Fifa International · resolved market
Will Uzbekistan win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd48dffff4da2d0b4cb315e82899b1d2c900e53de4a9503878a2efcbf20827a53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2967…bd09backed Yes | 2c | 9,559$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.3 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…a97ebacked Yes | 4c | 6,976$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 4,014$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 202 | 1.5%3 W · 199 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78c1…473ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,190$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.39 | 513 | 15.6%80 W · 433 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,173$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.88 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ca…2443backed Yes | 3c | 1,923$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.01 | 350 | 41.1%144 W · 206 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Yes | 2c | 1,735$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | +41%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 3c | 1,531$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Yes | 2c | 1,500$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2471…7796backed Yes | 2c | 1,407$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 48 | 4.2%2 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Yes | 2c | 1,209$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb0…6981backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de2…d073backed Yes | 2c | 904.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 5c | 802.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed Yes | 2c | 740.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e7…843ebacked Yes | 1c | 722.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a99…7d64backed Yes | 3c | 610.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x315b…d386backed Yes | 4c | 609.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 192 | 25%48 W · 144 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e5…3bc7backed Yes | 3c | 525.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -90.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…afa4backed Yes | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb8…c74dbacked Yes | 2c | 445.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3270…292fbacked Yes | 3c | 426$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 3c | 396.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Uzbekistan win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will the Democratic Republic of Congo win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.