NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a289c7e64f7010f1594d11394adeb52533085ddb93aeaa92a71122bb151891c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf0c1…a151backed Over | 44c | 7,156$3,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,148.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda36…d1fabacked Under | 56c | 6,244$3,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,747.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…e47dbacked Over | 44c | 6,212$2,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,733.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5b…f1c2backed Under | 54c | 5,923$3,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,724.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe06…65e1backed Over | 46c | 5,863$2,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,696.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b4…0c5cbacked Under | 56c | 5,822$3,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,561.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1899…acb7backed Over | 44c | 5,482$2,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,412.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…ade6backed Over | 44c | 5,468$2,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cb…9b41backed Over | 46c | 5,363$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,466.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc471…6d3abacked Over | 44c | 5,211$2,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,292.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a0…b83abacked Under | 54c | 5,061$2,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,328.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +99%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff44…321bbacked Under | 56c | 4,701$2,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2e…f949backed Over | 46c | 4,682$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,153.72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x573b…1310backed Under | 54c | 4,622$2,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,126.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a7…baf2backed Over | 44c | 3,392$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc53e…8503backed Over | 44c | 2,963$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,303.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b9…4e54backed Under | 56c | 2,956$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…18f8backed Under | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…7232backed Under | 56c | 1,954$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…e184backed Under | 56c | 1,936$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…9536backed Under | 62c | 1,936$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.7 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ab…cdcfbacked Under | 56c | 1,831$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…e09cbacked Under | 56c | 1,825$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x716a…f6cfbacked Under | 56c | 1,774$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.56 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e98…27cbbacked Under | 56c | 1,683$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…27afbacked Under | 56c | 1,657$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1368…d9cabacked Under | 56c | 1,501$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee6…81cebacked Over | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1be6…67a7backed Under | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 30c | 1,127$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.78 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 50c | 1,101$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.33 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba96…9256backed Under | 54c | 1,023$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 762.72$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.62 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…936bbacked Over | 46c | 221$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…e4a3backed Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 410 | 52%213 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 45c | 194.53$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.54 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…586cbacked Under | 57c | 180$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 470 | 43.8%206 W · 264 L | -22.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 133.38$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.63 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081f…9fcdbacked Under | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.27 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 51c | 111.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.48 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 39c | 104.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1351…bebcbacked Under | 52c | 101.27$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.61 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x195e…5b32backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -6.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe4…9235backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 55c | 99.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Under | 55c | 96.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 47c | 91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939a…2f45backed Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b54…ea13backed Under | 52c | 65.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 379 | 59.4%225 W · 154 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Under | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | +19.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -9.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Under | 51c | 48.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6d…c504backed Under | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Under | 51c | 43.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 493 | 58.6%289 W · 204 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…6b27backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 436 | 47.9%209 W · 227 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…d8dabacked Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4892…27bcbacked Under | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +6.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Under | 54c | 25.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 409 | 60.6%248 W · 161 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95be…9968backed Over | 45c | 24.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 335 | 52.8%177 W · 158 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcb…b296backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Hawks won
- Hawks vs. CelticsHawks won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5Under won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Luka Garza: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.