Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Japan 3 - 2 Sweden?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d55dc3e6c18692c73a542c814b157cfe76e56954a8e0367180117c76f026344
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $210,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $194,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 22,736$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.3 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e78…3945backed Yes | 6c | 7,874$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 195 | 29.7%58 W · 137 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe927…a965backed Yes | 4c | 7,248$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.94 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…bc33backed Yes | 4c | 7,060$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 226 | 26.5%60 W · 166 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x738a…b44cbacked Yes | 4c | 5,787$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes | 3c | 5,000$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 262 | 16%42 W · 220 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e95…1776backed Yes | 4c | 5,000$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.52 | 156 | 7.7%12 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 3c | 4,476$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.93 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…0cf1backed Yes | 3c | 3,981$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 115 | 5.2%6 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaef…c642backed Yes | 4c | 2,702$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x883d…d2e8backed Yes | 4c | 2,466$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7540backed Yes | 3c | 1,863$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ca…5168backed Yes | 3c | 1,741$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 3c | 1,609$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…6049backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x261a…887fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,437$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.13 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 1c | 1,373$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 3c | 1,295$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989f…989fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,210$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba9…f812backed Yes | 4c | 1,200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 79 | 13.9%11 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes | 1c | 1,139$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 3c | 1,054$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4703…3ba6backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 4.8%3 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d1…e887backed Yes | 3c | 890.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Yes | 3c | 831.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 117 | 17.1%20 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ac…992fbacked Yes | 3c | 798.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…c7c0backed Yes | 3c | 720.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes | 3c | 709.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 112 | 4.5%5 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…6ac0backed Yes | 3c | 678.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 249 | 37.3%93 W · 156 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Yes | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 29.4%42 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…69afbacked Yes | 3c | 666.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 180 | 28.3%51 W · 129 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 4c | 650.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 303 | 21.5%65 W · 238 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f740backed Yes | 3c | 625.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…ee0fbacked Yes | 3c | 600$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 177 | 23.7%42 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 3c | 591.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b14…887ebacked Yes | 3c | 588.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257a…b42abacked Yes | 3c | 588.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 24.2%40 W · 125 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x728d…36b9backed Yes | 3c | 588.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…755bbacked Yes | 3c | 533.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 160 | 19.4%31 W · 129 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes | 3c | 520$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 302 | 15.2%46 W · 256 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…f569backed Yes | 3c | 515.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 90 | 12.2%11 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb8…46d2backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd28…449dbacked Yes | 3c | 458.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb72d…f11ebacked Yes | 3c | 448.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd1…d33cbacked Yes | 3c | 446.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 52 | 7.7%4 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…eb45backed Yes | 4c | 416.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +368.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a56…50c2backed Yes | 3c | 410$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 189 | 18.5%35 W · 154 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb3…4fbcbacked Yes | 4c | 395.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2331…a794backed Yes | 3c | 379.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 118 | 28.8%34 W · 84 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 4c | 377.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 315 | 20.3%64 W · 251 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf65a…c8fbbacked Yes | 4c | 361.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f7…6ae0backed Yes | 3c | 352.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b53…ce04backed Yes | 3c | 349.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 106 | 10.4%11 W · 95 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa318…77cfbacked Yes | 3c | 310$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 110 | 9.1%10 W · 100 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34e…5cbbbacked Yes | 4c | 277.77$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a0…a986backed Yes | 4c | 245$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 177 | 27.7%49 W · 128 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Japan 3 - 2 Sweden?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 0 - 0 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 0 - 1 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 0 - 2 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 0 - 3 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 1 - 0 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 1 - 1 Sweden?Yes won
- Exact Score: Japan 1 - 2 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 1 - 3 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 2 - 0 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 2 - 1 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 2 - 2 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 2 - 3 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 3 - 0 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 3 - 1 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 3 - 3 Sweden?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.