Exact Score: Japan 0 - 0 Sweden?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc01261225732d7112231fc95951c6b90ec57b157a18e9a1ee430b523909e8d9f

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $139,658
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $140,826

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,658 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	14c	14,810$2,066 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,065.98	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Yes	7c	10,000$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.99	380	26.6%101 W · 279 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a4…097fbacked Yes	18c	6,946$1,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250	100	45%45 W · 55 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Yes	7c	5,000$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes	9c	3,832$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	672	9.2%62 W · 610 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Yes	17c	3,409$594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$593.59	174	42%73 W · 101 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b85…55f5backed Yes	2c	3,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	99	12.1%12 W · 87 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1e0…206dbacked Yes	17c	2,906$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	88	26.1%23 W · 65 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	24cpaid	+36.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9254…3af8backed Yes	8c	2,500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	172	11%19 W · 153 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes	7c	2,175$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.22	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No	71c	2,145$1,531 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$614.03	215	42.8%92 W · 123 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+18.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x424d…3b7ebacked Yes	7c	2,065$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.52	114	21.1%24 W · 90 L	+6.4wins	+0.06per pick	15cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Yes	8c	1,842$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.94	232	40.5%94 W · 138 L	-11.0wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfe6…6049backed Yes	8c	1,662$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	113	16.8%19 W · 94 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	17c	1,583$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.68	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb673…d240backed Yes	7c	1,468$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.76	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-2.4wins	-0.07per pick	33cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a7…4380backed Yes	7c	1,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	80c	1,276$1,017 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$259.42	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bfc…f71dbacked Yes	16c	1,224$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	168	27.4%46 W · 122 L	-7.4wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5503…4ec2backed Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes	8c	1,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	414	29%120 W · 294 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8985…f540backed Yes	9c	967.66$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.09	70	42.9%30 W · 40 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x989f…989fbacked Yes	8c	875$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67a5…3516backed Yes	12c	828$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.39	224	41.5%93 W · 131 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdec9…17e8backed Yes	7c	700$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	39	43.6%17 W · 22 L	+3.5wins	+0.09per pick	35cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x922d…3b38backed Yes	29c	600$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	7c	571.43$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	535	14.6%78 W · 457 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e2b…97b2backed Yes	18c	557.22$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	80	38.8%31 W · 49 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes	9c	555.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	485	26.8%130 W · 355 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84b9…8880backed Yes	9c	500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.8wins	+0.08per pick	12cpaid	-8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No	71c	500$355 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145	419	68.3%286 W · 133 L	+65.4wins	+0.16per pick	53cpaid	+43.6%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes	9c	454.71$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.09	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes	30c	400$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	508	33.3%169 W · 339 L	-35.7wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-40.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes	12c	400$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes	31c	391.1$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.07	514	29.4%151 W · 363 L	-46.1wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xb8af…0550backed Yes	8c	375$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	356	14.3%51 W · 305 L	-14.3wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd255…bbcabacked Yes	14c	364.29$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	87	11.5%10 W · 77 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0faf…d0d9backed Yes	7c	357.14$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	31	45.2%14 W · 17 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6243…0e83backed Yes	7c	357.14$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	94	39.4%37 W · 57 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23a…3e2bbacked Yes	11c	300$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	68	33.8%23 W · 45 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Yes	12c	300$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	872	37.8%330 W · 542 L	-39.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x977f…0981backed Yes	6c	299.98$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	143	23.1%33 W · 110 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b71…f840backed Yes	8c	295.41$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.75	128	29.7%38 W · 90 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc569…63c6backed Yes	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	59	39%23 W · 36 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	+3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc435…2494backed Yes	18c	292.78$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.4	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	+5.1wins	+0.14per pick	39cpaid	+33%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1101…dfd5backed Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	277	32.5%90 W · 187 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e51…c6aabacked Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	123	41.5%51 W · 72 L	-5.7wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe90…972fbacked Yes	18c	240.56$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+1.2wins	+0.07per pick	22cpaid	+48.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes	6c	221.38$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.28	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48d1…e42bbacked Yes	12c	208.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	72	55.6%40 W · 32 L	+11.8wins	+0.16per pick	39cpaid	+119.1%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xbeae…e97dbacked Yes	24c	208.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	50	36%18 W · 32 L	-4.2wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8981…ce82backed Yes	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	98	30.6%30 W · 68 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed6a…3d04backed Yes	21c	200$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0a5…0f5abacked Yes	30c	200$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	94	36.2%34 W · 60 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes	6c	199.98$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	189	29.1%55 W · 134 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Yes	9c	194.44$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	462	43.5%201 W · 261 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb32…438fbacked Yes	29c	172.41$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7921…bbc3backed Yes	18c	166.67$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	241	40.2%97 W · 144 L	-12.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-16%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes	7c	161.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.34	319	45.1%144 W · 175 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes	23c	159.38$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.09	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f3…3b59backed Yes	30c	158.33$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.5	154	56.5%87 W · 67 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6413…556ebacked Yes	22c	152.41$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.53	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-13%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf60a…d7a2backed Yes	15c	128.73$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.31	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+2.9wins	+0.18per pick	38cpaid	+36.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5473…f736backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	72	18.1%13 W · 59 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf739…3d37backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	135	40.7%55 W · 80 L	+6.9wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57c8…cd34backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	57	31.6%18 W · 39 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce7d…c177backed No	72c	122.58$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.32	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.21per pick	71cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe995…5255backed Yes	25c	120$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	160	30.6%49 W · 111 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed No	77c	117.56$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.55	176	59.7%105 W · 71 L	+25.3wins	+0.14per pick	45cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x97ff…d970backed Yes	26c	110.4$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.2	33	9.1%3 W · 30 L	-3.9wins	-0.12per pick	21cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1134…572abacked Yes	30c	108.23$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.47	104	16.3%17 W · 87 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc820…49debacked Yes	29c	103.45$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	56	66.1%37 W · 19 L	+5.2wins	+0.09per pick	57cpaid	+20.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Yes	19c	101$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.19	927	32.1%298 W · 629 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1b…9876backed Yes	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	327	33%108 W · 219 L	+9.6wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x954d…cd39backed Yes	22c	100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	66	42.4%28 W · 38 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4a…102cbacked Yes	24c	100$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x782e…e910backed Yes	35c	85.71$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked No	80c	71$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.4	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e60…da40backed Yes	29c	68.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	83	32.5%27 W · 56 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ad…dcacbacked Yes	29c	68.97$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	39	17.9%7 W · 32 L	-6.6wins	-0.17per pick	35cpaid	-70.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x604c…fd65backed Yes	29c	68.21$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.78	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff14…c6cabacked Yes	29c	67.82$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	71	38%27 W · 44 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9791…a14abacked No	78c	51.04$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.04	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-32%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No	69c	42.17$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.07	460	47.2%217 W · 243 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x985d…f98bbacked Yes	35c	41.43$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	111	35.1%39 W · 72 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x718f…1dc3backed Yes	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	163	42.3%69 W · 94 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: Japan 0 - 0 Sweden?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
Exact Score: Japan 0 - 1 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 0 - 2 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 0 - 3 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 1 - 0 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 1 - 1 Sweden?Yes won
Exact Score: Japan 1 - 2 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 1 - 3 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 2 - 0 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 2 - 1 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 2 - 2 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 2 - 3 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 3 - 0 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 3 - 1 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 3 - 2 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 3 - 3 Sweden?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: Japan 0 - 0 Sweden?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event