Fifa International · resolved market
Will the Democratic Republic of Congo win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb188213dda8c13a4783822755d725a5ac3fa80f5c38879762e395cac46873df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,913
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $121,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,913 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 4c | 11,031$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.26 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Yes | 4c | 7,500$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.49 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Yes | 4c | 5,420$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.44 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | +13.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 4,910$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.56 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 5c | 4,143$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…d019backed Yes | 4c | 2,941$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.11 | 120 | 25%30 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,788$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.14 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 4c | 2,750$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.91 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 2c | 2,726$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 4c | 2,500$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.62 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 6c | 2,429$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.77 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,316$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 1,949$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 202 | 1.5%3 W · 199 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…28d6backed Yes | 5c | 1,887$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Yes | 2c | 1,520$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 269 | 40.9%110 W · 159 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,419$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…34bcbacked Yes | 4c | 1,323$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…f087backed Yes | 4c | 1,174$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff32…7da9backed Yes | 4c | 1,158$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.76 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 4c | 1,090$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 6c | 1,079$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0a…b9ccbacked Yes | 2c | 999.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5397…4bc1backed Yes | 6c | 932.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 5cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 5c | 850.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2471…7796backed Yes | 5c | 799.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 48 | 4.2%2 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 3c | 752.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 4c | 718.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7c…3016backed Yes | 4c | 714.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 130 | 11.5%15 W · 115 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…5841backed Yes | 5c | 641.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae2…ff6cbacked Yes | 4c | 618.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeae4…a100backed Yes | 4c | 617.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 4c | 600$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 200 | 36%72 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…6f97backed Yes | 7c | 516.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…9bdcbacked Yes | 2c | 500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x315b…d386backed Yes | 8c | 493.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 192 | 25%48 W · 144 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 6c | 492.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18ce…5d26backed Yes | 4c | 486.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 91 | 8.8%8 W · 83 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…ae3cbacked Yes | 3c | 464.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec5…def4backed Yes | 6c | 446.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 3c | 422.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd74c…e70bbacked Yes | 4c | 380$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39e5…3bc7backed Yes | 4c | 372.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 34 | 2.9%1 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -90.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49e1…a8bdbacked Yes | 10c | 306.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 4c | 301.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…c548backed Yes | 6c | 293.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd61a…c7f1backed Yes | 5c | 278.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a99…7d64backed Yes | 4c | 274.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…30a4backed Yes | 4c | 247.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 67 | 20.9%14 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb600…55a0backed Yes | 6c | 213.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Yes | 6c | 193.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 189 | 11.1%21 W · 168 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…2adfbacked Yes | 5c | 190.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…a059backed Yes | 6c | 161.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Democratic Republic of Congo win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uzbekistan win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.