TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Colombiaof DR Congo, Colombia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$299,059
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$405,006

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,059 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed DR Congo3c25,358$636 inLost-$636.222,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed DR Congo1c9,011$96 inLost-$96.453,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed DR Congo2c5,034$120 inLost-$120.491,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed DR Congo3c4,900$152 inLost-$151.942710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed DR Congo4c4,507$174 inLost-$174.55223.1%12 W · 40 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked DR Congo3c4,354$145 inLost-$145.442,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked DR Congo3c3,779$117 inLost-$117.1538734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed DR Congo2c2,851$54 inLost-$54.034,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed DR Congo4c2,560$100 inLost-$1007835.9%28 W · 50 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked DR Congo3c1,707$51 inLost-$51.22,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked DR Congo4c1,660$60 inLost-$59.7634247.7%163 W · 179 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed DR Congo1c1,471$22 inLost-$21.88,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked DR Congo3c1,300$42 inLost-$41.645445.4%206 W · 248 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed DR Congo3c1,125$38 inLost-$38.211,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed DR Congo3c1,114$35 inLost-$34.5365835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed DR Congo2c903.88$20 inLost-$20.032,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked DR Congo2c840.78$13 inLost-$13.271,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked DR Congo2c688$13 inLost-$13.2658530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf33…b5f8backed DR Congo4c500$20 inLost-$2020017%34 W · 166 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaf5…7a08backed DR Congo3c436.17$15 inLost-$14.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed DR Congo3c399.99$13 inLost-$12.671,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8f7…c971backed DR Congo3c350$12 inLost-$11.9340%0 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1bc…7e33backed DR Congo4c260$10 inLost-$10.183333.3%11 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.