Exact Score: Japan 2 - 2 Sweden?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x516f803699af1d34a77cbc58bba179a8bf27126e7616e3dcb4c7b45eb5596979

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $267,963
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $241,155

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $267,963 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	4c	25,970$976 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$975.7	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes	7c	14,831$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	99	29.3%29 W · 70 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	6c	12,046$718 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$717.51	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7685…a57bbacked Yes	7c	11,947$832 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$831.8	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	6c	5,873$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.53	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes	8c	5,682$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	672	9.2%62 W · 610 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefe5…6f6bbacked Yes	6c	5,115$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.87	51	3.9%2 W · 49 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes	7c	5,000$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335	525	22.5%118 W · 407 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28a6…1673backed Yes	7c	4,863$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.58	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	6c	4,758$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes	6c	4,479$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.49	355	14.4%51 W · 304 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes	5c	4,422$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.09	626	33.9%212 W · 414 L	-28.6wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes	7c	3,000$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201	246	35.8%88 W · 158 L	+4.5wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes	7c	2,800$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.69	290	17.6%51 W · 239 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3942…ee94backed Yes	10c	2,238$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.51	40	20%8 W · 32 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcaef…c642backed Yes	6c	2,052$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122	68	13.2%9 W · 59 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27f0…0cf1backed Yes	6c	2,034$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	115	5.2%6 W · 109 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Yes	6c	2,000$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116	228	13.2%30 W · 198 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes	6c	1,998$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.89	783	17.4%136 W · 647 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes	2c	1,705$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.1	245	41.2%101 W · 144 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fca…c922backed Yes	6c	1,695$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	125	17.6%22 W · 103 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes	6c	1,534$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.68	1,045	29.3%306 W · 739 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes	6c	1,125$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.47	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69e3…0078backed Yes	6c	1,106$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	116	19.8%23 W · 93 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4001…3fb3backed Yes	5c	1,100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	143	35%50 W · 93 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x935d…9404backed Yes	6c	1,048$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	157	19.1%30 W · 127 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Yes	7c	975.46$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.2	360	24.4%88 W · 272 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	+7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes	6c	949.99$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.15	262	16%42 W · 220 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+35%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Yes	2c	857.53$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	117	33.3%39 W · 78 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x989f…989fbacked Yes	6c	847.46$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77d3…f740backed Yes	6c	847.46$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	32	6.3%2 W · 30 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d69…7540backed Yes	6c	833.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	152	26.3%40 W · 112 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes	6c	809.76$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.16	275	20.4%56 W · 219 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e78…3945backed Yes	6c	806.45$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	195	29.7%58 W · 137 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba9…f812backed Yes	6c	786.45$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	79	13.9%11 W · 68 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes	6c	750$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.5	352	29.3%103 W · 249 L	+14.0wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bff…5c18backed Yes	7c	750$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.75	214	29.4%63 W · 151 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5425…d3e8backed Yes	6c	750$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.75	151	27.8%42 W · 109 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes	7c	724.84$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	163	42.9%70 W · 93 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafc0…0080backed Yes	2c	675.71$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.19	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.23per pick	10cpaid	+92.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes	9c	667.22$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	266	18%48 W · 218 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes	2c	625.47$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.92	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes	5c	600$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	388	17%66 W · 322 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes	10c	502.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	98	22.4%22 W · 76 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Yes	5c	500$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	957	39.5%378 W · 579 L	-18.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.5	302	15.2%46 W · 256 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c12…748fbacked Yes	3c	499.54$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.02	324	22.5%73 W · 251 L	-8.5wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	6c	468.75$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	535	14.6%78 W · 457 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes	6c	397.18$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.89	2,804	46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L	-27.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8494…814abacked Yes	6c	395.41$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.67	192	51.6%99 W · 93 L	+4.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09c1…0ddfbacked Yes	5c	384.33$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.58	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	+4.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e69…755bbacked Yes	6c	364.31$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.93	160	19.4%31 W · 129 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Yes	6c	349.28$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.31	445	24.9%111 W · 334 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1318…69afbacked Yes	6c	345$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	180	28.3%51 W · 129 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d8c…0ad7backed Yes	6c	341.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	20cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd99c…2efdbacked Yes	6c	338.98$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	153	12.4%19 W · 134 L	-8.8wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-34%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	143	29.4%42 W · 101 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b62…d553backed Yes	5c	332.45$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.92	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x792c…94f1backed Yes	6c	331.43$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	17cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x692b…b4f2backed Yes	6c	324.49$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.47	43	23.3%10 W · 33 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-33%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x517a…eb45backed Yes	6c	322.58$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+1.3wins	+0.16per pick	9cpaid	+368.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4c9…8803backed Yes	9c	317.75$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.87	117	17.1%20 W · 97 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb553…457bbacked Yes	6c	307.69$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	142	16.2%23 W · 119 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87fe…3cbebacked Yes	5c	300$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	72	47.2%34 W · 38 L	+4.1wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53b4…2e88backed Yes	5c	300$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	31	9.7%3 W · 28 L	-4.3wins	-0.14per pick	24cpaid	-70.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes	6c	299.98$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.6	458	20.3%93 W · 365 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf28…a9c3backed Yes	6c	288.54$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	47	12.8%6 W · 41 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes	6c	280.2$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.81	514	29.4%151 W · 363 L	-46.1wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xc8bb…8e9abacked Yes	6c	253.97$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcb8…6b51backed Yes	6c	250$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	103	14.6%15 W · 88 L	+4.7wins	+0.05per pick	10cpaid	+49.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d9a…6ac0backed Yes	6c	243.59$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	249	37.3%93 W · 156 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	6c	238.1$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac78…a7b7backed Yes	6c	234.82$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	123	30.9%38 W · 85 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes	6c	230$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.91	112	4.5%5 W · 107 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5cf3…43abbacked Yes	7c	223.88$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	191	18.8%36 W · 155 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd28…449dbacked Yes	7c	223.88$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	178	37.6%67 W · 111 L	+8.8wins	+0.05per pick	33cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a70…d019backed Yes	7c	217.39$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	35	28.6%10 W · 25 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc05a…532bbacked Yes	7c	205.88$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	134	24.6%33 W · 101 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1201…6b9abacked Yes	6c	202.82$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	101	32.7%33 W · 68 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf65a…c8fbbacked Yes	6c	198.92$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	24	25%6 W · 18 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa318…77cfbacked Yes	6c	175$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.15	110	9.1%10 W · 100 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1101…dfd5backed Yes	6c	172.41$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	277	32.5%90 W · 187 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes	10c	100.1$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.01	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No	71c	100$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29	237	50.6%120 W · 117 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: Japan 2 - 2 Sweden?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
Exact Score: Japan 0 - 0 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 0 - 1 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 0 - 2 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 0 - 3 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 1 - 0 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 1 - 1 Sweden?Yes won
Exact Score: Japan 1 - 2 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 1 - 3 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 2 - 0 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 2 - 1 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 2 - 3 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 3 - 0 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 3 - 1 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 3 - 2 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 3 - 3 Sweden?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: Japan 2 - 2 Sweden?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event