Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62bc6e6e2663fb33583fc6369880cd6c27a6a4e3d7048b63b4ec6bb4791ddf22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 13c | 39,137$5,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,112.11 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 14c | 14,213$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.71 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…c5cebacked Yes | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 224 | 37.1%83 W · 141 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1c…b3abbacked Yes | 13c | 4,008$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.09 | 275 | 20.4%56 W · 219 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes | 12c | 3,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 176 | 36.4%64 W · 112 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa81b…4d36backed Yes | 15c | 1,986$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x883d…d2e8backed Yes | 14c | 1,771$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 87 | 11.5%10 W · 77 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…4997backed Yes | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 235 | 13.2%31 W · 204 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +52%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 471 | 27.8%131 W · 340 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 13c | 839.12$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.53 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc220…5012backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 36.1%107 W · 189 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 14c | 594$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.78 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 14c | 550$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…f72ebacked Yes | 13c | 538.46$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 250 | 18.4%46 W · 204 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd099…6ad3backed Yes | 13c | 376.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.98 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 13c | 350.17$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 13c | 294.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…352fbacked Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 164 | 41.5%68 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…190dbacked Yes | 16c | 188.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…e203backed Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f7…6ae0backed Yes | 14c | 171.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dde…4383backed Yes | 14c | 163.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2895…7db8backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727a…3ecabacked Yes | 14c | 128.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…8232backed Yes | 14c | 110$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 255 | 10.6%27 W · 228 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 177 | 38.4%68 W · 109 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Yes | 14c | 103.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…1698backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c7…f1f3backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e5…9342backed Yes | 14c | 76.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x533b…0a9ebacked Yes | 14c | 76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 232 | 27.6%64 W · 168 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…5269backed Yes | 15c | 73.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 112 | 19.6%22 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fad…3ee4backed Yes | 16c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?this page
- Exact Score: Japan 0 - 0 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 0 - 1 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 0 - 2 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 0 - 3 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 1 - 0 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 1 - 1 Sweden?Yes won
- Exact Score: Japan 1 - 2 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 1 - 3 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 2 - 0 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 2 - 1 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 2 - 2 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 2 - 3 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 3 - 0 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 3 - 1 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 3 - 2 Sweden?No won
- Exact Score: Japan 3 - 3 Sweden?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.