Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Egypt (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2dbbde3c939a2b2f3511e3fcec68e4f0b7ea698272eee124e0636bf9734aea2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Egyptof Egypt, New Zealand
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,771,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,762,907
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,771,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 755 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd66e…051fbacked New Zealand | 66c | 3,212,411$2,127,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,127,084.89 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b1…5143backed Egypt | 35c | 1,417,854$500,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917,854.32 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2dd…4a23backed Egypt | 33c | 869,874$290,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579,874.41 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New Zealand | 64c | 614,982$394,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394,065.71 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Egypt | 33c | 530,303$175,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355,303.03 | 196 | 44.9%88 W · 108 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…1ebfbacked Egypt | 35c | 199,999$70,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129,999.51 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked New Zealand | 67c | 180,000$120,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120,599.89 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e69…858dbacked Egypt | 34c | 150,000$51,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,500 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…e2cebacked Egypt | 34c | 150,000$51,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,999.99 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Egypt | 24c | 144,217$34,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109,464.47 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed New Zealand | 66c | 100,000$66,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,000 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c7…c83bbacked New Zealand | 67c | 100,000$67,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,000 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…4244backed Egypt | 41c | 99,626$40,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,239.7 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed New Zealand | 65c | 94,688$61,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,547.25 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Egypt | 33c | 89,930$30,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,810.74 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c5…c428backed New Zealand | 66c | 89,904$59,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,336.86 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Egypt | 35c | 79,208$27,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,827.5 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Egypt | 31c | 78,274$24,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,750.55 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed New Zealand | 64c | 60,000$38,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,399.98 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Egypt | 33c | 59,102$19,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,674.51 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Egypt | 36c | 54,502$19,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,881.42 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked New Zealand | 64c | 50,000$32,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,000 | 239 | 42.3%101 W · 138 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…61c0backed Egypt | 11c | 46,898$5,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,774.65 | 349 | 64.5%225 W · 124 L | +73.5wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +123.1%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xee0b…e6d4backed Egypt | 34c | 45,600$15,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,096 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Egypt | 37c | 43,323$16,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,222.77 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Egypt | 13c | 41,811$5,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,525.9 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Egypt | 36c | 41,563$14,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,672.22 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Egypt | 36c | 30,004$10,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,272.91 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Egypt | 33c | 29,057$9,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,331.26 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b4…23febacked Egypt | 34c | 27,090$9,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,879.4 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e47…34a2backed Egypt | 35c | 23,207$8,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,084.77 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Egypt | 11c | 21,220$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,885.8 | 494 | 41.5%205 W · 289 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Egypt | 33c | 21,212$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,212.12 | 147 | 27.2%40 W · 107 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Egypt | 74c | 20,991$15,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,449.23 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked New Zealand | 49c | 20,036$9,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,787.15 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Egypt | 11c | 19,362$2,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,222.87 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed New Zealand | 10c | 19,152$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.26 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed New Zealand | 71c | 19,071$13,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,480.66 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Egypt | 34c | 18,391$6,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,172.12 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Egypt | 34c | 15,556$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,255.56 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda4a…1c05backed Egypt | 35c | 15,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Egypt | 34c | 14,706$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,705.88 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…3931backed Egypt | 36c | 12,510$4,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,006.29 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b43…c5cbbacked Egypt | 34c | 10,860$3,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,167.6 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Egypt | 36c | 10,196$3,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,525.28 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Egypt | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,700 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x839e…0d3cbacked New Zealand | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…7749backed Egypt | 26c | 9,722$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,222.22 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Egypt | 35c | 8,831$3,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,728.16 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked New Zealand | 59c | 8,609$5,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,108 | 142 | 31.7%45 W · 97 L | -13.4wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…5bb2backed Egypt | 33c | 8,485$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,684.85 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -48%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Egypt | 33c | 7,511$2,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,032.05 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde45…8597backed Egypt | 36c | 7,426$2,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,752.73 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a6…627bbacked New Zealand | 68c | 7,353$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Egypt | 56c | 6,859$3,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,043.06 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Egypt | 50c | 6,328$3,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,138.33 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed New Zealand | 64c | 6,258$3,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,999.39 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…ba1fbacked Egypt | 36c | 6,111$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,911.11 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Egypt | 33c | 6,061$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,060.61 | 81 | 35.8%29 W · 52 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Egypt | 36c | 6,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 250 | 19.6%49 W · 201 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Egypt | 33c | 6,000$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,993.32 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Egypt | 32c | 6,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.98 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Egypt | 34c | 6,000$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,979.98 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Egypt | 22c | 6,000$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,649.97 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed New Zealand | 44c | 5,869$2,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,608.38 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed New Zealand | 13c | 5,792$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.98 | 437 | 37.8%165 W · 272 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Egypt | 34c | 5,114$1,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,383.98 | 205 | 47.3%97 W · 108 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed1…eedbbacked Egypt | 34c | 5,100$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,366.99 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b8…d1afbacked Egypt | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Egypt | 33c | 4,958$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,321.86 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed New Zealand | 6c | 4,878$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.96 | 388 | 19.1%74 W · 314 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…c5cebacked Egypt | 34c | 4,812$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,175.92 | 224 | 37.1%83 W · 141 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…1269backed Egypt | 56c | 4,548$2,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.27 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Egypt | 33c | 4,457$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,986.19 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Egypt | 52c | 4,400$2,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107.73 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Egypt | 33c | 4,335$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,917.8 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf531…121cbacked Egypt | 36c | 4,028$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,577.78 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Egypt | 36c | 4,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560 | 222 | 29.7%66 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Egypt | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,680 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Egypt | 33c | 3,957$1,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,651.19 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed New Zealand | 5c | 3,867$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 421 | 26.4%111 W · 310 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Egypt | 48c | 3,827$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.57 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed New Zealand | 64c | 3,788$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424.31 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked New Zealand | 68c | 3,529$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Egypt | 35c | 3,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,275 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…d7ecbacked New Zealand | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Egypt | 36c | 3,059$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957.58 | 246 | 35.8%88 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed New Zealand | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.99 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ede…4284backed New Zealand | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed New Zealand | 64c | 2,944$1,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.1 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed New Zealand | 5c | 2,913$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.15 | 399 | 33.1%132 W · 267 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed New Zealand | 64c | 2,891$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.44 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62e0…32dfbacked Egypt | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.78 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed Egypt | 36c | 2,677$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.16 | 257 | 53.3%137 W · 120 L | +23.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed Egypt | 11c | 2,645$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,354.15 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Egypt | 32c | 2,500$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 450 | 38.2%172 W · 278 L | -28.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Egypt | 35c | 2,500$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed New Zealand | 64c | 2,419$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.16 | 294 | 49%144 W · 150 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Egypt | 51c | 2,298$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.88 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed Egypt | 33c | 2,273$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.73 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Egypt (-1.5)this page
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 1.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand O/U 2.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5Over won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 6.5Under won
- New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Egypt (-2.5)New Zealand won
- Spread: Egypt (-3.5)New Zealand won
- Spread: Egypt (-4.5)New Zealand won
- Spread: New Zealand (-1.5)Egypt won
- Spread: New Zealand (-2.5)Egypt won
- Spread: New Zealand (-3.5)Egypt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.