NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc02c75a986df108c44dccabffb7da4130de6eb19443eb50d4f9e84dc818c0a93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawksof Celtics, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33ab…cdcfbacked Celtics | 46c | 5,598$2,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,575.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…18f8backed Celtics | 46c | 4,600$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x716a…f6cfbacked Celtics | 46c | 3,821$1,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 51cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc46…e184backed Hawks | 54c | 3,599$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb42…48ccbacked Hawks | 56c | 3,522$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.77 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe4…27afbacked Hawks | 54c | 3,211$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Celtics | 46c | 2,905$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.32 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…7232backed Hawks | 54c | 2,688$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Celtics | 47c | 2,435$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.45 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Hawks | 57c | 1,642$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.11 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Celtics | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Hawks | 52c | 1,058$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.84 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Celtics | 19c | 1,012$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.61 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…ade6backed Hawks | 54c | 1,011$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc471…6d3abacked Hawks | 54c | 1,011$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1368…d9cabacked Hawks | 54c | 1,011$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Celtics | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1899…acb7backed Hawks | 54c | 988$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Hawks | 58c | 865$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.3 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca5…e6c9backed Celtics | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Hawks | 72c | 561$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.67 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Celtics | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 641 | 39%250 W · 391 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Hawks | 55c | 477.34$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.8 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Celtics | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x795f…e09cbacked Hawks | 54c | 378$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Hawks | 58c | 376$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.92 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Celtics | 43c | 349$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.07 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Hawks | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Hawks | 58c | 288.19$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.53 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…1f12backed Celtics | 47c | 265.96$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Celtics | 38c | 244.54$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 397 | 36.3%144 W · 253 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hawks | 70c | 223.52$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.03 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics | 43c | 208.16$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.87 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Hawks | 70c | 184$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Hawks | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f89…8ed0backed Hawks | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Celtics | 45c | 172.36$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.56 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Hawks | 55c | 157.4$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.83 | 250 | 56.8%142 W · 108 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Celtics | 44c | 137.93$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.69 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Hawks | 57c | 131.58$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e98…27cbbacked Hawks | 54c | 122$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Hawks | 64c | 121.74$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Hawks | 64c | 97.62$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Hawks | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Hawks | 58c | 88.91$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 432 | 44%190 W · 242 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 45c | 87.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Hawks | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…eda7backed Hawks | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da1…c13bbacked Hawks | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 421 | 46.1%194 W · 227 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Celtics | 45c | 64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Celtics | 47c | 53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Hawks | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 332 | 49.7%165 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050f…6b27backed Celtics | 43c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…d3bebacked Hawks | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Hawks | 58c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 333 | 60.4%201 W · 132 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…a390backed Celtics | 47c | 33.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Hawks | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 372 | 53.5%199 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-2.5)Hawks won
- Hawks vs. CelticsHawks won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineHawks won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 118.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 230.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 232.5Under won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 6.5Yes won
- Luka Garza: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-5.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.