Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Japan 2 - 1 Sweden?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dc0c22aaba77565c8c787b6028bd175dde64bc1111cd0988a440f8b3f1d0415
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $378,154
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $356,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $378,154 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 60,032$4,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,984.87 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 11c | 50,000$5,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,492.1 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 10c | 19,397$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.82 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 10c | 18,781$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.08 | 251 | 24.7%62 W · 189 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 10c | 13,772$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.23 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 10c | 13,356$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.6 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…a57bbacked Yes | 10c | 12,510$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076f…4ddcbacked Yes | 10c | 9,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e78…3945backed Yes | 11c | 6,364$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 195 | 29.7%58 W · 137 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 11c | 5,002$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 9c | 4,550$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.54 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb933…ab68backed Yes | 10c | 4,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 9c | 3,512$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.08 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 10c | 3,509$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.02 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa81b…4d36backed Yes | 6c | 3,502$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a6…1673backed Yes | 12c | 3,156$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5823…8782backed Yes | 12c | 3,024$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.86 | 82 | 6.1%5 W · 77 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 8c | 2,276$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.34 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…abe7backed Yes | 7c | 2,049$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 79 | 10.1%8 W · 71 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…6f97backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc54…4582backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 163 | 19.6%32 W · 131 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes | 10c | 1,929$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.86 | 290 | 17.6%51 W · 239 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 6c | 1,583$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.76 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 98 | 22.4%22 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a8…9643backed Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 120 | 40%48 W · 72 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…b646backed Yes | 10c | 1,483$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.03 | 224 | 21.9%49 W · 175 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8608…8b76backed Yes | 9c | 1,392$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.28 | 120 | 15%18 W · 102 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…3af8backed Yes | 23c | 1,310$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 172 | 11%19 W · 153 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989f…989fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,300$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf2…cec8backed Yes | 8c | 1,222$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.73 | 70 | 18.6%13 W · 57 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 9c | 1,153$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.77 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…fe92backed Yes | 10c | 1,111$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.09 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…3ad7backed Yes | 10c | 1,110$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc32a…f7ebbacked Yes | 7c | 1,100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 121 | 9.1%11 W · 110 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 5c | 1,068$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.97 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5553…d807backed Yes | 7c | 910$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3838…f22cbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 16cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x883d…d2e8backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0728…40f4backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 162 | 25.9%42 W · 120 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…0152backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 31.1%52 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 10c | 900$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fe…10c6backed Yes | 11c | 818.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 10c | 777$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 212 | 26.9%57 W · 155 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5829…5a3abacked Yes | 8c | 717.11$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…755bbacked Yes | 13c | 651.11$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde90…d417backed Yes | 10c | 622.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…ae45backed Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 251 | 15.5%39 W · 212 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 10c | 599$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.02 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…bfd5backed Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 173 | 9.2%16 W · 157 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 10c | 563.51$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 9c | 502.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf28…a9c3backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a87…2500backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 372 | 37.4%139 W · 233 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…2147backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ab…fb13backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e51…c6aabacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 302 | 15.2%46 W · 256 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd134…29febacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5802…0aedbacked Yes | 10c | 499.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 239 | 44.8%107 W · 132 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1f…57c1backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 311 | 32.2%100 W · 211 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204c…b31dbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f740backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb3…4fbcbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8b…11d7backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24d…1f83backed Yes | 11c | 435.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79f5…552dbacked Yes | 12c | 418.73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 366 | 27.3%100 W · 266 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…2155backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17fa…43c0backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes | 16c | 381.94$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 357 | 14%50 W · 307 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 10c | 360$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Yes | 13c | 351.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 409 | 12%49 W · 360 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d2…9675backed Yes | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 225 | 18.2%41 W · 184 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec9f…c3fbbacked Yes | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5f…6128backed Yes | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 63 | 7.9%5 W · 58 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 9c | 327.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…2240backed Yes | 7c | 321.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…d553backed Yes | 7c | 314$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 143 | 29.4%42 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6189…d6ebbacked Yes | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…c62cbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 206 | 30.1%62 W · 144 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c77…1bfebacked Yes | 10c | 299.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee3c…0fd8backed Yes | 10c | 293.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 76 | 21.1%16 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 9c | 276$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…c37fbacked Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 360 | 23.6%85 W · 275 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x261a…887fbacked Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8933…630dbacked Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 22.2%28 W · 98 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…af2cbacked Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 180 | 27.2%49 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056e…14afbacked Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 14.1%13 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf3…4807backed Yes | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…43abbacked Yes | 11c | 263.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 191 | 18.8%36 W · 155 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Yes | 5c | 260$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes | 9c | 251$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 485 | 26.8%130 W · 355 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5748…a99abacked Yes | 10c | 250.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Japan 2 - 1 Sweden?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 0 - 0 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 0 - 1 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 0 - 2 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 0 - 3 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 1 - 0 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 1 - 1 Sweden?Yes won
- Exact Score: Japan 1 - 2 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 1 - 3 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 2 - 0 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 2 - 2 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 2 - 3 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 3 - 0 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 3 - 1 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 3 - 2 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 3 - 3 Sweden?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.