TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe8f7…c971

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
63
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Dota2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 53 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT340%0 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mexico vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Alexander Sørloth: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Canada vs. Morocco: Canada 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.8
Jordan Ayew: 2+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.25
Zeki Amdouni: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 0 Algeria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.55
Ivan Perišić: 2+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.85
Marcel Sabitzer: 2+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
Lamine Yamal: 3+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.6
Nicolas Jackson: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.51
Marcus Rashford: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.35
Viktor Gyökeres: 5+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Ange-Yoan Bonny: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Joshua Kimmich: 2+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
Nick Woltemade: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.8
Matheus Cunha: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Jordan vs. Argentina: Jordan 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.85
Hamza Abdelkarim: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.4
Jørgen Strand Larsen: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.1
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Ibrahim Sangaré: 2+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.25
Hwang Heechan: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs. Qatar: Qatar 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT224.5%1 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick12cpaid-66.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Prague 2: Completed Match: Oleksii Krutykh vs Daniel Siniakovbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Prague 2: Completed Match: Florian Broska vs Sean Cueninbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.61
Prague 2: Completed Match: Matias Soto vs Rudolf Mollekerbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.69
ITF M15 Maanshan 7 Men, Qualifying: Completed Match: Kazuki Nakajima vs Edward Markosianbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Astana: Completed Match: Hayato Matsuoka vs Khumoun Sultanovbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
ITF M15 Tianjin 2 Men: Completed Match: Fanming Meng vs Yunseong Chungbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Mirjana Jovanovic vs Denislava Glushkovabacked Mirjana Jovanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
Set 2 Winner: Kessler vs Keysbacked Kessler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Set 1 Winner: Cadenasso vs Cinabacked Cadenasso · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Ana Giraldi Requena vs Marianne Argyrokastritibacked Ana Giraldi Requena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Ksenia Zaytseva vs Emma Ottavia Ghirardatobacked Emma Ottavia Ghirardato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
ITF Taipei: Dayeon Back vs Naho Satobacked Naho Sato · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
ITF Dinard: Milena Ciocan vs Lisa Claeysbacked Milena Ciocan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
ITF Haskovo: Valeriia Artemeva vs Zhibek Kulambayevabacked Valeriia Artemeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
ITF Haskovo: Iva Ivanova vs Martha Matoulabacked Iva Ivanova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
ITF Taipei: Naho Sato vs Feier Hubacked Feier Hu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
ITF Tokyo: Kosuke Ogura vs Keisuke Saitohbacked Kosuke Ogura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
ITF Tokyo: Azuma Visaya vs Naoya Hondabacked Azuma Visaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
ITF Mungia-Laukariz: Joaquin Guilleme vs Niccolo Ciavarellabacked Niccolo Ciavarella · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
ITF Taipei: Kayo Nishimura vs Sara Saitobacked Kayo Nishimura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+640.7%+$129.75
ITF Sapporo: Chisato Kanemaki vs Aishi Dasbacked Chisato Kanemaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.25
ITF Tokyo: Tai Leonard Sach vs Jesse Delaneybacked Jesse Delaney · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
All 22 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick11cpaid+59.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)backed Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Gabriel Moreno: Home Runs O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Inter Turku vs. FK Sarajevo: FK Sarajevo O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.