Exact Score: Japan 2 - 0 Sweden?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd1e663eea9e141cc9c9e189acfc5e7a5310b2390a3f76c50c404bee21ed020d

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $107,544
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $102,229

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,544 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	11c	13,354$1,420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,420.42	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4154…e7a8backed Yes	8c	10,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	296	33.4%99 W · 197 L	-9.9wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes	9c	4,454$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.61	324	29.9%97 W · 227 L	+10.4wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf257…1950backed Yes	1c	3,105$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.05	174	32.8%57 W · 117 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e78…3945backed Yes	9c	2,778$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	195	29.7%58 W · 137 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9254…3af8backed Yes	8c	2,500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	172	11%19 W · 153 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes	8c	2,361$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	672	9.2%62 W · 610 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076f…4ddcbacked Yes	8c	2,219$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.22	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6ce…ab45backed Yes	8c	1,875$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	98	22.4%22 W · 76 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes	13c	1,624$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.89	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x73f0…9e0cbacked Yes	8c	1,600$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128	31	6.5%2 W · 29 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	14cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes	18c	1,594$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.92	514	29.4%151 W · 363 L	-46.1wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	12c	1,400$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes	16c	1,371$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.26	626	33.9%212 W · 414 L	-28.6wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x81ed…59f5backed Yes	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	608	21.9%133 W · 475 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e51…c6aabacked Yes	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	123	41.5%51 W · 72 L	-5.7wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3838…f22cbacked Yes	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	30	3.3%1 W · 29 L	-3.8wins	-0.13per pick	16cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x883d…d2e8backed Yes	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	87	11.5%10 W · 77 L	-3.8wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51cf…106cbacked Yes	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	153	21.6%33 W · 120 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x410b…0152backed Yes	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	167	31.1%52 W · 115 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes	7c	1,088$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.78	190	26.3%50 W · 140 L	-10.1wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf32f…ef80backed Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	116	41.4%48 W · 68 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes	5c	831.26$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.27	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes	8c	828.5$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	485	26.8%130 W · 355 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes	7c	734.9$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.85	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9629…972bbacked Yes	9c	723.69$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.13	218	7.3%16 W · 202 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5748…a99abacked Yes	9c	660$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.4	87	11.5%10 W · 77 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	10c	652.29$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.23	372	37.4%139 W · 233 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95ff…f2bebacked Yes	8c	625$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	239	29.7%71 W · 168 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes	9c	555.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	389	24.4%95 W · 294 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5473…f736backed Yes	9c	444.44$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	72	18.1%13 W · 59 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x989f…989fbacked Yes	9c	444.44$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x731d…c932backed Yes	9c	428.44$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.56	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Yes	8c	409.29$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.74	445	24.9%111 W · 334 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3fbc…30a4backed Yes	8c	407.67$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.61	67	20.9%14 W · 53 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	9c	382.5$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.6	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x946e…1225backed Yes	8c	375$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	93	15.1%14 W · 79 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x946f…08ebbacked Yes	8c	375$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	111	30.6%34 W · 77 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes	14c	373.59$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.67	508	33.3%169 W · 339 L	-35.7wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x118c…ae45backed Yes	9c	366.67$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	251	15.5%39 W · 212 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3433…aecebacked Yes	9c	333.33$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	112	49.1%55 W · 57 L	+5.7wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8933…630dbacked Yes	9c	323.33$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.1	126	22.2%28 W · 98 L	+9.4wins	+0.07per pick	15cpaid	+43.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf241…7b2cbacked Yes	10c	310$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eee…06a5backed Yes	9c	262.05$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.58	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe785…1ccdbacked Yes	9c	249.97$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.5	154	20.8%32 W · 122 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	+69.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd7…7842backed Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	184	36.4%67 W · 117 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0448…6cebbacked Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	152	17.1%26 W · 126 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbca…55c2backed Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	23	8.7%2 W · 21 L	-2.7wins	-0.12per pick	21cpaid	-77.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x792c…94f1backed Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	17cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d12…9591backed Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	136	20.6%28 W · 108 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	20cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5f3…6102backed Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	16cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204c…b31dbacked Yes	19c	210.53$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	8	25%2 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-63.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes	7c	210.22$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.72	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe3e3…97e0backed Yes	8c	206.25$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	65	26.2%17 W · 48 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x848c…2bf0backed Yes	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	221	22.2%49 W · 172 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cd…3ac3backed Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6236…e7febacked Yes	9c	177.78$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-2.1wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc05a…532bbacked Yes	8c	175$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	134	24.6%33 W · 101 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes	9c	152.76$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.45	879	38.6%339 W · 540 L	+8.3wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes	10c	150$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Yes	19c	145$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.55	872	37.8%330 W · 542 L	-39.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8bb…8e9abacked Yes	9c	144.44$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x851d…32f4backed Yes	9c	144.44$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.7wins	+0.23per pick	10cpaid	+122.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Yes	10c	144.3$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.43	927	32.1%298 W · 629 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffbd…fa33backed Yes	21c	142.86$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed85…be20backed Yes	9c	140$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	88	33%29 W · 59 L	+10.7wins	+0.12per pick	21cpaid	+31.1%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0x1439…eacbbacked Yes	8c	131.05$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.46	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7a9…d73ebacked Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0950…2380backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	109	17.4%19 W · 90 L	-5.3wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f0d…c375backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	38	42.1%16 W · 22 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	356	12.6%45 W · 311 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57c8…cd34backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	57	31.6%18 W · 39 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes	16c	116$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.56	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf65a…c8fbbacked Yes	10c	115.56$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	24	25%6 W · 18 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb553…457bbacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	142	16.2%23 W · 119 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b8…8921backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	128	35.9%46 W · 82 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d5a…28a6backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d9a…6ac0backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	249	37.3%93 W · 156 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: Japan 2 - 0 Sweden?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
Exact Score: Japan 0 - 0 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 0 - 1 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 0 - 2 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 0 - 3 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 1 - 0 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 1 - 1 Sweden?Yes won
Exact Score: Japan 1 - 2 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 1 - 3 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 2 - 1 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 2 - 2 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 2 - 3 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 3 - 0 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 3 - 1 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 3 - 2 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 3 - 3 Sweden?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: Japan 2 - 0 Sweden?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event