TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Japan 2 - 1 Sweden?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$378,154
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$356,301

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $378,154 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes8c60,032$4,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,984.878,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes11c50,000$5,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,492.12,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes10c19,397$1,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,993.824,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes10c18,781$1,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,878.0825124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes10c13,772$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.231,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes10c13,356$1,336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,335.62,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7685…a57bbacked Yes10c12,510$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25170%0 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076f…4ddcbacked Yes10c9,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900110%0 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e78…3945backed Yes11c6,364$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70019529.7%58 W · 137 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes11c5,002$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5406729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes9c4,550$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.5435514.4%51 W · 304 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb933…ab68backed Yes10c4,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4504727.7%13 W · 34 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Yes9c3,512$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.0867447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes10c3,509$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.0262633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa81b…4d36backed Yes6c3,502$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006434.4%22 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28a6…1673backed Yes12c3,156$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.840%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5823…8782backed Yes12c3,024$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.86826.1%5 W · 77 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-55.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes8c2,276$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.342,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe3f…abe7backed Yes7c2,049$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507910.1%8 W · 71 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd50…6f97backed Yes10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004524.4%11 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-37.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc54…4582backed Yes10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016319.6%32 W · 131 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Yes10c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009357%53 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes10c1,929$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.8629017.6%51 W · 239 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes6c1,583$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.762,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509822.4%22 W · 76 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a8…9643backed Yes10c1,500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012040%48 W · 72 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4a2…b646backed Yes10c1,483$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.0322421.9%49 W · 175 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8608…8b76backed Yes9c1,392$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2812015%18 W · 102 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9254…3af8backed Yes23c1,310$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017211%19 W · 153 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x989f…989fbacked Yes10c1,300$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130100%0 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes20c1,250$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011247.3%53 W · 59 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cf2…cec8backed Yes8c1,222$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.737018.6%13 W · 57 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid+23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Yes9c1,153$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.771,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7493…fe92backed Yes10c1,111$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.0924626%64 W · 182 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4160…3ad7backed Yes10c1,110$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11114024.3%34 W · 106 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc32a…f7ebbacked Yes7c1,100$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801219.1%11 W · 110 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick7cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes5c1,068$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.971,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5553…d807backed Yes7c910$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.8825%2 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-53.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3838…f22cbacked Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100303.3%1 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick16cpaid-72.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x883d…d2e8backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008711.5%10 W · 77 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-44.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0728…40f4backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016225.9%42 W · 120 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+36.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x410b…0152backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016731.1%52 W · 115 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes10c900$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9338817%66 W · 322 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7fe…10c6backed Yes11c818.18$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902711.1%3 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick21cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Yes10c777$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.721226.9%57 W · 155 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5829…5a3abacked Yes8c717.11$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3715141.1%62 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e69…755bbacked Yes13c651.11$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8516019.4%31 W · 129 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde90…d417backed Yes10c622.5$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.251040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x118c…ae45backed Yes5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025115.5%39 W · 212 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes10c599$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.0269826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfa6…bfd5backed Yes7c571.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401739.2%16 W · 157 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-50.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes10c563.51$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.3578317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes9c502.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.72,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003135.5%11 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf28…a9c3backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504712.8%6 W · 41 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-41.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a87…2500backed Yes9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes9c500$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4537237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…2147backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503531.4%11 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ab…fb13backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025842.2%109 W · 149 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e51…c6aabacked Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012341.5%51 W · 72 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5530215.2%46 W · 256 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd134…29febacked Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507726%20 W · 57 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick19cpaid+59.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5802…0aedbacked Yes10c499.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023944.8%107 W · 132 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f1f…57c1backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031132.2%100 W · 211 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204c…b31dbacked Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-63.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77d3…f740backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50326.3%2 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-64.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbeb3…4fbcbacked Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507332.9%24 W · 49 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a8b…11d7backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017518.3%32 W · 143 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe24d…1f83backed Yes11c435.73$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.93520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-72.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79f5…552dbacked Yes12c418.73$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3636627.3%100 W · 266 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6496…2155backed Yes10c400$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405626.8%15 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17fa…43c0backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick7cpaid-54.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes16c381.94$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6335714%50 W · 307 L-0.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes10c360$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366227.4%17 W · 45 L-0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Yes13c351.7$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4740912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62d2…9675backed Yes10c350$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3522518.2%41 W · 184 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec9f…c3fbbacked Yes10c350$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357343.8%32 W · 41 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e5f…6128backed Yes10c350$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35637.9%5 W · 58 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick15cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Yes9c327.76$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.544524.9%111 W · 334 L-1.0wins0.00per pick25cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x243c…2240backed Yes7c321.35$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.077429.7%22 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b62…d553backed Yes7c314$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.321838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes8c312.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014329.4%42 W · 101 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6189…d6ebbacked Yes9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2715144.4%67 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20e5…c62cbacked Yes10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020630.1%62 W · 144 L+0.3wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c77…1bfebacked Yes10c299.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.913828.9%11 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee3c…0fd8backed Yes10c293.5$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.357621.1%16 W · 60 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes9c276$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8445820.3%93 W · 365 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc959…c37fbacked Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3036023.6%85 W · 275 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x261a…887fbacked Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3070%0 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8933…630dbacked Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012622.2%28 W · 98 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+43.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae94…af2cbacked Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018027.2%49 W · 131 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3037320.9%78 W · 295 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x056e…14afbacked Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309214.1%13 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf3…4807backed Yes15c266.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cf3…43abbacked Yes11c263.64$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2919118.8%36 W · 155 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Yes5c260$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1311733.3%39 W · 78 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes9c251$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5948526.8%130 W · 355 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5748…a99abacked Yes10c250.77$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.088711.5%10 W · 77 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick13cpaid+12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2575630.4%230 W · 526 L-1.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.