Tennis · resolved market
ITF Haskovo: Iva Ivanova vs Martha Matoula
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x671e17395ff0f7a79a24a0de3efdbf5c6e539c18369e121012da777181e5f682
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Martha Matoulaof Iva Ivanova, Martha Matoula
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe790…698cbacked Martha Matoula | 65c | 1,719$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.27 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…bf0ebacked Martha Matoula | 67c | 1,020$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.25 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Iva Ivanova | 33c | 999.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Iva Ivanova | 36c | 599.99$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.77 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Iva Ivanova | 34c | 373.9$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.13 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Iva Ivanova | 34c | 329.08$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.89 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb5…379fbacked Iva Ivanova | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Iva Ivanova | 34c | 250.75$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.26 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Iva Ivanova | 36c | 174.18$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.55 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Iva Ivanova | 28c | 170.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 106 | 38.7%41 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9c…cf78backed Iva Ivanova | 30c | 167.43$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f67…ba88backed Iva Ivanova | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 48 | 6.3%3 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Martha Matoula | 74c | 135.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 386 | 52.3%202 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Iva Ivanova | 36c | 125.14$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Martha Matoula | 64c | 120.14$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f7…c971backed Iva Ivanova | 14c | 75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Iva Ivanova | 34c | 59.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 433 | 36.7%159 W · 274 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1112…90dbbacked Martha Matoula | 77c | 58.44$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Martha Matoula | 75c | 53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Martha Matoula | 66c | 52.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Iva Ivanova | 33c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Martha Matoula | 67c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…aea3backed Martha Matoula | 62c | 35.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Martha Matoula | 76c | 26.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Martha Matoula | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.36 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…4cbfbacked Martha Matoula | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe69c…7f9bbacked Martha Matoula | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 171 | 68.4%117 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.