TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$452,616
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$479,676

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $452,616 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 549 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes48c27,090$13,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,034.072,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No50c14,520$7,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,310.2165651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13e0…a97ebacked Yes51c13,872$7,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,830.428133.3%27 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes46c11,038$5,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,004.289647.9%46 W · 50 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes46c10,382$4,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,606.8213748.2%66 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb014…a357backed Yes49c9,016$4,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,598.0815642.9%67 W · 89 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Yes48c8,700$4,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,506.7520955.5%116 W · 93 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked No67c6,559$4,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,394.7613331.6%42 W · 91 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-21.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4eee…5841backed No52c6,306$3,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,293.996716.4%11 W · 56 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-44.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes42c6,289$2,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,641.4650214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No57c6,055$3,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,428.0618545.9%85 W · 100 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes47c5,863$2,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,079.48,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4db…7ea1backed Yes43c5,751$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,252.551346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked No50c5,739$2,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,862.9214219.7%28 W · 114 L-0.5wins0.00per pick20cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked No55c5,466$3,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,026.188844.3%39 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39ec…06d3backed Yes49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5501080%8 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+38.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Yes32c5,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,399.9227345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Yes52c4,857$2,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,339.8912254.1%66 W · 56 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+33.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd961…35debacked Yes46c4,714$2,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,529.7624028.8%69 W · 171 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Yes32c4,674$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,199.7325857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes53c4,187$2,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,950.193938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No68c4,070$2,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,769.0964850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e0a…b9ccbacked No51c4,025$2,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,072.9919850.5%100 W · 98 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes31c3,829$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,633.0635033.7%118 W · 232 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Yes47c3,800$1,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,023.9919723.4%46 W · 151 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc536…f086backed Yes42c3,306$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,917.481127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick43cpaid-55%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4805…6c7bbacked No71c3,042$2,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,166.081844.4%8 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.15per pick29cpaid+68.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed No67c3,000$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.958357.8%48 W · 35 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+77.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes39c2,999$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,834.0626940.9%110 W · 159 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes71c2,980$2,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.3222125.8%57 W · 164 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-47.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No51c2,960$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,511.372,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Yes37c2,845$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,795.5840239.8%160 W · 242 L-13.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb82b…fc60backed No70c2,823$1,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,968.987643.4%33 W · 43 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7837…8f97backed No39c2,821$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.63116.1%5 W · 26 L-4.3wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-72.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb2ee…9bdcbacked No55c2,568$1,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,422.563930.8%12 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-54.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed No52c2,548$1,325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,324.9622834.6%79 W · 149 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd15…4a07backed Yes29c2,446$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,745.47621.1%16 W · 60 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x243c…2240backed No68c2,430$1,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,652.47429.7%22 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x503a…8322backed Yes63c2,400$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8887047.1%33 W · 37 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes48c2,231$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.1988838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No57c2,113$1,196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.8217558.9%103 W · 72 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No66c2,075$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.9718246.2%84 W · 98 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes46c2,015$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.461,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b2…a5b9backed Yes46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,080366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+57.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No50c1,992$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.8153448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c0…c83cbacked Yes50c1,956$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$978.242454.2%13 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No53c1,872$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.171,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Yes29c1,816$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.4619345.1%87 W · 106 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c5e…8819backed No72c1,806$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3003737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc89e…6a30backed Yes43c1,620$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$915.753928.2%11 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-34.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes48c1,614$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$844.6647648.5%231 W · 245 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66a3…2a0dbacked Yes33c1,580$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.28944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick29cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed No59c1,556$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.9412945%58 W · 71 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e7d…ca41backed Yes46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8107339.7%29 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes43c1,500$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86016927.8%47 W · 122 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-31%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2936…7be9backed No51c1,500$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.999516.8%16 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-28.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76b…c054backed No57c1,446$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.53944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked No18c1,349$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.3721239.6%84 W · 128 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed No58c1,345$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.15623.2%13 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-51.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1be7…a6e3backed Yes29c1,280$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908.810326.2%27 W · 76 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0121…f722backed Yes36c1,280$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.7123644.9%106 W · 130 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-21.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No54c1,268$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.3626949.1%132 W · 137 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Yes49c1,248$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.214232.4%46 W · 96 L-12.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a6f…72f2backed Yes33c1,229$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.131323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-49.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes48c1,207$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.2225848.4%125 W · 133 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes31c1,200$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.3711945.4%54 W · 65 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed No52c1,200$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62419825.3%50 W · 148 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab2d…b1aabacked No49c1,162$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.216540.6%67 W · 98 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c0b…4700backed Yes44c1,126$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.39520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-54.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes34c1,112$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.852,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8575…87febacked No57c1,097$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.24650%23 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes48c1,022$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.3143635.8%156 W · 280 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5266…aac8backed Yes52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48020651.9%107 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad01…e2f1backed Yes48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5202100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+294.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9897…c033backed No70c1,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x345a…b413backed Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002729.6%8 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick26cpaid-36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd61…0002backed Yes30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7006543.1%28 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4f9…587cbacked Yes48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c7…c0e2backed Yes31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6904327.9%12 W · 31 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5906…1d0ebacked Yes48c981.36$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.31425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No26c973$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.3243835.8%157 W · 281 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No52c952.57$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.346137.7%23 W · 38 L-9.1wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-26.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa410…34d9backed Yes48c950$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3690…e16fbacked No56c945.02$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.936246.8%29 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Yes45c932.6$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.7213348.1%64 W · 69 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+0.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff4e…63e0backed Yes32c914.64$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.962236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No57c907.97$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.2921958%127 W · 92 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xff4b…d019backed Yes48c906.75$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.3512025%30 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc499…f793backed Yes59c892.39$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.097843.6%34 W · 44 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe7b6…022cbacked Yes47c851.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.0614652.1%76 W · 70 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed No53c838.38$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.3416646.4%77 W · 89 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd558…8b1bbacked Yes48c805.96$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.172751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Yes31c800$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55611545.2%52 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7e6…a5f5backed Yes54c800$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked No68c799$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.3240649.8%202 W · 204 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34cf…7188backed No56c784$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.042035%7 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No64c753.98$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.8328554.4%155 W · 130 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes49c738.81$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.4379231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked No51c732$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.4444435.4%157 W · 287 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Yes51c714.43$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.057838.5%30 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.