750.4%69 W · 68 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d8d…35bfbacked Colombia17c150$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.522825.4%58 W · 170 L-13.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1212…2571backed Colombia17c149.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.462814.3%4 W · 24 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-51.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb064…c2c2backed Colombia16c132.75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.241816.7%3 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick32cpaid-70.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed DR Congo73c126.5$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.151,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0459…0fcbbacked Colombia17c120.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026720.6%55 W · 212 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-11.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x49af…219dbacked Colombia17c103.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.584934.7%17 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e49…f1afbacked Colombia16c100.26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3345536.9%168 W · 287 L-26.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa066…16aebacked Colombia16c99.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7320138.3%77 W · 124 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fe…60e6backed Colombia21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206450%32 W · 32 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Colombia17c88.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1575630.4%230 W · 526 L-1.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Colombia26c73.63$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8839039%152 W · 238 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe270…eab5backed Colombia15c72.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7724136.9%89 W · 152 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf763…a0aabacked DR Congo70c64$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.218765.2%122 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x683c…6f68backed Colombia16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105129.4%15 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-29.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked DR Congo70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0668…027bbacked Colombia20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103644.4%16 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+31.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f08…f01dbacked Colombia20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104850%24 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed DR Congo78c27.63$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9832959.6%196 W · 133 L+21.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked DR Congo77c23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.445548.6%221 W · 234 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed DR Congo80c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefbb…6258backed DR Congo70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+41.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9935…a6b4backed DR Congo74c14.05$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.655253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.