Exact Score: Japan 1 - 2 Sweden?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61a7af612d92903bb374b91bc38876d01672a9ae86a82ac56ffa102a1721e18e

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $145,858
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $132,107

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,858 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	8c	15,777$1,195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,195.3	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5823…8782backed Yes	7c	6,882$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$481.77	82	6.1%5 W · 77 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes	7c	5,000$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	525	22.5%118 W · 407 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes	6c	4,250$255 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255	262	16%42 W · 220 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	+35%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd50…6f97backed Yes	8c	3,841$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	29cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes	8c	3,670$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.1	672	9.2%62 W · 610 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes	6c	3,140$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.83	355	14.4%51 W · 304 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes	7c	2,928$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.94	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Yes	6c	2,500$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	228	13.2%30 W · 198 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes	10c	2,269$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.06	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a8…9643backed Yes	8c	1,968$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	120	40%48 W · 72 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c36…89ffbacked Yes	8c	1,807$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.56	290	17.6%51 W · 239 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	7c	1,708$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.08	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes	9c	1,667$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	485	26.8%130 W · 355 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes	7c	1,333$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	388	17%66 W · 322 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6993…3f71backed Yes	17c	1,190$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	224	19.6%44 W · 180 L	-8.4wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x79f5…552dbacked Yes	17c	1,163$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.24	366	27.3%100 W · 266 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x935d…9404backed Yes	8c	1,125$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	157	19.1%30 W · 127 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7d9…3271backed Yes	6c	1,100$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	117	23.1%27 W · 90 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+69.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4001…3fb3backed Yes	9c	888.89$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	143	35%50 W · 93 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4911…5aa8backed Yes	6c	833.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	+2.4wins	+0.09per pick	36cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77d3…f740backed Yes	6c	833.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	32	6.3%2 W · 30 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcaef…c642backed Yes	6c	833.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	68	13.2%9 W · 59 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-47.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9254…3af8backed Yes	18c	833.33$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	172	11%19 W · 153 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7493…fe92backed Yes	6c	726.32$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.96	246	26%64 W · 182 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e47…b3d0backed Yes	7c	676.19$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	208	19.7%41 W · 167 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c47…e1cbbacked Yes	8c	625$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	37	62.2%23 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x434a…1578backed Yes	8c	617.03$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.36	130	35.4%46 W · 84 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf930…e346backed Yes	19c	526.38$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	352	29.3%103 W · 249 L	+14.0wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc959…c37fbacked Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	360	23.6%85 W · 275 L	-8.9wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd255…bbcabacked Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	87	11.5%10 W · 77 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c20…a7dfbacked Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	302	15.2%46 W · 256 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a8b…11d7backed Yes	7c	485.71$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	175	18.3%32 W · 143 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+15%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	8c	437.5$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	535	14.6%78 W · 457 L	+8.8wins	+0.02per pick	13cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes	9c	428.75$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.6	1,063	31.7%337 W · 726 L	-33.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17fa…43c0backed Yes	5c	400$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	22	4.5%1 W · 21 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	14c	382.14$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.07	2,634	32.9%867 W · 1,767 L	+43.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes	8c	375$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	186	32.8%61 W · 125 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e69…755bbacked Yes	8c	375$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	160	19.4%31 W · 129 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes	15c	366.2$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.58	707	50.1%354 W · 353 L	+25.8wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f83…8568backed Yes	6c	343$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.58	40	7.5%3 W · 37 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-61.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dfd…cacfbacked Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	35	8.6%3 W · 32 L	-3.2wins	-0.09per pick	18cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd360…7bf6backed Yes	6c	333.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…9a30backed Yes	9c	325.11$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	281	27.8%78 W · 203 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Yes	15c	318.73$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	409	12%49 W · 360 L	-4.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcce5…3527backed Yes	7c	314.29$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	74	16.2%12 W · 62 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe71a…cdc1backed Yes	6c	266.67$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	128	28.9%37 W · 91 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xbb15…ee0fbacked Yes	8c	260$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.8	177	23.7%42 W · 135 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe04…45cdbacked Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	756	30.4%230 W · 526 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd0c…fb1abacked Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	483	34.2%165 W · 318 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a99…e614backed Yes	6c	237.68$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.97	80	25%20 W · 60 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-25%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ae…ed5dbacked Yes	8c	229.07$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.33	53	20.8%11 W · 42 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	17cpaid	-21%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x848c…2bf0backed Yes	8c	225$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	221	22.2%49 W · 172 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0890…c657backed Yes	19c	213.9$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	75	32%24 W · 51 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes	8c	212.5$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	356	12.6%45 W · 311 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Yes	5c	200.04$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	333	50.5%168 W · 165 L	+24.7wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x243c…2240backed Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	74	29.7%22 W · 52 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf28…a9c3backed Yes	8c	187.5$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	47	12.8%6 W · 41 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-41.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb47…3502backed Yes	8c	181.86$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.55	445	24.9%111 W · 334 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa318…77cfbacked Yes	6c	170$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.2	110	9.1%10 W · 100 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe21…1e66backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	78	15.4%12 W · 66 L	-4.9wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf739…3d37backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	135	40.7%55 W · 80 L	+6.9wins	+0.05per pick	36cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd421…191cbacked Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	139	22.3%31 W · 108 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9795…390dbacked Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfb5…0f14backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	198	25.3%50 W · 148 L	+6.8wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaab5…bc89backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	152	9.2%14 W · 138 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ba…e2b1backed Yes	17c	117.65$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	126	46.8%59 W · 67 L	+3.6wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e52…287bbacked Yes	28c	106.89$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	107	41.1%44 W · 63 L	-6.8wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No	79c	95.31$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.83	2,533	46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L	+12.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: Japan 1 - 2 Sweden?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
Exact Score: Japan 0 - 0 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 0 - 1 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 0 - 2 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 0 - 3 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 1 - 0 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 1 - 1 Sweden?Yes won
Exact Score: Japan 1 - 3 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 2 - 0 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 2 - 1 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 2 - 2 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 2 - 3 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 3 - 0 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 3 - 1 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 3 - 2 Sweden?No won
Exact Score: Japan 3 - 3 Sweden?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: Japan 1 - 2 Sweden?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event