NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcabe8b4a1ad5d4385a7895a64eda7c9339ca64cfed0cf8c585d4ef8a74d370a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Hawks, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,305,173
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,245,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,305,173 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,478 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3d89…b02cbacked Hawks | 34c | 339,999$115,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224,399.65 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Hawks | 32c | 187,522$59,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127,580.46 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94f0…cd31backed Celtics | 66c | 159,439$105,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,229.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Celtics | 66c | 123,125$81,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,265.02 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…d504backed Celtics | 66c | 113,636$75,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,999.74 | 210 | 57.1%120 W · 90 L | +20.3wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Hawks | 34c | 101,455$34,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,960.27 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hawks | 73c | 82,419$60,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,102.4 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Celtics | 62c | 69,594$43,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,074.24 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Celtics | 23c | 41,973$9,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,653.77 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Celtics | 61c | 37,897$23,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,173 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Celtics | 68c | 34,864$23,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,655.37 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Celtics | 31c | 33,262$10,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,353.95 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed Celtics | 66c | 32,402$21,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,385.17 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Hawks | 34c | 30,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,800 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Hawks | 35c | 30,000$10,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,500 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Celtics | 66c | 30,000$19,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,649.94 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe14…11eebacked Celtics | 66c | 29,000$19,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,140 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Celtics | 31c | 28,135$8,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,686.03 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 26c | 25,581$6,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,680.81 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Celtics | 67c | 24,551$16,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,485.78 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Celtics | 68c | 22,716$15,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,333.12 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Hawks | 76c | 21,651$16,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,150.95 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…c3a9backed Celtics | 20c | 20,287$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks | 78c | 18,978$14,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,090.09 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Hawks | 35c | 17,360$6,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,284 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Celtics | 66c | 17,267$11,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,396.45 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Hawks | 67c | 16,342$10,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,387.52 | 489 | 56.4%276 W · 213 L | +31.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Hawks | 69c | 15,945$10,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,020.09 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Celtics | 65c | 15,814$10,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,287.71 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Hawks | 34c | 15,010$5,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,906.6 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Celtics | 66c | 15,000$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,900 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Celtics | 65c | 15,000$9,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,749.96 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Celtics | 67c | 14,913$9,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,991.71 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Celtics | 48c | 14,715$7,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,046.34 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks | 34c | 14,661$4,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,723.18 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Celtics | 31c | 14,443$4,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,432.89 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…276fbacked Hawks | 72c | 12,848$9,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,545.93 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa996…8aacbacked Celtics | 66c | 11,700$7,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,722.13 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9e…a250backed Hawks | 34c | 11,695$3,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,718.75 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Celtics | 67c | 11,214$7,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,553.45 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11db…841fbacked Celtics | 0c | 11,008$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 227 | 0%0 W · 227 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Celtics | 3c | 10,814$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Hawks | 34c | 10,420$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,920.03 | 489 | 38.7%189 W · 300 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…ff95backed Celtics | 66c | 10,199$6,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,742.9 | 226 | 46.9%106 W · 120 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…b94fbacked Hawks | 35c | 10,001$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500.65 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x062a…c2a3backed Celtics | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Celtics | 72c | 10,000$7,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,173.1 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Celtics | 29c | 9,675$2,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,842.43 | 385 | 40.3%155 W · 230 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Celtics | 30c | 9,657$2,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,861.04 | 619 | 39.6%245 W · 374 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf11d…ee9abacked Hawks | 72c | 8,910$6,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502.48 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Celtics | 23c | 8,400$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.98 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Celtics | 66c | 8,348$5,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,484.32 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf11…8399backed Hawks | 34c | 8,000$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,280 | 375 | 39.5%148 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Celtics | 26c | 7,567$1,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.51 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea7…bcd9backed Celtics | 28c | 7,286$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.66 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35bd…1ecfbacked Celtics | 69c | 7,201$4,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,968.69 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…7ba5backed Hawks | 30c | 7,200$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,039.9 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Hawks | 32c | 7,076$2,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,811.87 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8925…0d79backed Celtics | 68c | 7,000$4,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,760 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Celtics | 66c | 6,583$4,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,351.49 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Celtics | 18c | 6,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Celtics | 68c | 5,764$3,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,919.32 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…4f55backed Celtics | 71c | 5,555$3,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,944.02 | 367 | 41.4%152 W · 215 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Celtics | 67c | 5,270$3,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,530.9 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Hawks | 45c | 5,166$2,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,846.65 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hawks | 55c | 5,140$2,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.47 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 66c | 5,113$3,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,388.33 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Celtics | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 320 | 39.4%126 W · 194 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf54b…8a63backed Celtics | 66c | 4,869$3,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,213.21 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Celtics | 16c | 4,800$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.55 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d9…7e2ebacked Hawks | 31c | 4,717$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,254.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Celtics | 22c | 4,700$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Celtics | 9c | 4,675$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.97 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Celtics | 67c | 4,506$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Celtics | 22c | 4,500$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.99 | 91 | 17.6%16 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Hawks | 27c | 4,500$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,266.59 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Hawks | 35c | 4,442$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,887.34 | 284 | 39.8%113 W · 171 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Celtics | 29c | 4,316$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.62 | 397 | 44.3%176 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Celtics | 70c | 4,286$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 202 | 49.5%100 W · 102 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Celtics | 43c | 4,192$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804.41 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Celtics | 22c | 4,074$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.86 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…5abfbacked Celtics | 67c | 4,069$2,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,726.06 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…2667backed Celtics | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,720 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…82d5backed Hawks | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,680 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbabe…f584backed Celtics | 67c | 4,000$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Celtics | 24c | 4,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Celtics | 46c | 3,987$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820.4 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Celtics | 4c | 3,676$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.98 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8a…0724backed Celtics | 46c | 3,651$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Hawks | 34c | 3,611$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.5 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5057…cf88backed Hawks | 32c | 3,600$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765c…0779backed Hawks | 32c | 3,377$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.59 | 539 | 39.5%213 W · 326 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x741a…4dbebacked Celtics | 37c | 3,185$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Celtics | 69c | 3,042$2,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.98 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -20.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Celtics | 31c | 3,040$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.16 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bab…cf38backed Celtics | 66c | 3,038$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.09 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…dd2dbacked Celtics | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd12c…ed3dbacked Celtics | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…f218backed Hawks | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…1574backed Celtics | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 74 | 23%17 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Celticsthis page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Hawks won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 232.5Under won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Luka Garza: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.