TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Colombia vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,476
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,995

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,476 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x033f…618ebacked Over8c11,187$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.8865737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over9c3,141$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.492,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0074…a9e8backed Over16c2,862$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.991241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fac…4e7dbacked Over3c2,529$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653333.3%11 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over15c1,602$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.322,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b0f…3476backed Over15c1,067$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16017938%68 W · 111 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over7c857.57$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.482,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over3c798.87$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.982,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over3c710.06$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.32,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over11c599.97$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over15c347.91$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.198,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over11c322.37$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.451,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4c1…489fbacked Over16c312.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508331.3%26 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked Over15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4525639.1%100 W · 156 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over13c204.65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1948328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Over15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3045445.4%206 W · 248 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d6d…a150backed Over16c123.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.71729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over15c93.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0173234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fe6…bb5cbacked Over16c80.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.86633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe90c…5907backed Over15c73.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf63…9a7dbacked Over16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 32 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.